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Presented by the Atlantic Council and the Delegation of the European Union to the United States: A newsletter from POLITICO that unpacks essential global news, trends, and decisions.
Jun 24, 2022 View in browser
 
POLITICO Global Insider

By Ryan Heath

Presented by the Atlantic Council and the Delegation of the European Union to the United States

Follow Ryan on Twitter.

Happening Today

Gun control: After the U.S. Senate voted 65-34 to advance bipartisan gun-safety legislation, the biggest breakthrough on the issue in nearly three decades could soon be headed to President Joe Biden 's desk for signature.

Freedom fight: Former Secretary of State Mike Pompeo this morning proposes a Global Alliance for Freedom to "contest both Russian and Chinese aggression."

In the text of a speech shared with Global Insider ahead of its 10 a.m. ET delivery, Pompeo labels Russia's war on Ukraine "a planned genocide" and all but calls for President Vladimir Putin's removal because his "utter lack of basic humanity ensures that as long as he remains in power, Russia will be a virtual prison and no nation that borders its expanse will ever be safe."

Pompeo will also say he is proud to have "served in a unique administration" — but avoids mentioning that former President Donald Trump's uniqueness triggered a conversation with President Volodymyr Zelenskyy that led to his first impeachment.

Food fight: Germany is hosting a "Uniting for Global Food Security" conference, ahead of this weekend's G-7 summit. Watch here.

 

A message from the Atlantic Council and the Delegation of the European Union to the United States:

The Atlantic Council's Europe Center and the Delegation of the European Union to the United States this week hosted high-level dialogues on the most pressing issues facing the transatlantic partnership. Policymakers from both sides of the Atlantic shared how the EU-US relationship can strengthen collective security following Russia's invasion of Ukraine and advance economic cooperation, the digital transition, food security, and democratic values. Visit here to catch up on the 2022 EU-US Defense & Future Forum.

 

G-7 SUMMIT COUNTDOWN

Elmau, a luxury resort in the Bavarian Alps, will be a G-7 summit venue for the second time starting Sunday evening. Angela Merkel was German chancellor and Barack Obama U.S. president for the first edition in 2015.

This ain't Hamburg: Elmau is tucked away in a high valley at the foot of the Wetterstein mountains and will be protected by 18,000 police. So it won't turn out like the last summit German Chancellor Olaf Scholz hosted. Back in 2017, when Scholz was mayor of Hamburg, the G-20 summit generated a combat zone between radical left-wing protesters and hapless police.

There's a bear up there: A brown bear has been photographed by a remote wild animal camera near Elmau.

HOT TOPICS: The summit kicks off at 6:30 a.m ET on Sunday, with a debate on the global economy, followed by discussion in infrastructure and foreign and security policy.

The biggest cause of tension could be around natural gas investments. As Germany prepares for a gas war, a draft G-7 proposal calls for using tax money for natural gas projects as a response to Russia's war in Ukraine — potentially undercutting the group's climate pledges.

Promises, promises: The compliance team at the G7 Research Group, based at the University of Toronto, says the G-7 is complying with an average 90 percent of its commitments — the highest rate since records have been kept, starting in 1996. The European Union ranked first, at 98 percent.

Reality check: While G-7 members may be technically in compliance with their promises, what does it matter if the group is headed for a shared recession and remains off-track on climate emissions reduction targets?

Special guests: The 2021 summit turned into more of a G-11, with India, South Africa, South Korea and Australia joining.

This weekend, it's Indonesia's Joko Widodo as G-20 chair, India's Narendra Modi, South Africa's Cyril Ramaphosa, Senegal's Macky Sall, Argentina's Alberto Fernández, United Nations secretary general António Guterres and Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. 

The Elmau summit is a staging ground for several other critical summits through 2022 : NATO (immediately after in Madrid, Wednesday-Thursday), the G-20 summit in Bali, Indonesia, Nov. 15–16, the U.N. biodiversity summit in Montreal, Canada, (Dec. 5–17) and the U.S.-hosted Summit for Democracy (date not set).

