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Biden's real problem with Latino voters

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Nov 07, 2022 View in browser
 
West Wing Playbook

By Myah Ward , Alex Thompson and Eli Stokols

Presented by Walmart

Welcome to POLITICO's West Wing Playbook, your guide to the people and power centers in the Biden administration. With help from Allie Bice.  

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The problem that President JOE BIDEN is facing with Latino voters is not that they've turned on him, advocates say. It's that his message isn't reaching enough of them.

Forty-four percent of Latino voters said they had not been contacted by either political party, a campaign or any other organization, according to the latest data from The National Association of Latino Elected and Appointed Officials. Come Tuesday, that could be a death knell for a Democratic party that has lost ground with Latino voters in recent years.

Leaders in the Latino community overwhelmingly give the Biden administration high marks for engagement efforts and a series of policy successes that have a predominant impact on the population — from student debt forgiveness to historic gun legislation after the shooting in Uvalde, Texas. But they still believe more could've been done to get the administration's message out to voters before Election Day.

There's a gap between policymaking in Washington and how people experience and understand the result of these policies, said LORELLA PRAELI, co-president of Community Change Action and a former Latino outreach director to HILLARY CLINTON. It's not enough to pass the Inflation Reduction Act, she said, you also have to explain how it touches the Latino community.

"This is one of those things that people can have as a point of reference for, 'how does having Biden in the White House impact my life very directly?'" Praeli said. "Campaign the shit out of your wins ... You have to be out there selling it."

Of course, it's tough to campaign on wins when there's historic inflation. And a new Wall Street Journal poll published today found that concerns over rising costs are prompting Latino voters to move towards the GOP.

"There's D.C. speak, and then there is just, if every week, a Latina mother is going into the grocery store, and they're walking out with less groceries every week," Praeli said.

But that just makes it all the more important for voters to be able to point to ways the Biden administration is directly affecting their lives, Praeli said.

Part of that is selling issues like forgiving student debt or its $24 billion investment in child care stabilization funds. But advocates also argued that the administration should have better deployed top Latino leaders like Education Secretary MIGUEL CARDONA or Health and Human Services Secretary XAVIER BECERRA.

"There is a really good bench that could be out there," MARIA TERESA KUMAR, CEO of Voto Latino told West Wing Playbook.

Cardona's and Becerra's offices contend they're doing their part. Each averages four interviews per week on national, local and digital Hispanic outlets to highlight administration efforts, as well as encouraging Latinos to get vaccinated against Covid and to apply for student debt relief. The two administration officials, alongside ISABEL GUZMAN, administrator of the Small Business Administration, also participate in regular bilingual press calls for Latino reporters and Hispanic media, their representatives said.

Cardona's office highlighted six events since September, including the student loan-relief focused Hispanic Federation Education Summit on Nov. 2. A spokesperson also pointed to numerous other events like the Latino Economic Summit series. Becerra, meanwhile, kicked off the Latino Health Tour during Hispanic Heritage Month and has visited nearly a dozen cities in staples like Pennsylvania, Nevada and California.

The White House also has a dedicated Hispanic media operation, and holds weekly meetings with Latino stakeholders.

The Democratic National Committee, for its part, kicked off a Latino outreach program in May, running Spanish-language print and radio ads touting "progress made" under Biden and Democratic majorities in Congress. Building Back Together, the main outside group supporting the Biden agenda, launched a six-figure ad campaign targeting Latino communities in Nevada, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin in September, focused on the Inflation Reduction Act and other Biden policies.

But the fact that such a large chunk of Latino voters say they have not been contacted shows that there is more work to be done. Yet not everyone is ready to blame the president for that.

CHUCK ROCHA, a former BERNIE SANDERS senior adviser and Dem strategist who focuses on Latino voters, noted that Biden isn't on the ballot this year. He said the failures with Latino voter outreach fall on House and Senate campaigns, particularly those led by white managers and media consultants in predominantly Latino districts.

"That's why we're gonna get our ass handed to us, and it ain't Joe Biden's fault," Rocha said. "It's how these campaigns have been run."

