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May 05, 2022 View in browser
 
POLITICO Global Insider

By Ryan Heath

Check out the weekly Global Insider podcast.| Follow Ryan on Twitter.

Happening Today

Secretary of State Antony Blinken tested positive for Covid and has mild symptoms.

Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi has concluded a three-day tour of Europe, returning home to manage the deadly fallout from the country's heatwave.

MILKEN GLOBAL CONFERENCE POSTCARD

The 25th Milken Global Conference has closed to generally rave reviews: Conference goers seemed most pleased at the friendliness and diversity of the crowd — the surprising mix of people to be found in any room in any given moment.

INTERVIEW — REP. MICHAEL McCAUL (R-TEXAS)

McCaul is the Republican leader on the House Foreign Affairs Committee, and was in L.A. with a packed Milken schedule that also included a trip to AeroVironment, the L.A.-based weapons manufacturer that makes the Switchblade 600 drone — or loitering missile — currently in use in Ukraine. "Weapons procurement is broken," is his blunt view after years of effort to get more weapons delivered to hotspots, including Taiwan and Ukraine.

While he's still doing due diligence on what larger number he'd like to push for, McCaul told Global Insider that he's worried the $1.6 billion for humanitarian aid and food security parceled into the administration's new $33 billion aid plan for Ukraine "has not been requested in a way to meet immediate needs."

McCaul is also keen for his colleagues and voters to understand the connection between Russia's war and difficulties managing the U.S. southern border. "There will soon be a direct connection between Ukraine and immigration at the U.S. southern border as a result of a food crisis from lack of Russian and Ukrainian agricultural commodities," McCaul said.

McCaul also believes that Biden's team needs to get more creative about how to counter Russian misinformation among its intended Russia audiences: "When you educate their own people — that's what autocrats are scared of. They fear their own folks. When it comes to countering Russia misinformation in Russia, the administration has no real answer on that."

The other play McCaul made this week was to take a hard swipe at State Department reforms to how it recruits new diplomats. "I am troubled that the State Department made the most significant changes in 100 years to the Foreign Service admission process without consulting Congress, the American Foreign Service Association, or seemingly anyone else. … [Now] future applicants face a subjective evaluation that is susceptible to political manipulation."

 

INTRODUCING DIGITAL FUTURE DAILY - OUR TECHNOLOGY NEWSLETTER, RE-IMAGINED:  Technology is always evolving, and our new tech-obsessed newsletter is too! Digital Future Daily unlocks the most important stories determining the future of technology, from Washington to Silicon Valley and innovation power centers around the world. Readers get an in-depth look at how the next wave of tech will reshape civic and political life, including activism, fundraising, lobbying and legislating. Go inside the minds of the biggest tech players, policymakers and regulators to learn how their decisions affect our lives. Don't miss out, subscribe today.

 
 

GWYNETH PALTROW, CEO OF GOOP

Paltrow's Goop business — in addition to being a cultural lightning rod — is now worth $400 million. The actress-turned-entrepreneur wowed the Milken crowd with her detailed and confident business insights.

Using data to drive growth: "I like to look back and to understand in raw data what worked and what didn't. But I think there's a real intersection of art and science. If I only looked at the data to make decisions, then we would just go into circles: I think I have a very good instinct for culture and what people want. I think it's really important for creators to channel those feelings and intuition and to identify whitespace in the market: 'Where do we want to go next?' as opposed to, 'We sold a ton of these black dresses. So let's just keep making black dresses.'"

Investing in Web 3.0: "I am definitely learning about Web3, and it's definitely here to stay. So I've invested in some of the utilities around Web3: TeraWulf, a zero carbon mining company, and MoonPay, and a lot of the utilities. I have a couple NFTs: I'm not totally a full-bore NFT collector yet, but I do think it's important, especially for women who are often left out of these conversations and spaces, to learn about it and ask questions."

"You're seeing the blockchain really be driven by men. And I think there's a place for us. And I do think there's a place for Web3 with Goop. I'm not sure exactly how yet, and I also think the audience has to be kind of educated. Right now, it's also so difficult to wire money to Coinbase. If you download a meta mask, and half the time it crashes, then it's very difficult. So I think they need to make it a little bit more intuitive. And it needs to work better before there's mass adoption. Then the learning curve will be faster. There is still a lot of friction, and that will slow you down."

De-Gwynething the brand: "I would like the brand to not be so tied to me," said Gwyneth, comparing her company to Chanel, which is no longer about Coco Chanel.

Opening in Japan later in 2022: "We're doing it properly, not just flicking on a shipping switch."

INTERVIEW — NORA VOLKOW, DIRECTOR OF THE NATIONAL INSTITUTE ON DRUG ABUSE 

The institute is part of the National Institutes of Health, and is the world's largest funder of research on the health aspects of drug use and addiction.

Why do you come back to Milken? "One of the most exciting things that we have is neuroscience and understanding how the human brain works. … This distinction that we have between our brain and the rest of our body is a very artificial one: They blend with one another. So what I would like to achieve is for people to recognize what an extraordinary opportunity there is to use innovation, to take that knowledge into products and help people suffering from mental illness and substance use disorder."

