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New York Dems are playing offense

Your afternoon must-read briefing informing the daily conversation among knowledgeable New Yorkers
Jun 28, 2024 View in browser
 
POLITICO New York Playbook PM

By Jeff Coltin

Supporters react during Westchester County Executive George Latimer's election night party, Tuesday, June 25, 2024 in White Plains, N.Y. (AP Photo/Jeenah Moon)

The election night watch party for George Latimer's campaign. Post-primaries, New York Democrats are feeling good, and emphasize that they’ve been planning for November much earlier than in past years. | AP

FULL STEAM AHEAD: Democrats blew it in New York two years ago, losing so many seats they helped the GOP seize control of the House. Now party leaders are on the offensive.

State Democratic Party Chair Jay Jacobs personally supported both John Avlon and John Mannion, thinking the pair, more than their vanquished primary opponents, would give the party the best shot at flipping seats in November.

Jacobs also bucked incumbent Rep. Jamaal Bowman by boosting George Latimer, who went on to win the primary. It’s a safe seat, but Jacobs was relieved Tuesday night, telling Playbook he thinks Bowman’s ouster will help Democrats win elsewhere.

“It’s a counter to the false Republican narrative that the Democratic Party is beholden to or bending to the will of the socialists and the far-left or other extreme interests,” Jacobs said. “They are wholly unattractive to Democratic voters or independent voters in the center.”

New York Democrats are determined not to repeat the midterms. They say they’re being purposeful and see reasons for optimism:

The state party’s coordinated campaign — new this year, for a state not known for collaboration — is in the midst of hiring organizers to work on turning out voters in six swing districts in November.

— Top Democratic operatives emphasize that they’ve been planning, and didn’t wait until after the primaries to build support (unlike in past cycles, it’s suggested).

— Gov. Kathy Hochul has been aggressively fundraising, bringing in more than $4 million in the last year, a spokesperson said. One April fundraiser in Columbia County featured Hochul and House candidate Josh Riley, who’s challenging Rep. Marc Molinaro. It brought in more than $100,000 in an afternoon.

— Battleground New York, a new coalition focused on helping Democrats in the same House races, is in the field registering voters, and says it has raised more than $5 million in a year.

— Dems also saw a promising sign for keeping Rep. Pat Ryan’s seat Tuesday: Turnout in the Democratic primary for an Ulster County Assembly seat topped 30 percent, more than double the rate for the rest of the state.

New York Republicans, on the other hand, are mostly playing defense. But they, too, have some reason to be optimistic going into November.

Redistricting could have been devastating for the GOP. Instead, the maps only made changes on the margins that left all the battlegrounds in play, and made some GOP-held districts — like those of Reps. Nick LaLota and Molinaro — marginally redder.

Recent polling has shown former President Donald Trump gained support in New York since 2020, when he lost to President Joe Biden by 23 points. That means Trump could be less of an anchor on down-ballot Republicans.

The GOP is also publicly pointing to an internal poll from last month showing Rep. Anthony D’Esposito up 7 points on Democrat Laura Gillen — though a fundraising memo from her campaign, obtained by Playbook, suggests their internal polling has the race tied.

Republicans also managed to avoid primaries in the swing districts. Avlon and Mannion are coming out of primaries with far less cash on hand than their GOP opponents, and after having fellow Democrats attack them for months.

“John Mannion leaves this primary bloodied, bruised and broke,” National Republican Congressional Committee spokesperson Savannah Viar said in a statement.

And she pushed back on Democrats’ arguments that the primaries elevated moderates who can flip seats in November. “I don’t think there’s been a general about face,” she said. “I think there are still plenty of things voters won’t like.” — Jeff Coltin, with reporting by Nick Reisman and Bill Mahoney

 

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From the Capitol

Donald Trump and Joe Biden stand on stage at lecterns.

