Hi Rulers! I’m back as your guest host today. Feedback? Story ideas? Book recs? sgardner@politico.com or @sophie_gardnerj! In mid-March, the CDC released data that confirmed what many health professionals suspected: COVID-19 had devastating effects on the U.S. maternal mortality rate. The 2021 stats show the rate spiking by a whopping 40 percent, meaning that there were 32.9 deaths per 100,000 live births in 2021, up from 23.8 in 2020 and 20.1 in 2019. The 2021 rate was especially dire for non-hispanic Black people, at a shocking 69.9 deaths per 100,000. The CDC hasn’t released data that details the causes yet, which makes it hard to tell exactly how much of the spike can be attributed to COVID. But Donna L. Hoyert, the lead author on the CDC’s report, is already looking into it. One way to gauge the virus’ impact is through death certificates, she said, which mention when a patient had COVID-19. Hoyert also looked at the pattern of COVID-19 deaths, which matches up with the changes in the maternal mortality rate: “Comparing 2021 to 2020, the total number of COVID-19 deaths increased and the age group it’s affecting shifted somewhat to younger age groups,” which means that the virus was affecting more pregnant people, Hoyert told Women Rule. Because COVID-19 is a disease that medical professionals can test for, its link to maternal mortality rates is fairly easy to find. But since the 2021 data was recorded, there’s a new possible threat to the health of pregnant people: abortion restrictions. That story might not be as clear. In the summer of 2022, after the Roe V. Wade draft decision was published, a slew of articles detailed potential risks that abortion restrictions could pose to pregnant people, but few explained just how difficult the effects could be to document. “It's going to depend on the state, whether anybody goes to the trouble of identifying the fact that [a person who died from pregnancy-related causes] wanted to get an abortion and couldn't,” said Eugene Declercq, a professor of Community Health Sciences at the Boston University School of Public Health, who studies maternal mortality. “That’s going to be very difficult to systematically document.” That type of information won’t show up on a death certificate-based report like Hoyert’s. And looking specifically at the maternal mortality rate of states with strict anti-abortion laws comes with its own complications. “The states that have put in the restrictions already had significantly worse women's health outcomes” pre Dobbs v. Jackson decision, Declercq said. “It's going to be harder to pull that out because they are already doing so poorly.” The best bet is Maternal Mortality Review Committees, according to Declercq, which work on the state level to thoroughly review individual pregnancy-related deaths. “If anybody is going to start identifying cases where abortion restrictions might apply, might have had an impact, It's going to be in those maternal mortality reviews,” Declercq told Women Rule. Karen Sheffield-Abdullah is a certified nurse-midwife with a doctorate in nursing who served on the North Carolina MMRC until 2020. She investigated the medical records of individuals who had pregnancy-related deaths, sometimes plowing through 5,000 pages of information. “Looking for information that tells us whether or not the care that was received or not received contributed to the death of the individual … is part of doing our due diligence as scientists,” Sheffield-Abdullah told Women Rule. There is little post-Dobb’s data available yet, so it’s difficult to say exactly what those reports will look like when they do come out. Hoyert expects it will be about a year before the CDC releases their 2022 maternal mortality rates in the same series. “It will take a lot of different types of analysis of data, and it's going to take many years to be able to pin this trend on Dobbs,” said Katie McHugh, an Indiana-based OB/GYN and abortion care provider. But even pre-Dobbs and pre-COVID-19, the maternal mortality rate was on the rise. The CDC has documented a steady increase since 2018. And the U.S. rate is much higher than in other wealthy countries. “Maternal mortality and infant mortality are examples of how we treat the most vulnerable of our society,” McHugh said. “And when we see those numbers rising without equal attention to the causes of those increases, we know that our society does not actually value those vulnerable members.”
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