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Just wait 'til next year (maybe)

Delivered every Monday by 10 a.m., Weekly Tax examines the latest news in tax politics and policy.
Sep 26, 2022 View in browser
 
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By Bernie Becker

WELCOME TO THE SHOW(DOWN): The chances for a big political blow-up next year over the IRS might only be growing.

Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy said Friday that a bill to roll back the $80 billion in funding that Democrats just gave the IRS would be Republicans' first order of business if they take back the House.

"We're going to repeal 87,000 IRS agents," said McCarthy, as House Republicans were rolling out their new policy agenda in Pennsylvania. "Our job is to work for you — not go after you."

(Not for nothing, and as Pro Tax's Brian Faler noted: The IRS has projected that it would hire 87,000 new employees over a decade with its new funding influx, but far from all of those would be revenue agents. Plus, a good chunk of those new hires are expected to replace retiring IRS staffers.)

Now, there's essentially zero chance that President Joe Biden would sign any bill targeting that $80 billion that came from the Democrats' climate-and-tax legislation — a major victory for party lawmakers, congressional leaders and the White House alike.

MORE ON THAT IN A BIT. But first welcome to the first fall version of Weekly Tax in 2022, where even the alligators are having a hard time letting go of summer.

That's one way to unplug: Today marks 31 years since eight people entered Biosphere 2, a research facility in Arizona that was essentially testing whether a colony could be sustained in outer space — and 29 years since they walked out.

Help bring some sunlight on to tax matters. Send your best tips and feedback.

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BACK TO THE IRS: But if that $80 billion is going to be a non-starter for Democrats, the amount that Congress gives to the IRS during the regular appropriations process could be another story.

We say this a lot these days, but November's election results will matter quite a bit for the IRS funding debate next year.

Republicans are favored to win the House, but control of the Senate is more up in the air — and the GOP could have more leverage in next year's government funding debates if they run both chambers next year.

But here's what we know, for now: The conservative House Freedom Caucus already is signaling that it wants to be aggressive on spending matters, which could mean some brinkmanship on government funding could be on tap for next year. (That could also be true for the debt ceiling, in what would likely be a more serious standoff.)

Clearly, Republicans think that they can gain some political advantages from all this new IRS funding, which could make the annual appropriation for the agency even more of a target. (The $80 billion is mandatory funding, meaning it can't really be touched in the normal appropriations process.)

Also worth noting: IRS funding, and government spending in other areas, started taking a dive the last time Republicans took over the House — back in 2010, which also happened to be after two years of a new Democratic administration.

And at least in the last decade or so, Republicans haven't particularly suffered any lasting political damage from government shutdowns.

Finally: It's not totally clear whether Senate Republicans would want to be as aggressive as the House GOP in going after IRS funding next year, no matter if they win the majority or not.

For instance, Republicans on the Senate Finance Committee wrote a letter to IRS Commissioner Chuck Rettig last week that asked for further details on how the agency planned to spend the $80 billion it's scheduled to get over the next decade — including in some areas where GOP tax writers (and Democrats, for that matter) want to see real improvements, like taxpayer services and technology.

THE TAX-CUTTING DEBATE ACROSS THE POND: The markets haven't sounded too keen on the British government's tax-cutting plans. But the new Conservative regime's leaders are making it clear they're not backing away from those tax relief ideas, and are in fact relishing the comparisons of their economic point-of-view to Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher.

"What I'm determined to do as prime minister and what the chancellor is determined to do is make sure we are incentivizing businesses to invest, and we're also helping ordinary people with their taxes," Prime Minister Liz Truss told CNN's "State of the Union."

As for that chancellor of the exchequer, Kwasi Kwarteng, he told the BBC that there's "more to come" on tax cuts.

Kwarteng rolled out what's been called the biggest tax relief package in Britain in a half century on Friday, which would scrap the top 45 percent income tax rate, cut the basic income tax rate from 20 percent to 19 percent and reversing a hike in national insurance contributions.

Those tax increases, and Kwarteng's vow that more are to come, helped drive a dive in the pound, as Bloomberg noted.

Meantime, the opposition in the U.K. believe that the Conservatives tax cuts has given them a political opening.

The Liberal Democrats released some research asserting that workers making around 25,000 pounds a year will face a tax increase in the coming years, because the government is freezing the threshold at which people start paying income tax — a move which will more than offset the benefits from the 1-point drop in the basic rate.

At the same time, Keir Starmer, the leader of the Labor Party, said his party would roll back the elimination of the top income tax rate if they took power, saying it made no sense to offer tax cuts at the top end when regular Britons were struggling with inflation and high energy costs. (Starmer added that he had no problem with the cut in the basic rate.)

Around the World

Some links from around the globe:

Reuters: "Poland to raise $2.75 billion with energy windfall tax, says minister."

Bloomberg: "Swiss Back Plan to Work Longer, Lift VAT to Pay for Pensions."

Jerusalem Post: "Working from home? It comes with tax implications in Israel and abroad."

Around the Nation

Some links from around the states:

Houston Chronicle: "Abbott and O'Rourke both promise to cut property taxes, and have opposite plans for doing it."

Pittsburgh Post-Gazette: "Pittsburgh court finds city's 'jock tax' violates state constitution."

Indianapolis Star: "Indiana gas prices: Taxes fall without action by Holcomb, Republicans."

NJ.com: "N.J.'s gas tax will go down next Saturday. Here's how we'll rank compared to other states."

Quick Links

WSJ: "Amazon, Berkshire Hathaway Could Be Among Top Payers of New Minimum Tax."

NYT: "How Paul LePage, Running to Lead Maine, Benefited From Florida Tax Breaks."

Tax Notes: "Info Reporting Regime Sets Up IRS Crypto Crackdown."

Did you know?

"Bio-Dome," a comedy film starring Pauly Shore about a Biosphere-esque science facility in the desert, was released in January 1996.

 

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