New York Democrats reacted to Thursday night's presidential debate between former President Donald Trump and President Joe Biden | Justin Sullivan/Getty Images

NEW YORK DEMS REACT TO PRESIDENTIAL DEBATE…: 

“Trump has never been better. Biden has never been worse. Terrible for down ballot Dems. Elder abuse,” wrote former Nassau County Executive Laura Curran in a text message to Playbook.

“That debate was elder abuse,” said state Sen. Julia Salazar.

“Let’s be clear, Donald Trump is the greatest threat to the American people. He is a convicted felon who wants to ban abortion nationwide. Those are the stakes this November,” said Gov. Kathy Hochul.

“…I didn’t drink enough to watch this…” said state Sen. Gustavo Rivera.

“The greatest loser of tonight’s debate is the country,” said Rep. Ritchie Torres.

“It is time to step aside and call off this run… We need a strong candidate NOW. There is still time.” said former state Sen. Alessandra Biaggi.

“I will take a bad night to a convicted felon who lied to his teeth and refuses to answer the question if he will commit himself to accept the results of the election,” Rep. Nydia Velázquez said in a text message to Playbook. “Oh and forgot to mention about lying on having sex w/ porn lady.”

“There is no question that President Biden had an off night last night, but nobody is defined by their best night or worst night. Presidents are defined by their record,” Rep. Dan Goldman said.

“To state the obvious, it was not a good night for Democrats,” Manhattan Borough President Mark Levine told Playbook.

“People close to him have to have a conversation, because if the next debate goes like the last one, it won’t even be close anymore,” former Gov. David Paterson said.

… HEASTIE’S STICKING WITH BIDEN: Despite the concerns of some New York Democrats, Assembly Speaker Carl Heastie is continuing to support Biden, whom he called “an exemplary president.”

“Maybe some people had a little bit of concern with President Biden’s delivery,” Heastie, a superdelegate, said while visiting a school for children with developmental disabilities in Princetown. But “the alternative is just a big liar.”

The speaker attributed Biden’s weak poll numbers in places like New York to a general instinct to blame the party in power, “even though President Biden has spent his term cleaning up the mess of the previous president.”

“Sometimes it’s like the game of hot potato,” said Heastie, whose cousin was college roommates with Vice President Kamala Harris. “You might not have started with the potato but when it ends with you when the music stops, you have to sometimes be the one to deal with the consequences.”— Bill Mahoney

EXTREME HEAT PLAN FINALIZED: Following the summer’s first heat wave, Gov. Kathy Hochul’s administration has issued a final plan for how state agencies will support communities dealing with hotter temperatures — especially those least equipped to adapt and most at risk. The action plan, first announced by Hochul as part of her 2022 State of the State, outlines additional planning, coordination and communication efforts state and local agencies should take.

It also calls for funding — for capital projects to mitigate extreme heat, installing green infrastructure, training and funding for arborists. Other actions that will require additional steps include updating the state’s building codes, identifying state facilities to install demonstration heat-mitigation technologies and expanding access to cooling centers.

“As New Yorkers witnessed this past week, extreme heat weather events will only increase with climate change threatening the lives and livelihoods of many New Yorkers, particularly those in disadvantaged communities and communities of color,” Hochul said in a statement. — Marie J. French

IN OTHER NEWS

— BUDGET DEAL REACHED: Adams, Council reach deal on $112.4B city budget. (POLITICO Pro)

— FINE PRINT: Hochul administration counsel Liz Fine will leave the post this fall and is helping the search for her successor. (POLITICO Pro)

— GOP TAKES WFP LINE: It’s final now. The Working Families Party line in a competitive Hudson Valley congressional district will be given to an unknown Republican instead of Democratic nominee and former Rep. Mondaire Jones. (Gothamist)

— BIDEN BRINGS TROUBLE: For decades, Democrats in New York could count on the Presidential candidate to boost them up in November, but this year looks different. (Gothamist)

— HALF-PRICE METROCARDS: The city is likely to expand eligibility on its half-priced MetroCard program in its upcoming budget. (AM New York)

Missed this morning’s New York Playbook? Read it here.

 

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