MANCHIN MADE A DEAL — After a year of will-he-won't-he vacillating, Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) got on board Wednesday with a massive package of tax credits for climate-friendly technologies that could reduce U.S. emissions by 40 percent in the next 8 years. Why did Manchin suddenly come around to including $369 billion for renewables and electric vehicles in the Democratic budget reconciliation bill? The key word is "balance," as Nick Sobczyk reports for POLITICO's E&E News: "I think that we've hit a balance," Manchin, who is still recovering from Covid-19, said during a virtual news conference Thursday. "This is not a Democrat bill, this is not a Republican bill. This is an American bill." In a radio interview Thursday, Manchin said he focused on including benefits for fossil fuels because most Democrats didn't appreciate that their climate goals would only work if the United States was energy independent. "It's hard to get people to even think that way, because they were so aspirational — 'Get rid of all fossil, get rid of all coal, get rid of all oil, get rid of all gas, get rid of everything,'" he said. "Yeah, and it would go to hell in a handbasket." The language would mandate lease sales in the Gulf of Mexico and off the coast of Alaska, as well as tying together federal leasing for renewables and oil and gas. The Center for Biological Diversity called its decision to "handcuff" renewables and petroleum together a "climate suicide pact," as E&E's Scott Waldman writes . And transit advocates are worried its heavy focus on EVs over rail, transit and bicycles could help "lock in highway dominance," POLITICO's Alex Daugherty reports . But it's what Manchin, the fulcrum of the Senate, can live with. Call it politically sustainable. "I think we have to be realistic about what is achievable and take the wins we can get," said Michael Wara , director of Stanford University's climate and energy policy program, who pointed out that offering more leases isn't a guarantee that they'll be drilled, especially with more renewables and EVs coming online to compete. "It's not over. Come back next year and fight for more." Caution: It's not a law yet. And it contains plenty that other senators might not like — see changes to carried interest, a tax break for the private equity and hedge fund industries that Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.) has previously protected, POLITICO's Marianne LeVine, Anthony Adragna and Burgess Everett note . "I have tremendous respect for [Minority Leader] Sen. [Mitch] McConnell's abilities," Wara said. "And I don't trust the marginal votes on the Democratic side to sleep well enough until there's actually legislation that has passed." More good news for Biden: Gas prices are falling fast, leaving enough of a cushion before the midterms to blunt Republicans' attacks. POLITICO's Ben Lefebvre has more .
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