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Mar 15, 2022 View in browser
 
Ottawa Playbook

By Nick Taylor-Vaisey

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WELCOME TO OTTAWA PLAYBOOK. I'm your host, Nick Taylor-Vaisey. Today, Ukrainian President VOLODYMYR ZELENSKYY makes history as he delivers a remote address to MPs and senators in Ottawa. JEAN CHAREST has Covid. Also, just try to keep track of all the mudslinging among Tory leadership hopefuls.

Driving the Day

POSITIVE TEST — "I'll be campaigning from home for the next few days," tweeted JEAN CHAREST, who was suffering mild symptoms four days after his Calgary campaign launch.

COUNTERATTACKS — One man's nasty spat is another man's simple crystallization of policy differences.

Call PATRICK BROWN and PIERRE POILIEVRE's online tangles whatever you want. They're raising the stakes on what the Tory leadership race is all about. The last two Conservative leadership contests weren't exactly kumbaya, but Public Enemy No. 1 was always JUSTIN TRUDEAU . He's barely part of the conversation this week.

"If this Conservative leadership race is going to be a battle for the soul of the party, we should fight the real reasons why our party hasn't won in over a decade," Brown tweeted Monday. "Pierre Poilievre asked for a fight. He's got one."

Poilievre had already drawn Sunday with an attack first shared by JENNI BYRNE.

Brown's first anti-Poilievre wedge? Religious freedom, a key plank in his appeal to thousands of potential party members in Sikh, Hindu and Muslim communities. "We will proudly lean into it. And we will win," Brown says.

The Brampton mayor attacked the Ottawa MP for never turning his back on a late Harper-era policy of banning the wearing of niqabs at citizenship ceremonies. Poilievre denied there was ever a ban, and called Brown a liar.

Brown pointed out that Poilievre campaign co-chair TIM UPPAL and MP MELISSA LANTSMAN have both since retracted support for the niqab policy. The National Council of Canadian Muslims sided with Brown, too.

Phew. Still with us?

— A little bit of mischief: Poilievre's camp registered his website, pierre4pm.ca, on Feb. 1 — one day before ERIN O'TOOLE was removed as leader. Someone on the internet registered the almost-identical-but-not pierreforpm.ca the very same day. That site now redirects to a CBC story from 2008 when Poilievre apologized for remarks about the work ethic of Indigenous people.

Nasty spat or crystallization of differences? You decide.

HARPER V BROWN — There's history here. Brown is famously an acolyte of JEAN CHAREST, tracing back to Charest's time as federal Progressive Conservative leader at the height of Canada's national unity crisis in the '90s.

Brown and Poilievre both later sat in STEPHEN HARPER's caucus. Brown was a forever backbencher — never elevated to so much as committee chair after nine years in the Commons. Poilievre was a parliamentary secretary for seven years, including three as Harper's parliamentary right hand. He spent two years in Cabinet.

In his feisty 2018 memoir "Takedown," Brown explains the source of his poor relations with the PM. He says it was all about BELINDA STRONACH, Harper's leadership rival in 2004 whom Brown had supported.

(As a young lad, Brown worked as a summer student at the Stronach family's Magna empire. Brown scored the internship after he was a finalist for the "As Prime Minister" essay-writing contest sponsored by the company. As it happens, Poilievre was a finalist in the same competition in a different year.)

— In his own words: "Successful politicians have good memories. They remember faces, names and events. I believe Harper, a formidable politician, remembered my name, my face and Stronach's nomination event, despite what he may say now… And so, when I was elected to Ottawa, I wasn't part of the Harper group and I didn't get many opportunities.

"I respected Harper and always felt he was brilliant. But we did not see eye to eye. I was more of a 'Red Tory' and I frankly didn't get why there were certain issues that the Harperites were so preoccupied with and opposed to, such as gay rights."

LAUGHING ALL THE WAY TO THE BANK — Liberal Party HQ circulated a fundraising missive to supporters: "While they continue to double down on negative attacks and the politics of division, Liberals will stay focused on Canadians' priorities and our positive plan to build a better Canada."

The governing party is either referring to the Tories' approach to House debate or the internecine warfare across the aisle. For them, it's all gravy.