BRICS SUMMIT WRAPS UP: India's Modi and South Africa's Ramaphosa are the bridges between a Beijing-hosted virtual summit of Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa that took place Thursday. There were no major deals. Chinese President Xi Jinping did however accuse Western governments of using sanctions to weaponize the global economy.

 

A message from the Atlantic Council and the Delegation of the European Union to the United States:

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GLOBAL RISKS AND TRENDS

TECH CONFERENCES FOR GROWN-UPS: These events used to be giant fan clubs for technology itself, with customers pawing the latest cool gadgets and fawning like groupies over Tech God Founders (always men). And, OK, some of them still are.

This week in Toronto, 35,000 geeks gathered for Collision Conference, the North American offspring of the even bigger Web Summit that takes place in Lisbon each November. It's part of a new generation of tech conferences that stretch from mass-activist events like RightsCon to the invite-only Code, by Kara Swisher.

This new generation of conferences is different because they address a broader range of people: matching startups searching for their first capital with investors, and exposing them all to regulators and NGOs focused on keeping them accountable.

 

INTRODUCING DIGITAL FUTURE DAILY - OUR TECHNOLOGY NEWSLETTER, RE-IMAGINED:  Technology is always evolving, and our new tech-obsessed newsletter is too! Digital Future Daily unlocks the most important stories determining the future of technology, from Washington to Silicon Valley and innovation power centers around the world. Readers get an in-depth look at how the next wave of tech will reshape civic and political life, including activism, fundraising, lobbying and legislating. Go inside the minds of the biggest tech players, policymakers and regulators to learn how their decisions affect our lives. Don't miss out, subscribe today.

 
 

INTERVIEW — DANIJEL VIŠEVIĆ, WORLD FUND 

During Collision, Global Insider caught up with Višević, a founding partner of Europe's biggest climate tech fund, who reinvented himself after years working to shape Angela Merkel's global TV image as part of her communications team.

What's wrong with venture capital today? 

Three things: One is VCs often only look at the obvious financial numbers. If you invest in climate tech, and in solutions that solve real problems, you need physicists, chemical engineers, mechanical engineers, biologists that also have venture capital investment experience.

The second is short-term thinking, and the third is the lack of very good long-term relationships.

It feels like many VCs and founders are better at siphoning money from a value chain than solving problems

Yeah, I totally agree.

Did you get your climate focus because you wanted to save the planet, or you thought it would make the most money? 

We are running towards a worst case where we'll make two-thirds of the planet uninhabitable for people. It was not an accident that I had my deep research moments in 2018, when Fridays for Future and Greta Thunberg appeared. I was working for a super successful VC firm, but decided I had to dedicate my life to tackling the climate crisis.

My partners are really good, both are able to smell money even if it's behind a three-yard thick wall, so they're financially driven.

Why did you choose to shape markets over your background in government and regulation? 

We won't change behavior by forbidding nice things. If we forbid eating meat, for example, there will be a revolt. It's better to create alternatives so that some will start to change. We want the meat eaters to eat our Juicy Marbles (fermented soya filet mignon). Vegans don't like it because it does taste like meat, but if it's cheaper and healthier, why should I still eat animals?

What are you most excited to be investing in? 

We want to show that you will become richer by investing into real problems. We are looking at everything that can save at least 100 megatons of CO2 emissions or equivalents per year.

Within energy, you have three sub-sectors: industry, transportation and construction. In agriculture, we could turn topsoil again into a carbon sink, or Qoa: It's a company developing a cocoa bean alternative in a lab to save rainforests and avoid child labor.

What stands out about the climate tech companies compared to other tech? 

(There are) many more female founders in this sector where you solve real problems and it's not only about the money. But they will earn more money (in the end) because they solve real problems.

Do you want to take over the traditional VCs?  

