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The anti-Biden authors paying for Biden polls

Aug 23, 2022 View in browser
 
West Wing Playbook

By Daniel Lippman, Alex Thompson and Max Tani

Welcome to POLITICO's West Wing Playbook, your guide to the people and power centers in the Biden administration. With help from Allie Bice. 

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Political polling has long been the purview of independent outfits and news organizations like the New York Times and CBS News. But in recent months, a number of conservative authors critical of JOE BIDEN and his family have paid to sponsor polls of their own.

Those polls have been conducted by Rasmussen, a conservative-leaning polling outfit, which, in turn, has meant that their results — on everything from Biden's approval rating to the generic congressional ballot — have been incorporated into polling aggregators. And there have been a lot of polls.

Among those who have sponsored the surveys include MIRANDA DEVINE, who wrote " Laptop from Hell: Hunter Biden, Big Tech, and the Dirty Secrets the President Tried to Hide." MATT PALUMBO, author of " The Man Behind the Curtain: Inside the Secret Network of George Soros," has sponsored the Rasmussen daily presidential tracking poll 28 times , including as recently as Tuesday. In addition, JACK POSOBIEC, of " The Antifa: Stories from Inside the Black Bloc," sponsored the tracking poll 33 times last summer. Posobiec, who is infamous for peddling conspiracies like Pizzagate, also sponsored the Rasumussen poll twice under his own name in 2020.

Several of the sponsors say there is nothing nefarious behind their investment. Instead, they view it as a way to reach those conservatives who follow politics obsessively and an opportunity to promote their work.

"It just gets the name of the book out," said Devine, in an interview with West Wing Playbook. "It's just publicity. Any publicity is good publicity for the book. Mostly I see Rasmussen on Twitter, so whenever they put out their daily tracking poll, they put 'Laptop from Hell' in there."

Devine said she didn't come up with the sponsorship idea but was pitched to pay for the poll by TED CARROLL, a partner with Rasmussen parent company Noson Lawen Partners. "I have a good relationship with them. They sometimes give me previews of the polls, an early embargo, so I get to break stuff, it's a symbiotic relationship," she said. Asked how much she pays to sponsor a poll, she declined "to go into that private business with you."

"Do you think there's something odd with it?" she added. "Is there something wrong with it? Has someone come to you and told you that there's something problematic with it? [Is it] inappropriate?"

Despite her generally positive perception of the relationship, Devine, who has sponsored a Rasmussen poll 48 times, admitted she doesn't know if it has actually helped book sales. "I have no insight into that kind of granularity," she said. "I don't know that it would have sold many books, it just keeps the name recognition up there."

Still, she is likely to sponsor the poll for a few more months.

Posobiec, by contrast, said that sponsoring the poll actually helped his book. He said he enjoyed working with Rasmussen and that the relationship, which started last summer, was "great for book sales." He said the publisher was "very happy with that and our marketing to the audience."

Rasmussen polls have been criticized for more than a decade for being too favorable to Republicans at the expense of being accurate forecasts. Democrats have long criticized the outfit and a 2018 Associated Press story noted that it stood "alone among frequent pollsters in finding such a high rating for Trump, and its findings are often seen as less reliable because of the automated calling method it uses."

As Democrats recently began to make gains on the generic congressional ballot, Devine's "Laptop from Hell"-sponsored poll was, for a period of time, the one survey that showed Republicans continuing to lead. Conversely, however, Palumbo's most recent "The Man Behind the Curtain" poll had Biden's approval rating at 47 percent, with 52 percent disapproving — one of his best margins in ages.

Palumbo, who is the content manager for DAN BONGINO 's Bongino Report, declined a request for an interview. "I don't care," when asked for a comment.

Asked for an interview, Carroll said in a text message: "No thanks. Go ahead and publish, you've gotten comments from our clients for your silly story. Can't wait to read it."

PROGRAMMING NOTE: West Wing Playbook will be taking a week-long break starting Monday, Aug. 29. We'll be back in your inbox on Tuesday, Sept. 6. We hope our absence makes your heart grow fonder.

MESSAGE US — Are you JACOB SPREYER, Biden's new body man? We want to hear from you! And we'll keep you anonymous if you'd like. Or if you think we missed something in today's edition, let us know and we may include it tomorrow. Email us at westwingtips@politico.com.

 

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POTUS PUZZLER

With the White House Historical Association 

What was first lady BETTY FORD's favorite color? Hint: the color inspired a dress she wore at not one but two State dinners.