Related reading on the Conservative campaign trail:

— The Narwhal's EMMA MCINTOSH implores male journalists to not ignore the 2018 misconduct accusations against Brown that are still online in CTV's bombshell.

— ÉRIC GRENIER: If Jean Charest has a path, he'll have to build it.

— In Policy, LISA VAN DUSEN writes of Charest: "Repeating that he's a Conservative as often as he can is not a substitute for an explanation of Charest's Conservative-Liberal-Conservative trajectory and it only undermines the message of his career that there are times when principle comes before labels."

— On the Bad + Bitchy pod, ERICA IFILL and ERIN GEE commit to being the "one-stop shop" for a certain Tory leadership hopeful's content. "I can't wait until LESLYN LEWIS gets really into the mix," says Ifill. "I want to see how people are going to walk around this race issue." Listen.

— GEOFF NORQUAY pens a memo at Earnscliffe with "a few pro tips" for Tories.

— Neutral ground: Ontario MP SHELBY KRAMP-NEUMAN replaces ERIC DUNCAN on the Tories' leadership election organizing committee: "I am eager to continue to serve the Party, its members, and caucus in this important role, and look forward to working with the next Prime Minister of Canada in September."

ALSO FOR YOUR RADAR

QUOTE OF THE DAY — "We know they're lying, because their lips are moving." That's BOB RAE on CBC's Power & Politics, describing Russian government officials.

TWEET OF THE DAY — Sen. STAN KUTCHER: "To those flooding me with coordinated emails, please note: the WEF does not control #Canada; democracy includes debating legislation; Putin is not our friend; vaccines are not a bioweapon; anger, hate and paranoia are not the stuff of good policy, you don't know what God wants."

WILD ROSE COUNTRY — Balanced budget and return of the oil revenues be damned. RACHEL NOTLEY's NDP is ahead of Premier JASON KENNEY's United Conservatives. Research Co.'s snapshot du jour pegs the race at a whopping 45-30.

OUCH — People's Party leader MAXIME BERNIER was ordered to pay C$132,000 in legal costs after losing a defamation case against lawyer and consultant WARREN KINSELLA. The Globe's BILL CURRY has the scoop.

TODAY'S HIGHLIGHTS

8:30 a.m. Statistics Canada to release its monthly survey of manufacturing for January.

11:15 a.m. Ukrainian President VOLODYMYR ZELENSKYY addresses Parliament. Here's The Star's RAISA PATEL on world leaders who have spoken in the House.

1 p.m. (11 MDT): Housing Minister AHMED HUSSEN joins Edmonton Mayor AMARJEET SOHI for a housing announcement.

ASK US ANYTHING

TELL US WHAT YOU KNOW — What are you hearing that you need Playbook to know? Send it all our way.

PAPER TRAIL

COVID POLLING — Health Canada-commissioned polling that was recently published online illustrates just how dramatically Canadians' attitudes on Covid vaccines evolved last year amid heated public debate.

— The timeline: Leger delivered eight waves of surveys for a year starting in September 2020. Cost: C$238,615.89.

— Shifting sands: Leger asked why those who weren't getting vaccinated were reluctant to do so. During the sixth wave of polling in April 2021, only 11 percent said they didn't plan to get the shot at all. Another 12 percent said they were waiting for their preferred shot; 13 percent worried about side effects; and 17 percent had already booked an appointment.

The number of unvaccinated Canadians soon dropped substantially, but the holdouts' opinions appeared to harden.

Leger was in the field again in June, when 24 percent of respondents who weren't getting the shot said they never would. Another 26 percent worried about side effects. Those numbers held through the final wave of surveys in September 2021.

— Vaccine passports: Leger also asked Canadians about what turned out to be the biggest wedge issue on the federal campaign trail: mandates.

In April, only 35 percent agreed that proof of vaccination should replace testing requirements for incoming international travelers. One in four strongly disagreed.

What a difference a summer makes.

By August, the pollster tested support for both an international vaccine passport and a domestic certificate that would allow entry into concerts and sporting events. Three in four were okay with the cross-border passport and two-thirds were fine with carrying one around town.

