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Your Friday Briefing: Russia may invade in “coming days,” U.S. warns

Shelling in eastern Ukraine raises fears of an escalation.

Good morning. We're covering a U.S. warning of an imminent Russian invasion of Ukraine and a shift in South Korea's Covid strategy.

Ukrainian soldiers moved weapons Thursday amid the looming threat of invasion by Russia.Tyler Hicks/The New York Times

U.S. says Russia is set to invade "in the coming days"

Despite Russia's insistence that it is withdrawing troops from the border with Ukraine, U.S. officials warned that an invasion was imminent.

Secretary of State Antony Blinken told the U.N. Security Council that Russia's "forces, including ground troops, aircraft, ships, are preparing to launch an attack against Ukraine in the coming days."

Secretary of Defense Lloyd Austin, who met with the head of NATO in Brussels, said Russia continued to move troops closer to Ukraine's borders, was adding combat aircraft and was stocking up on blood supplies in anticipation of casualties on the battlefield.

President Biden warned that the threat of an attack remained "very high." We have live updates.

On the ground: Artillery shells struck a town in eastern Ukraine on Thursday, damaging a kindergarten and wounding three adult civilians. Ukraine blamed Russia-backed separatists, while the Kremlin said "the Ukrainian side" had launched the first strike. The exchange of fire raised fears of an escalation.

Diplomacy: The U.S. State Department revealed that Russia had expelled the No. 2 American diplomat in Moscow. Also, in an official response to U.S. proposals about the crisis, the Kremlin said it was not planning any invasion but that if the U.S. did not agree to its demands, including lessening NATO's presence in Eastern Europe, it would "be forced to respond" with military action.

Analysis: After 30 years of post-Cold War peace, the Ukraine crisis is shaking a sense of complacency among many Europeans, our chief diplomatic correspondent in Europe writes.

Police boarded buses at a convention center near the airport in Ottawa.Patrick Doyle/Reuters

Canadian police appear to prepare clampdown

A confrontation between protesters and the police loomed in Ottawa on Thursday. Ontario's police force gathered outside Ottawa's city center in an apparent preparation to end the trucker protests that have stalled traffic there for the past few weeks.

The police have distributed written notices to the protesters, warning them to leave the area or face penalties. Crews of workers put up wire fencing around the Parliament building downtown.

Inside the building, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau called on the protesters to go home. "It is high time that these illegal and dangerous activities stop, including here in Ottawa," he said.

Many protesters vowed to stay put. One protester said their instructions were to remain in their trucks, lock the doors and not open them for anyone, including the police. Here's the latest.

Background: The protests began weeks ago with a group of truckers who objected to a requirement that they be vaccinated against the coronavirus to cross the U.S.-Canada border. With help from right-wing activists, the protests ballooned into a broader movement opposed to pandemic measures and Trudeau in general.

People wait in line for coronavirus tests at a makeshift testing site in Seoul this month.Ahn Young-Joon/Associated Press

South Korea shifts its Covid strategy

With the Omicron variant of the coronavirus spreading quickly, the South Korean government says it is changing tack to focus almost exclusively on the most vulnerable.

After two years of effectively battling off major Covid-19 surges with its broad and heavy-handed three-T strategy — testing, tracing and treating — South Korean authorities have announced a new game plan: "select and focus." The country is asking patients who test positive to look after themselves at home, while​ it redirects resources to those who are at greatest risk of dying.

The change, the government says, was necessary to cope with Omicron's rise. Until last year, South Korea never had more than 7,849 confirmed cases a day. But as Omicron became dominant, the daily caseload soared to 93,135 on Thursday. The government expects up to 170,000 new patients a day later this month.

Critics have argued that the government's new approach disadvantages underprivileged classes, like poor people who lack access to medical care or other social services. The new strategy will focus on people in their 60s and older and those with pre-existing medical conditions — supplying them with at-home treatment kits and calling twice a day to check on their condition.

In other virus developments:

THE LATEST NEWS

Olympics
Kamila Valieva of Russia after finishing fourth in the women's individual event.Chang W. Lee/The New York Times
Around the World
French Foreign Legion troops in northeastern Mali in 2020.Finbarr O'Reilly for The New York Times
A Morning Read
Afghan refugees arrive at a repatriation center in Torkham, Afghanistan.Noorullah Shirzada/Agence France-Presse — Getty Images

A Canadian journalist based in Kabul followed along with his friend and longtime translator as he fled economic uncertainty and political instability to find a new life in Europe. The journalist, Matthieu Aikins, went undercover disguised as a fellow migrant with the name "Habib," allowing him to experience and document the life of a refugee.

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ARTS AND IDEAS

The lives of street children

A street child in Lusaka, Zambia, finds another boy dead in a mountain of trash. Who was he, and who killed him? That's the mystery at the heart of "Walking the Bowl," a new nonfiction book by Chris Lockhart and Daniel Mulilo Chama.

Lockhart, an American anthropologist, and Chama, a Zambian outreach worker, partnered with a team of former street children who helped them gather information. The story follows a 17-year-old hustler; a spindly 8-year-old who is alone in the city; a 16-year-old prostitute planning her escape; and Lusabilo, an observant 11-year-old boy who scavenges through trash. Their lives twine around one another; each, it turns out, has played a key role in the boy's death.

"Daily life, meticulously recorded, rarely has the attributes of a novel," Ellen Barry, a mental health reporter for The Times who was previously chief international correspondent, writes in a review, "a clean arc of ascending action, a handful of vivid characters, an ending that snaps shut like a purse. 'Walking the Bowl,' remarkably, has all of those."

PLAY, WATCH, EAT

What to Cook
Christopher Simpson for The New York Times. Food Stylist: Simon Andrews.

Adding fried eggs, a smoky yogurt sauce and crunchy almonds turns this sweet potato dish into a satisfying, meatless meal.

What to Read

Get a glimpse into the lives of rich daughters over the past five centuries in "Heiresses," by Laura Thompson.

What to Watch

"A Banquet" asks audiences to consider the overlaps between reality and fantasy, psychosis and evangelism.

Now Time to Play

Here's today's Mini Crossword, and a clue: "baby horse" (four letters).

Here's today's Wordle. (If you're worried about your stats streak, play in the browser you've been using.)

That's it for today's briefing. Tell us what you think about this newsletter in this short survey. Thank you! See you next time. — Matthew

P.S. David Gelles, a Times business reporter, is joining the Climate desk to cover the intersection of business and climate policy.

The latest episode of "The Daily" is about the U.S. response to the crisis in Ukraine.

You can reach Matthew and the team at briefing@nytimes.com.

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