We co-invest with those leading traditional VCs. They invest with us after we've done a huge part of the job, but it's totally okay for them to jump on the bandwagon.

So, you're subsidizing them but also gaining the scale of their money? 

They're also subsidizing us with their brands. It means we give a strong signal that we only invest with the best.

The EU makes big research investments, and then a lot of it doesn't make it to market. Can you do anything to address that, with the people who don't gain investments from your fund? 

We give them to more than 150 high net worth individuals who invested into our fund, who also love to do investments as angel investors. That gives us the option to come back for later rounds of investment. It's a community, not only a fund.

Does European venture capital also need to change? 

Yeah. Americans move fast and first. Germans only move when they have seen that something has worked 10 times. This is a cultural thing, and we are struggling with this at World Fund. I can tell you, very openly, that is why we stayed in stealth mode until we had half of our capital committed (to avoid any impression of failure).

What's a climate risk you wish more people understood? 

The difference between compliance and impact. You can have a super ESG rating because of good compliance, and quite often the oil and gas industry has it because it's a highly regulated sector. But the impact is a totally different thing. Their impact is basically killing life on earth: it couldn't be worse. So this is something most investors don't understand.

I love the concept of carbon shadow. The carbon footprint concept was coined by the oil and gas industry so that we are all aware of our footprints. But a person working for an oil company can bike to work everyday and have a nice carbon footprint, but a big carbon shadow.

So let's focus on what's really important: what really matters for the sake of life.

TECH — FACEBOOK SETTLES TO ELIMINATE DISCRIMINATORY ADS TOOL: Six years after ProPublica revealed that Facebook allowed advertisers to exclude Black users and others — one-third of the life of the young company — Facebook's parent company Meta has agreed to a settlement with the Justice Department to overhaul its ad algorithm system.

COVID HERD IMPUNITY — VACCINE-PROOF COVID VARIANTS: While current vaccines will protect against severe Covid cases, "Omicron subvariants BA.4 and BA.5 appear to escape antibody responses among both people who had previous Covid-19 infection and those who have been fully vaccinated and boosted" — according to new data from Harvard Medical School researchers. The US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention estimates that 95 percent of the U.S. population (16 and older) now have antibodies against the coronavirus that causes Covid-19.

EU —  UKRAINE BECOMES A CANDIDATE COUNTRY: As my Ukraine-based colleague Christopher Miller noted "8 years, 7 months, and 10 days — and revolution, war and massive bloodshed — after Mustafa Nayyem published his call on Facebook for Ukrainians to come to Maidan and protest President Viktor Yanukovych's decision to abandon a deal with the EU, Ukraine has been granted EU candidate status."

In losing the U.K. and gaining only Croatia since 2004, this decision signals the biggest EU expansion in two decades.

Where the other applicants stand:

Moldova: Candidate status granted.

Georgia: Denied candidate status, but offered a new list of conditions to meet in order to be accepted. Prime Minister Irakli Garibashvili hailed the list as progress toward membership.

North Macedonia and Albania: Already candidates, but EU leaders failed to break a deadlock over their stalled membership bids. Bulgaria is blocking North Macedonia's bid. Dimitar Kovacevski, North Macedonia's prime minister, called the outcome "a serious blow" to the EU's credibility in his country.

UKRAINE —  REPRESENTATIVES BEG FOR AID BEFORE SUMMER VACATION DISTRACTIONS: The war is not even half-over, visiting delegations are telling their American supporters.

U.K. —  DOUBLE DEFEAT FOR BORIS JOHNSON: The ruling Conservatives overnight lost two special elections — in traditionally safe seats for them. Former Conservative leader Michael Howard says Johnson must go.

More Johnson allies are defecting: The first resignation was tended at 5:35 a.m. local time. More in POLITICO's London Playbook.

