THE END OF THE MONTH IS NEAR — President Donald Trump has touted a series of drug pricing deals his administration has struck with pharmaceutical companies over the past few months, but we’re still waiting on the results from the second-ever cycle of Medicare drug price negotiations. Those prices must be unveiled by the end of the month. Signed into law by former President Joe Biden, the program’s second year of price negotiations targets 15 drugs used to treat conditions ranging from breast cancer to lung fibrosis. Prices for those drugs that are reached through the talks will kick into effect at the start of 2027. During the program’s first year, government negotiators reached prices for 10 selected drugs that would have saved the government roughly $6 billion if the new 2026 prices had been in effect in 2023. What to expect: Health policy experts anticipate the number could be exceeded during the second cycle, according to Rachel Sachs, a law professor at Washington University in St. Louis who worked as a senior adviser at HHS’s Office of the General Counsel during the Biden administration. “They selected 15 drugs rather than 10,” Sachs said. “More drugs, more potential for savings. And the mix of drugs that they selected included many more specialty drugs than were selected in the first cycle.” That could be important because specialty drugs — such as those used to treat cancer — are often not subject to high rebates, allowing greater ability to negotiate lower prices, according to Sachs. Keep an eye on Novo Nordisk: Trump struck a deal with drugmakers Eli Lilly and Novo Nordisk earlier this month for their weight-loss drugs, which will allow Medicare to pay $245 a month for Ozempic, Wegovy, Mounjaro and Zepbound. Americans on Medicare will be responsible for a $50 co-pay, the White House said when it rolled out the deal. But Novo’s Ozempic and Wegovy have also been part of the second round of price talks — and it is not clear what maximum fair price CMS negotiators reached for the drugs. Looking ahead: The third cycle of up to 15 new drugs selected for Medicare drug price negotiations will be announced by Feb. 1, 2026. Notably, this is the first time drugs in Medicare Part B can be selected — and CMS can also engage in the first cycle of renegotiation for drugs already in the program. Notably, Trump’s One Big Beautiful Bill Act excluded more drugs that treat rare diseases from Medicare negotiations — meaning expensive drugs such as Keytruda and Opdivo are not expected to be eligible for negotiation. “People previously had expected that they would be selected,” Sachs said. IT’S TUESDAY. WELCOME BACK TO PRESCRIPTION PULSE. We hope you have a good Thanksgiving with friends and family. Send tips and turkey to David Lim (dlim@politico.com, @davidalim or davidalim.49 on Signal) and Lauren Gardner (lgardner@politico.com, @Gardner_LM or gardnerlm.01 on Signal).
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