Trouble in EV paradise

Presented by Chevron: Your guide to the political forces shaping the energy transformation

Aug 04, 2022 View in browser   By Nick Sobczyk Presented by Chevron Assembly equipment flanks a GMC Hummer EV at a Detroit factory. | Bill Pugliano/Getty Images Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) surprised observers and fellow lawmakers when he agreed to include an electric vehicle tax credit in Democrats' $379 billion climate bill. But the structure of the $7,500 incentive might mean consumers can't benefit from it at all. It has prompted a scramble among lawmakers from Michigan, the U.S. auto manufacturing hub, and car companies as Democrats rush to pass the legislation through the Senate by this weekend. "The rules have, unfortunately, been written in a way that once they take effect, none of the auto companies will be able to use them for the foreseeable future," said Sen. Debbie Stabenow (D-Mich.). The issue The problem boils down to supply chains. Currently, the minerals required to build parts for EVs and other clean cars — lithium, cobalt, graphite and nickel — are mined and processed primarily in China, Russia and a handful of other nations that are not U.S. free trade partners. As Democrats negotiated the bill over the last year, Manchin outlined concerns about that issue, arguing that electric vehicle incentives could inadvertently subsidize China. The deal he struck with Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) would offer the full $7,500 tax credit for an EV only if 40 percent of the battery minerals are extracted or processed in the United States or by a nation that is party to a U.S. free trade agreement. Automakers, already dealing with international supply chain bottlenecks, fear that requirement would be impossible to meet in the near term and make the incentive unusable for consumers. "We're trying to make sure that it works for its intended purpose, which was to make sure that we're promoting electric vehicles," said Sen. Gary Peters (D-Mich.). What happens next The problem is widely acknowledged among Democrats, but they may have little recourse to fix it. Senate Democrats need every member of their caucus to be on board to pass the bill. Thrilled that they finally have a climate deal in hand, many do not want to make substantive changes and risk losing Manchin's vote. And as we noted yesterday , the EV provision could be clipped from the bill if it doesn't comply with the strict rules that govern the reconciliation process. "Lots of people are talking about rewriting everything," Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse (D-R.I.) told reporters yesterday. "The question is whether any of that is likely to happen."   It's Thursday — thank you for tuning in to POLITICO's Power Switch. I'm your host today,  Nick Sobczyk , with reporting help from Jael Holzman . Arianna Skibell will be back soon! Power Switch is brought to you by the journalists behind E&E News and POLITICO Energy. Send your tips, comments, questions to nsobczyk@eenews.net. This Is Climate Change A great white shark. | Dan Kitwood/Getty Images Great white sharks are increasingly finding a home in California's Monterey Bay as the ocean warms, according to a sweeping data set released recently by researchers . The Monterey Bay Aquarium led a 20-year study of juvenile white sharks. They found that climate change is shifting their habitat, expanding their range northward on California's coast. "These complete metadata sets can provide a vast amount of useful information to fisheries managers and other scientists," John O'Sullivan, Monterey Bay Aquarium director of collections and lead author of the study, told the Los Angeles Times . Power Centers Varistor60/Wikipedia (transmission lines); Rawpixel (turbines) Climate bill roundup Utilities are lining up to support for Democrats' climate bill, hoping to benefit from its massive set of clean energy tax credits, writes Benjamin Storrow. Over a year of negotiations, penalties for utilities who do not reduce emissions have dropped out of the bill, helping to win support from skeptical power companies at a time when Democrats are trying to secure 50 votes in the Senate. Read the story here . Meanwhile, the bill's proposed fee on methane emissions appears likely to survive the Senate parliamentarian, who officiates the rules for party-line reconciliation legislation, writes your host, alongside Jeremy Dillon and Nico Portuondo. Read more here . The separate permitting bill Democrats have agreed to with Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) as a condition of his support for the climate bill could handcuff the courts, writes Niina H. Farah. Read that story here . Hot in California California's energy budget got a last-minute infusion of hundreds of millions of dollars to buy power from fossil fuel plants set to close, Laura Korte writes. The move, meant to shore up the state's fragile grid, has fueled backlash from environmental groups concerned the plants could get their lives extended and hurt the state's ability to meet its climate goals. Here's the story.   A message from Chevron:  At Chevron, we believe the future of energy is lower carbon. In the Permian Basin, we're exploring solutions to help meet growing energy demand, while reducing emissions intensity.   In Other News Rescue crews pick up people stranded by the floodwaters last week in Jackson, Ky. | Timothy D. Easley/AP Photo Disaster strikes: Billion dollar disasters are on the rise across the United States, as climate change fuels more intense extreme weather, forcing difficult questions about how to pay for them in a warmer world . Kentucky floods: Shuttered coal mines and decaying infrastructure left small Kentucky towns vulnerable to the record floods that engorged rivers and killed at least 37 people. On today's POLITICO Energy podcast, Kelsey Tamborrino talks about Sen. Joe Manchin's goals for reforming how energy projects are permitted. Question Corner The science, policy and politics driving the energy transition can feel miles away. But we're all affected on an individual and communal level — from hotter days and higher gas prices to home insurance rates and food supply. Want to know more? Send us your questions and we'll get you answers.   A message from Chevron:   Subscriber Zone The Freeport LNG facility in Texas. | Freeport LNG via Business Wire A Texas liquefied natural gas export facility that shut down after an explosion in June should get back to its pre-explosion shipping levels by October. House Energy and Commerce Chair Frank Pallone (D-N.J.) told four oil company executives his committee is investigating "what oil companies could and should be doing to bring down gas prices." Cities across Europe are turning off their lights at night in response to their energy crunch, but some locals are concerned about safety. That's it for today, folks! Thanks for reading.   A message from Chevron: At Chevron, we recognize that energy demand is growing. It's why we're increasing production to help keep up. This year in the Permian Basin, we plan to increase oil production by 15% over 2021 levels. And we're projected to reach 1 million barrels of oil per day by 2025, while continuing to reduce both carbon and methane emissions intensities. From 2016 to 2028, we're on track to reduce our methane emissions intensity in the region by 50%. In fact, nationwide, our onshore methane intensity is 85% lower than the U.S. industry average. Every day, we look for opportunities to reduce our emission intensity as we strive to produce energy that Americans—and customers throughout the world—can count on. Find out more.     Follow us on Twitter Arianna Skibell @ariannaskibell   Follow us

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