The eighth wave of surveys, which coincided with the end of the federal campaign, revealed even more support for certificates: 78 percent approved of an out-of-country vaxx pass; 73 percent gave the thumbs up to domestic proof of vaxx.

MEDIA ROOM

— FATIMA SYED's Backbench pod is back, now on a weekly rhythm. Syed's first guest is none other than BOB RAE. Listen.

— MITCH HEIMPEL, director of campaigns and government relations at Enterprise Canada, writes in The Line on what it would take politically to get Canada to start taking procurement seriously.

One idea: put the minister responsible on Cabinet's executive committee and the expenditure-managing Treasury Board. (Defense Minister ANITA ANAND and Procurement Minister FILOMENA TASSI sit on neither at the moment.)

— University of Ottawa energy prof MONICA GATTINGER ponders Canada's fractious debate over energy security and exposes an uncomfortable truth about how the policy sausage is made.

"Unfortunately, energy and climate policy are often made in silos in Canada — witness separate ministers for the environment and natural resources in Ottawa. This militates against developing integrated approaches that attend to both energy and climate priorities." What, two Cabinet committees isn't enough?

— JIMMY THOMSON in The Narwhal: How Indigenous guardians are reinforcing sovereignty and science on their lands.

Playbookers

Birthdays: HBD to former Conservative Cabinet minister RONA AMBROSE, Newfoundland and Labrador MP YVONNE JONES, former Conservative MP PHIL MCCOLEMAN and former B.C. politician DAVID J. MITCHELL.

Spotted: CHRISTIAN PAAS-LANG,hurrying spring. … MP LAILA GOODRIDGEin the visitors' gallery at the Alberta Legislative Assembly. Today in Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche, voters will decide who will fill the seat left vacant by Goodridge when she decided to run federally last fall.

Former MP ADAM VAUGHAN, complaining to the NHL about a Toronto Maple Leafs all-star's suspension.

Movers and shakers: Applications are open for the 2022 Media Girlfriends Student Scholarships. The House is hiring a comms coordinator.

The Hill Times dropped its annual list of the 100 best lobbyists in town . "The list is not a popularity contest, but is intended to showcase prominent lobbyists at the federal level based on their reputation and perceived effectiveness, as judged by their peers," the paper claims. Not a popularity contest? Suuuuuuure.

Lobbyists posted more than 400 meetings — communication reports, in the bureaucratic parlance — to the federal registry on Monday. Here's just one: The Tourism Industry Association logged a meeting with PMO senior adviser BEN CHIN.

Media mentions: JESSICA SMITH CROSS is the new editor of iPolitics, which also relaunched its website … MICHÈLE OUIMET will be honored with the Canadian Journalism Foundation's (CJF) Lifetime Achievement Award in June.

PROZONE

For Pro subscribers, here's our PM Canada memo: Shadow of war falls on Budget 2022.

In news for POLITICO Pro subscribers:

— EU regulator accuses banks of publishing 'white noise' on climate change.
— Can the Texas power grid withstand extreme weather? Depends who you ask.
— CDC wants to monitor poop: States aren't all on board.
— Pfizer CEO says another Covid booster will be needed.
— Covid chaos fueled another public health crisis: STDs.

TRIVIA

Monday's answer: Conservative MP MIKE LAKE represents Edmonton–Wetaskiwin, the largest and fastest-growing riding in Canada. The second-fastest growing riding is Carleton, Ont. — repped by PIERRE POILIEVRE.

Props to DAN ARNOLD,ROBERT MCDOUGALL, AMY BOUGHNER, SHEILA GERVAIS and ALAN KAN.

Arnold, the PMO's former point-man for research and advertising, tweeted a lot about riding populations when Statistics Canada released the data last month. (Playbook interviewed him about his old gig.)

Tuesday's question: What is the total number of privy councilors ever appointed in Canada?

a) 816
b) 756
c) 947
d) 632

Send your answers to ottawaplaybook@politico.com

Have a petition you want signed? A cause you're promoting? Seeking to increase brand awareness amongst this key audience? Share your message with our influential readers to foster engagement and drive action. Contact Alejandra Waase to find out how: awaase@politico.com.

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