(Answer at the bottom.)

The Oval

TRULY BIDEN HIS TIME (sorry): All week/weekend long, the White House reporters camped out in Rehoboth Beach, Del., waited for Biden to leave for a nice bike ride or walk on the beach. And waited. But after decamping from Wilmington for his beach house in Rehoboth on Saturday evening, the president didn't do much of anything. As of this newsletter's publication, he hasn't been out in public for three days.

WHAT THE WHITE HOUSE WANTS YOU TO READ: This fact-check from the Washington Post's GLENN KESSLER looking at chief of staff RON KLAIN's recent refrain about Biden's achievements. "The president has delivered the largest economic recovery plan since Roosevelt, the largest infrastructure plan since Eisenhower, the most judges confirmed since Kennedy, the second largest health care bill since Johnson, and the largest climate change bill in history."

Kessler dinged Klain for his broad definition of what counts as "economic recovery" spending and noted that BILL CLINTON had narrowly confirmed more judges at the time Klain made the remark. Still, he largely affirmed Klain's claims. Klain seemed to enjoy the piece too, liking a tweet by former journalist RON FOURNIER who wrote that Klain was "right to brag."

WHAT THE WHITE HOUSE DOESN'T WANT YOU TO READ: This piece by The American Prospect's ROBERT KUTTNER, who critiques Transportation Secretary PETE BUTTIGIEG's latest attempt to deal with skyrocketing airfare and many (so many) flight cancellations this past summer.

On Aug. 3, Buttigieg issued a draft rule that, in theory, could eventually compel airlines to give cash refunds to passengers whose flights were canceled.

"It sounds great, but in practice the rule could actually give the airlines two more years to continue their anti-consumer behavior," Kuttner writes. He adds that the proposed rule "does nothing but allow DOT and Buttigieg to claim they are making an advance on policy while actually taking a step backwards."

THE BUREAUCRATS

BODY MAN OUT: STEPHEN GOEPFERT, the president's personal aide, someone often referred to as his "body man," will be leaving for a role at the Transportation Department, CNN's PHIL MATTINGLY reports.

JACOB SPREYER, who currently serves as the official White House receptionist, will take Goepfert's spot. The piece is very complimentary with quotes from Ron Klain and Biden aides STEVE RICCHETTI and ANNIE TOMASINI.

Agenda Setting

BABY FORMULA MESS: Despite the administration's highly-touted efforts, baby formula shortages still linger nationwide. As a result, the Biden administration is considering extending flexibilities for those who obtain baby formula through the federal WIC nutrition program, our MEREDITH LEE scooped ( follow her here! ). The current aid expires Sept. 30.

COMING VERY, VERY SOON: The president is set to announce his plan for relieving student loan debt as soon as Wednesday, after weighing his options for months. People tell our MICHAEL STRATFORD and EUGENE DANIELS that the administration's plan would forgive up to $10,000 for some borrowers and further extend the current freeze on loan repayment. The details remain in flux but you can read more here.

RUSSIA RAMPS UP: The U.S. issued an alert Monday warning that Russia "is stepping up efforts to launch strikes against Ukraine's civilian infrastructure and government facilities in the coming days," AP's AAMER MADHANI reports.

As the invasion nears the six-month mark, the administration plans on Wednesday to announce another $3 billion in aid and security assistance to Ukraine. AP's LOLITA C. BALDOR and MATTHEW LEE have more details.

Also read ALEXANDER WARD's NatSec Daily on the deal.

What We're Reading

Biden Liaison to Black Voters Leaves White House for Law Firm (Bloomberg's Mario Parker)

Biden's summer vacation allows time for White House renovations (CNN's Kevin Liptak)

Global Economies Flash Warning of Sharp Slowdown (WSJ's Paul Hannon and Gabriel T. Rubin)

Pariah No Longer: Biden Admin Taps Saudi Energy Company Board Member for Top Energy Department Post (Free Beacon's Chuck Ross)

POTUS PUZZLER ANSWER

Ford's favorite color was a pale green, which inspired a state dinner dress of hers designed by FRANKIE WELCH. The White House Historical Association notes that the dress featured "embroidered surface design in a chrysanthemum pattern and sequins sewn throughout" along with a "deep V neckline."

A CALL OUT — Do you have a harder trivia question? Send us your best one about the presidents with a citation and we may feature it.

Edited by Eun Kyung Kim and Sam Stein.

 

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