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Flying cars and the 'vision thing' primary

How the next wave of technology is upending the global economy and its power structures
Mar 06, 2023 View in browser
 
POLITICO's Digital Future Daily newsletter logo

By Ben Schreckinger

With help from Derek Robertson

President Donald Trump holds an astronaut figurine during a signing ceremony for “Space Policy Directive 1.” | Getty Images

Former President Donald Trump holds a plastic astronaut figurine given to him by Apollo 17 astronaut and former U.S. Senator Jack Schmitt. | Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

Finally, Donald Trump has found a technology he likes.

On Friday, the former president — who regularly bashes big tech and only recently began texting— unveiled his “Quantum Leap” plan to improve American living standards. It calls for massive investment in vertical takeoff and landing vehicles, also known as flying cars.

That could be the start of a larger shift in the political environment as presidential campaign season draws near.

Washington’s love affair with Silicon Valley has soured in recent years, undone by concerns over online censorship, monopoly, privacy — and, more recently, the rise of crypto and AI.

But presidential campaigns come with a built-in, pro-technology dynamic. You might call it “The Vision Thing.”

Every four years, candidates offer American voters a chance to choose between competing visions for the country.

Time and time again, politicians have found that when it comes to painting a positive vision of the future, it helps to include some sort of cutting-edge technology — whether it was Stephen Douglas and a transcontinental railroad, Franklin Roosevelt and rural electrification, or John F. Kennedy and a mission to the moon.

(Though the Vision Thing dynamic is not always kind to existing technology companies: FDR, for example, clashed with private electricity providers over his vow to set up public utilities.)

What’s more, America’s physical frontier has been closed for more than a century, but candidates like Kennedy continue to rediscover the rhetorical value of finding “new frontiers” to open. That activity usually goes hand-in-hand with embracing new technologies, like spaceflight.

Coincidentally, Trump’s plan, as first reported by POLITICO’s Meridith McGraw, also includes a proposal to “reopen the frontier” by building 10 new “Freedom Cities” on federal land.

Not that Trump’s rhetorical style has suddenly become Kennedy-esque. In his speech yesterday at CPAC, the former president’s plug for the “Quantum Leap” intermingled with standard Trump fare like digs at electric cars and a vow to “demolish woke tyranny.”

Before running for president, Trump was a regular on the motivational speaking circuit, where the importance of visualizing success is often emphasized.

In that regard, the choice of flying cars as a campaign issue has an obvious benefit: They’re easy to visualize.

There’s also the fact that President Joe Biden has already staked his claim on electric cars, leaving Trump nowhere to go but up.

Trump’s plan tacitly aligns him with a favorite Silicon Valley critique of American society: that it has lost its ability to produce truly mind-bending new technology.

“We wanted flying cars, instead we got 140 characters,” as Peter Thiel famously lamented a decade ago.

Since then, visions of flying cars have crept closer to reality. Startups around the world are working on vertical takeoff and landing vehicles, with some impressive demo videos to show for it.

Much like a stand-up comedian, Trump often inserts new bits into his stump speech and sees how they play with his audience. Whether the promise of flying cars becomes a campaign mainstay will come down, in part, to whether he can make it an applause line.

And whether Americans actually get them in the near future is another matter.

Trump’s promise to build a wall on the Mexican border began as a gimmick proposed by a campaign aide to play to the real estate mogul’s image as a “builder.” The wall was easy to visualize and caught on with rally attendees. It led to years of political fighting over the proposal, but little in the way of actual border wall.

If Trump makes flying cars a campaign issue, it might be another president who actually sees the idea through.

It was Douglas and his fellow travelers in the Young America movement who pushed for a transcontinental railroad, but Abraham Lincoln who saw to its completion.

So, whether it's flying cars, asteroid mining, liquid hydrogen or cold fusion, whatever space-age tech wins the “Vision Thing” primary stands to gain ground in the years to come, no matter who ends up sitting in the Oval Office.

 

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waluigi time

Why are you seeing this man all over your Twitter timeline?

it's waluigi

Nintendo

You might not be terribly surprised to learn that it has to do with the increasingly dizzying world of discourse around generative AI — namely, something one pseudonymous blogger is calling “The Waluigi Effect.” It’s shorthand for the phenomenon whereby large language models like ChatGPT can unexpectedly do the opposite of what the user is ostensibly prompting them to do, named after a character from the Super Mario Bros. who has little identifiable personality beyond being not Luigi (this guy).

The author, who says in their LessWrong (a community blog founded by pioneering AI researcher Eliezer Yudkowsky) profile that they’re researching technical AI safety, takes the reader through a lengthy tour of probabilistic reasoning, deconstructionist literary theory, and, well, Nintendo stuff, to explain how and why LLMs might exhibit such unlikely behavior. It’s pretty out-there, yes. But given the extent to which AI researchers themselves increasingly can’t explain exactly what’s going on inside some sophisticated systems, some more unorthodox analysis might be worth a shot. — Derek Robertson

ai surveillance at the olympics

A consortium of privacy and digital-rights activists pleaded in a major French newspaper today to bar facial-recognition AI from the 2024 Paris Olympics.

In an op-ed in Le Monde, the group warns that the legal preparations for the Olympics are on track to make France the first European nation to officially sanction the technology. “As pointed out by the European Data Protection Board and the European Data Protection Supervisor, biometric surveillance has a serious impact on people's reasonable expectations of anonymity in public spaces,” the authors write (in French, via Google Translate). “...This measure threatens the very essence of the right to privacy and data protection, making it contrary to international and European human rights law.”

France’s data-protection chief argued in January against the use of the tool for surveillance at the upcoming Olympics, calling for France’s Parliament to vote down the bill authorizing it. The argument is on its way stateside, as well: The Los Angeles Times reported last week that a San Jose-based company was pitching, for the first time in the West, sophisticated “co-appearance” facial recognition tech that can not only track individuals, but who they associate with. — Derek Robertson

tweet of the day

uh, gpt-3 can correctly identify vulnerable code and offer mitigation strategies 🤯[in this case i copy-pasted a function that wasn’t known to be vulnerable when GPT-3 was trained but has since been confirmed to be vulnerable to directory traversal exploits as of Sept ‘22]

the future in 5 links

Stay in touch with the whole team: Ben Schreckinger (bschreckinger@politico.com); Derek Robertson (drobertson@politico.com); Mohar Chatterjee (mchatterjee@politico.com); Steve Heuser (sheuser@politico.com); and Benton Ives (bives@politico.com). Follow us @DigitalFuture on Twitter.

Ben Schreckinger covers tech, finance and politics for POLITICO; he is an investor in cryptocurrency.

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