Johnson, meanwhile, is in Rwanda, attending CHOGM — the Commonwealth Heads of Government Meeting— and has vowed to "keep going." Margaret Thatcher was in Paris for a European summit when her MPs finally turned on her in 1990.

 

DON'T MISS CONGRESS MINUTES: Need to follow the action on Capitol Hill blow-by-blow? Check out Minutes, POLITICO's new platform that delivers the latest exclusives, twists and much more in real time. Get it on your desktop or download the POLITICO mobile app for iOS or Android. CHECK OUT CONGRESS MINUTES HERE.

 
 

GOVERNANCE CORNER

KLEPTOWATCH — WE NEED AN INTERNATIONAL ANTI-CORRUPTION COURT: That's the argument of Danilo Türk , former president of Slovenia. "This plague — which respects neither borders nor laws — can bankrupt nations, governments, communities and people, destroy the environment and undermine our trust in public institutions. It's a crime that further exacerbates inequality, poverty and social division," he writes for POLITICO.

KLEPTOWATCH — ARE RELIGIOUS LEADERS GETTING A FREE PASS? Meet the pro-Putin preacher the U.S. won't touch: Patriarch Kirill, the head of the Russian Orthodox Church. He's one of Putin's most prominent supporters — a man of the cloth who offers spiritual cover for the autocrat's invasion of Ukraine, all while suspected of profiting from that connection.

2022 BERGGRUEN GOVERNANCE INDEX: Billed as the first to enable direct comparisons of state capacity globally with levels of democracy and quality of life.

The findings "starkly demonstrate the importance of both freedoms and competence for governments to be effective," and note a decline in U.S. democracy on par with Hungary, Haiti and Turkey. In Africa, strong improvements in state capacity have led to a continent-wide surge in quality of life

AFGHANISTAN — STATE, USAID REFUSE TO COOPERATE ON AUDITS: A watchdog, the Special Inspector General for Afghanistan Reconstruction, says there are multiple audits of the fall of the Afghan government and ensuing months of Taliban rule that officials are not helping with. In a complaint letter, the watchdog said "agency officials now appear to have adopted a premeditated position of obstruction."

 

A message from the Atlantic Council and the Delegation of the European Union to the United States:

The EU-US Defense & Future Forum this week brought together leaders for in-depth discussions on the most pressing issues facing the transatlantic partnership. As Russia continues its invasion of Ukraine, policymakers weighed in on the implications for EU and US defense and security while addressing the digital policy agenda, the green transition, a transatlantic approach towards China, and more.

Highlights from the EU-US Defense & Future Forum—hosted by the Delegation of the European Union to the United States and the Atlantic Council's Europe Center—can be viewed here.

 
GLOBETROTTERS

IS THE STATE DEPARTMENT TROLLING HENRY KISSINGER? Archer K. Blood is getting recognition for his heroism protesting America's response to one of the worst humanitarian crises of the 20th century, a campaign by Pakistan against separatists that erupted into a mass murder of students, intellectuals and the local Hindu minority. Ten million refugees fled to neighboring India.

Implicit in the recognition: criticism of the man who ignored Blood's protests — then national security adviser, and later Secretary of State Henry Kissinger. In what became known as the Blood Telegram, Blood warned "our government has failed to denounce the suppression of democracy" and "failed to denounce atrocities."

DON'T MISS THE 2022 GREAT LAKES ECONOMIC FORUM: POLITICO is the media partner again at the Council of the Great Lakes Region's bi-national Great Lakes Economic Forum with co-hosts Gov. J.B. Pritzker and Mayor Lori Lightfoot, Sunday-Tuesday in Chicago. Register today.

Thanks to editor John Yearwood, Florian Eder and producer Hannah Farrow.

SUBSCRIBE to the POLITICO newsletter family: D.C. Playbook | Brussels Playbook | London Playbook | Paris Playbook| EU Confidential | D.C. Influence | EU Influence | London Influence | Digital Bridge | China Direct | Berlin Bulletin | Living Cities

 

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