MESSAGE US — Are you JACOB SPREYER, Biden's body man? We want to hear from you! And we'll keep you anonymous. Email us at westwingtips@politico.com .

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Walmart is strengthening their commitment to American jobs and communities by investing an additional $350 billion in products made, grown or assembled in America. Last year, the company sourced over $1 billion in goods from veteran-owned businesses, like Grind Goods.

Learn more about Walmart's commitment to U.S. manufacturing.

 
POTUS PUZZLER

This one is from reader SARAH CARLSON. President LYNDON B. JOHNSON lifted one of his dogs by the ears in front of cameras in 1964, causing a national backlash from dog lovers. What was the dog's name?

(Answer at the bottom.)

The Oval

ELECTION EVE PLANS: The president is spending the eve of Election Day in safe Democratic territory , campaigning in Columbia, Md., for the state's gubernatorial candidate, WES MOORE. Our ELENA SCHNEIDER points out that it's not just the president stumping in friendly turf. First lady JILL BIDEN was in Northern Virginia on Monday campaigning with Democratic Rep. JENNIFER WEXTON, while former President DONALD TRUMP was slated to campaign with Republican Senate candidate J.D. VANCE in Dayton, Ohio, this evening.

I WANT MY JEN TV: Since her last White House press briefing on May 13, JEN PSAKI has taken her time adjusting to life on the outside and easing into her new role with NBC News, where she'll debut a new show on Peacock, the network's streaming platform, sometime in early 2023. But the network is seizing on the midterms as the moment for a more high-profile rollout. In a Vanity Fair piece that dropped overnight , Psaki told CHARLOTTE KLEIN her days working inside the government are likely over. She spent Monday in New York taping an appearance on "The Tonight Show" and is scheduled to appear on several NBC platforms during Tuesday's rolling elections coverage.

WHAT THE WHITE HOUSE WANTS YOU TO READ: Or should we say… watch. A 7-second video collab between Biden and former President BARACK OBAMA's encourages people to vote in the midterm elections. Both Obama and Biden's Twitter accounts posted the video Monday.

WHAT THE WHITE HOUSE DOESN'T WANT YOU TO READ: This piece by NYT's PETER BAKER which details a grim outlook for Democrats following Tuesday's elections. "After turning to Mr. Biden for a sense of normalcy two years ago following the turmoil of Mr. Trump, voters now appear poised to register discontent that he has not delivered it the way they expected, regardless of whether it was realistic in the first place," Baker writes. "History has rarely favored first-term presidents in midterm elections and Mr. Biden's party does not even have to lose in a landslide for him to lose the presidency as he has known it."

Baker also reports that Biden "thought that if he could simply govern well, everything would work out, which in hindsight strikes some around him as shockingly naïve if somewhat endearing."

RELATED READ: Biden's closing message on the campaign trail draws a stark line between Democrats and Republicans, and he has reinforced that democracy is on the ballot. But the results of Tuesday's elections could have the president working with the same people he called threats to democracy — and could completely change the course of his legacy. Our JONATHAN LEMIRE has the story. 

RELATED TO THAT RELATED READ: Here's Biden describing Trump-backing Republicans at a DNC event today: "We're up against some of the darkest forces we've ever seen in our history. These MAGA Republicans are a different breed of cat."

LONG TIME, NO SPEAK: White House press secretary KARINE JEAN-PIERRE confirmed Monday that Biden and incoming Israel Prime Minister BENJAMIN NETANYAHU spoke on the phone "to congratulate him on his party's victory and commend Israel's free and fair elections."

IT'S HAPPENING: The president is set to host the White House Tribal Nations Summit from Nov. 30-Dec. 1 at the Department of the Interior building. The summit, which will bring together administration officials and tribal leaders from 574 federally recognized tribes, reconvened in 2021 after it was discontinued under the Trump administration.

 

NEW AND IMPROVED POLITICO APP: Stay up to speed with the newly updated POLITICO mobile app, featuring timely political news, insights and analysis from the best journalists in the business. With a fresh look and improved features, the sleek and navigable design offers a convenient way to access POLITICO's scoops and groundbreaking reporting. Don't miss out on the app you can rely on for the news you need, reimagined. Already a POLITICO app user? Upgrade today! DOWNLOAD FOR iOS  – DOWNLOAD FOR ANDROID .