Covid effects: "We simply haven't paid sufficient attention to mental health and well-being. Everyone has been affected by the Covid pandemic, whether it is some level of anxiety or depression or a sense of isolation, nobody has been spared. And there are some people — because of their circumstances or underlying medical conditions — for whom Covid has had quite devastating effects. We've seen among teenagers and young people an increase in suicide and suicidal behavior, and that is not something that necessarily will disappear if the virus disappears. The effects of emotional trauma are not like a switch that is turned on and off."

Social media effects: "Social media came with no preparation or infrastructure, because it was so innovative, no one had really thought about it. And when it deployed it just flew. And it shifted dramatically how people communicate with one another. But it raises the question: To what extent do we need physical communication with one another for well-being? And it's likely that the answer is that it is important, but that there is an opportunity to take the best of both worlds. But we need to balance them and we need to understand specifically in young people, children and adolescents how social media disrupted their sense of reality."

ROCHELLE WALENSKY, CDC DIRECTOR: Walensky waded into the debate around overturning Roe v. Wade in a revealing interview with Stat's Rick Berke . When asked if overturning the Supreme Court abortion precedent could lead to deaths, Walensky said, "I do think lives could be at stake," and raised the likelihood that "access to care will be … differentiated by many different demographics: rural and urban, ethnicity, resources or not." Walensky's other prediction is that medical training will be affected — with gaps emerging around who learns how to "safely conduct pregnancy termination."

YOUNG AFGHAN WOMEN SHARE THEIR STORIES: The crimes and tragedies are unspeakable, including the selling of organs, proliferation of child brides and the blocking of access to education.

MILKEN OFF-RECORD 

MEN FLOCK TO WELLNESS GARDEN: Sure, the crystal sound-bath session attracted few men, but that's where their shyness ended in Milken Global Conference's happy place. The secret behind the men's wellness garden boom was a more discreet side entrance this year. "Now my therapists can't even take a break, they're so busy," one manager confided to Global Insider.

John Stamos plays with the Beach Boys to close out Milken Global Conference 2022.

John Stamos plays with the Beach Boys to close out Milken Global Conference 2022. | Shedd

GLOBAL RISKS AND TRENDS

U.K. — NORTHERN IRELAND ELECTION: Northern Ireland votes today, potentially bringing an end to a stalemate in EU-U.K. post-Brexit negotiations. POLITICO's Poll of Polls puts Nationalist party Sinn Féin (which wants the island of Ireland reunified and supports a previously negotiated post-Brexit trade protocol) 7 points ahead of the loyalist Democratic Unionist Party, which opposes the trade plan. In 2017, the DUP finished one seat ahead of Sinn Féin.

POLITICO Poll of Poll — Northern Ireland 2022 election

POLITICO

EU — VON DER LEYEN EMERGES AS BLOC'S PRE-EMINENT LEADER: Ursula von der Leyen has become U.S. President Joe Biden 's primary interlocutor — the person the White House calls when America wants to talk to the EU.

"In her (most recent) speech to the European Parliament in Strasbourg, however, von der Leyen not only spoke with technical authority about economic measures but also with the moral clarity that has at times eluded other EU leaders in recent months, like German Chancellor Olaf Scholz, who has grappled with his country's reticence to engage in military conflicts, or French President Emmanuel Macron, who was caught up in a reelection campaign and for months made cloying comments about hoping to engage with Putin," writes David Herszenhorn.

SOUTH AFRICA — COVID FAIL LEAVES VACCINE MAKER'S FUTURE AT RISK: Health officials are urging Covid-19 vaccine manufacturer Aspen to stay open despite having no orders for its licensed Cocid vaccine, known as Aspenovax in Africa. South Africa's National Health Department spokesperson Foster Mohale said the lack of orders is due to low vaccination rates not only at home, but globally.

UKRAINE FRONTS

HISTORY AND CULTURE AT RISK: U.S. agencies and international organizations are raising their level concern and remote monitoring, writes Joseph Gedeon.

TAIWAN EFFECTS: "For America to deter China, Beijing has to believe that there will be an endless supply of help to Taiwan," — Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.), who recently returned from a bipartisan trip to Taiwan, to Washington Post's Josh Rogin.

 

DON'T MISS CONGRESS MINUTES: Need to follow the action on Capitol Hill blow-by-blow? Check out Minutes, POLITICO's new platform that delivers the latest exclusives, twists and much more in real time. Get it on your desktop or download the POLITICO mobile app for iOS or Android. CHECK OUT CONGRESS MINUTES HERE.

 
 

BRAIN FOOD

BOOK — The Avoidable War , by former Australian prime minister Kevin Rudd.

Thanks to editor Ben Pauker, Joseph Gedeon and producer Hannah Farrow.

SUBSCRIBE to the POLITICO newsletter family: D.C. Playbook | Brussels Playbook | London Playbook | ParisPlaybook| EU Confidential | D.C. Influence | EU Influence | London Influence | Digital Bridge | China Direct | Berlin Bulletin | Living Cities

 

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