 
 
Agenda Setting

RELEASE THE POLL MONITORS: The Department of Justice is expanding its monitoring of polling places in 64 jurisdictions in 24 states across the U.S. , our JOSH GERSTEIN reports. The move is a jump from the presidential election two years ago, when the DOJ sent monitors to 44 jurisdictions in 18 states.

ABOUT THAT INFRASTRUCTURE PACKAGE… Although Democrats can tout a legislative win with the enactment of the $1.2 trillion infrastructure law, they're struggling to get voters to care — polls show most have no idea Congress even passed the legislation. Our TANYA SNYDER, JORDAN WOLMAN, ANNIE SNIDER, JOHN HENDEL and ELEANOR MUELLER have a deep dive into what has happened since the infrastructure package was signed into law and what it could mean for Tuesday's elections.

ON THE COMPANY'S DIMES: As the U.N. Climate Change Conference, also known as the COP27, kicks off in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt, this week, U.S. representatives are calling on companies to invest in global climate change initiatives , WaPo's EVAN HALPER and TIMOTHY PUKO report. JOHN PODESTA, one of the president's climate change advisers, told the publication that "private-sector capital flows … that's where the real money is. We're talking billions when the need is trillions."

MORE: "UN chief, Gore, others give heated warnings in climate talks," by AP's SETH BORENSTEIN

 

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What We're Reading

Broadcast Network News Streaming Services Ready For Their Midterm Moments (Deadline's Ted Johnson)

Messaging isn't the Democrats' problem with the midterms. Reality is. (WaPo's Matt Bai)

How bad are things? I asked some election workers. (NYT's Katherine Miller)

Inflation-Focused Voters Defy Biden's Bid to Change the Subject (Bloomberg's Nancy Cook)

 

DON'T MISS POLITICO'S 2nd ANNUAL DEFENSE SUMMIT ON 11/16: The United States is facing a defining moment in the future of its defense, national security and democratic ideals. The current conflicts and developments around the world are pushing Washington to reshape its defense strategy and how it cooperates with allies. Join POLITICO for our second annual defense summit, "At a Crossroads: America's Defense Strategy" on November 16 in person at the Schuyler DC or join online to hear keynote interviews and panels discussing the road ahead for America's national security. REGISTER HERE .

 
 
What We're Watching

Vice President KAMALA HARRIS' discussion with The 19th News's editor-at-large ERRIN HAINES and actress DEWANDA WISE, airing Monday at 9 p.m. EST on BET, BET HER, MTV2, VH1 and POP .

The Oppo Book

What are some of LORRAINE VOLES' passions in life?

The state of Iowa and true crime, apparently.

Voles, chief of staff to the vice president, told POLITICO back in January 2020 that she had been reading "Midnight Assassin," a book by PATRICIA BRYAN and THOMAS WOLF.

"It combines two of my passions, true crime and Iowa," she joked. "MARGARET HOSSACK was accused of killing her husband in 1900 in Indianola, Iowa (Warren County), as he slept in their bed. The story was big news in Iowa and famously reported by SUSAN GLASPELL for the Des Moines Daily."

Sounds like a relaxing read!

POTUS PUZZLER ANSWER

Johnson's beagle's name was "Him," according to History.com .

A CALL OUT — Thanks to Sarah for this trivia question! Do you think you have a harder one? Send us your best question about the presidents with a citation and we may feature it.

Edited by Eun Kyung Kim and Sam Stein.

A message from Walmart:

Walmart is strengthening their commitment to U.S. manufacturing by supporting products made, grown or assembled in America. According to Walmart's 2021 Supplier Inclusion Impact Report, the company spent nearly $1 billion with veteran-owned businesses across the country, like Grind Goods, a natural oral care company that gives back to homeless veterans.

Back in 2021, Walmart announced they were committing an additional $350 billion to U.S. manufacturing over the next ten years. This investment is estimated to support the creation of 750,000 new American jobs based on data from Boston Consulting Group.

Learn more about Walmart's commitment to U.S. manufacturing and veteran-owned businesses.

 
 

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