| | | | |  | | By Nick Taylor-Vaisey and Sue Allan | | |
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Thanks for reading Ottawa Playbook. The House is away, but it's a jam-packed week with U.S. midterms, global climate talks and an Ottawa inquiry that's about to turn its focus to Windsor. The PM just set a date for the Mississauga–Lakeshore byelection. We have details. Cue the Cabinet shuffle speculation! |  | DRIVING THE DAY | |
HITTING THE ROAD — Welcome to the Fall Economic Statement show and tell. Prime Minister JUSTIN TRUDEAU starts the week in Montreal.
The PM's opening act is an appearance at a future vaccine manufacturing site. He'll also have an audience with the province's manufacturers and exporters industry group. — Sidekick du jour: The ever-energetic FRANÇOIS-PHILIPPE CHAMPAGNE, a serial broker of government-assisted manufacturing investments, will be along for the ride. KEY RIDING — Finance Minister CHRYSTIA FREELAND talks up her fiscal update in the GTA exurb of Milton, a fast-growing city held by ADAM VAN KOEVERDEN. The province's riding redistribution commission has proposed splitting Milton between two seats — effectively doubling its electoral value to parties eager to scoop up vital seats in the 905. — Site visits: Freeland will visit a "Canadian facility that manufactures sustainable building materials," and a "Canadian transportation and logistics company." Presumably the minister will attempt a slightly less tone-deaf message than the advice she offered Sunday on Global's West Block that cash-strapped parents reconsider streaming subs . SPREAD THE WORD — Trudeau's Cabinet is all over the map. FILOMENA TASSI is in Hamilton and Aylmer, Ont. OMAR ALGHABRA is in Cambridge. HARJIT SAJJAN is in Burnaby, B.C. DOMINIC LEBLANC is in Moncton. GINETTE PETITPAS TAYLOR is in Riverview, N.B. SEAN FRASER is in Saint-Quentin, N.B. DAN VANDAL is in Yellowknife. KAMAL KHERA is in Calgary. Did someone forward you this Playbook? Click here to sign up for your own . | | | | A message from the Canadian Chamber of Commerce, Our Trading Future campaign: For Canadians and Americans alike, new challenges have forced us to rethink many of our assumptions about how we do business. Global supply chains are under stress, geopolitical tensions are escalating, and post-pandemic economic recovery continues to be challenging. Amid all of this, it's midterm season in the United States! In this moment, Canada and the United States must rediscover the depth of our economic and strategic partnership. To learn more, visit Our Trading Future. | | | | | THREE THINGS WE'RE WATCHING | |
ROULEAU COMMISSION: The Public Order Emergency Commission will hear from Windsor Mayor DREW DILKENS today about the Ambassador Bridge blockade.
Dilkens told reporters last week that he'd been reviewing internal communication from February's six-day crisis. "Clearly everyone in the city of Windsor understands what happened down here," he said. Protesters in the border city blocked a key commercial artery between Canada and the U.S., stopping both traffic and trade. Finance Minister Freeland estimated the blockade was disrupting C$390 million daily in trade. "You have 100 people who are holding hostage part of our national economy," Dilkens said of the protesters at the time . JASON CROWLEY, acting deputy chief of the Windsor Police Service, is also on today's witness list. In related reading: Ottawa People's Commission hears of anger, frustration at 'Freedom' convoy | 
U.N. climate chief Simon Stiell at COP27. | AP Photo/Peter Dejong | COP27: The U.N. climate summit is underway in Sharm el-Sheikh, Egypt, but events around the world are spoiling the vibe, reports POLITICO's RYAN HEATH: "This is the inconvenient truth: Governments are undermining the Paris climate agreement just seven years after they signed it. And nearly all the large companies that announced pledges to bring their net carbon emissions down to zero have failed to produce plans matching their words." Read Heath's report here . POLITICO's SARA SCHONHARDT points out that COP27 is underway against a raft of challenges that threaten global efforts to tame rising temperatures. Via Schonhardt, here are 5 tensions that could derail the climate conference . Environment Minister STEVEN GUILBEAULT leads Canada's delegation. It's his 20th COP. He's backed by CATHERINE STEWART, Canada's ambassador for climate change, and the country's chief negotiator for climate change, STEVEN KUHN. Liberal MP TERRY DUGUID boasted in the House on Friday that Canada is sending "one of the largest delegations to an international meeting in our history." — In related reading: "What the failings of the event should not be mistaken for, no matter how dire reports out of Sharm el-Sheikh get, is a sign that the world is otherwise incapable of collective climate action," ADAM RADWANSKI writes in his setup to the conference . U.S. MIDTERMS: While Republicans have the momentum, STEVEN SHEPARD says polls show the states that will determine the Senate majority are stubbornly close . POLITICO's chief polling analyst says a divide between independent polling and polls released by Republican-affiliated firms adds to the uncertainty. Here's politics editor CHARLES MAHTESIAN with the key battlegrounds to watch . And here's Shepard with five bellwether districts that could determine if there's going to be a ripple, a wave or a tsunami. | | | | A message from the Canadian Chamber of Commerce, Our Trading Future campaign:   | | | | | For your radar | |
ELECTION DAY — CHARLES SOUSA's announcement Saturday as the Liberal candidate in the upcoming Mississauga–Lakeshore federal byelection was a dead giveaway that Prime Minister JUSTIN TRUDEAU would set a date for voting day,
That news came Sunday, when the PM called the byelection in the key GTA suburban riding for Monday, Dec. 12. — He's back: The 64-year-old Queen's Park veteran is attempting a political comeback at the federal level after going down with the ship at the end of KATHLEEN WYNNE's era as Ontario premier. Sousa was Wynne's finance minister for five years. Political activist ANDREW PEREZ got Playbook thinking in a tweet that said Sousa would make a "fine MP and senior member of this government in Peel Region." — He has company: Sousa wouldn't be the first Ontario Cabmin in the Liberal caucus. He'd join HELENA JACZEK, YASIR NAQVI, MICHAEL COTEAU and PETER FONSECA . Only one of those four, Jaczek, has cracked Trudeau's Cabinet. Naqvi and Coteau are parliamentary secretaries. Fonseca chairs the finance committee. But would a former Ontario finance minister put his name on a ballot in a must-win region like the 905 only to sit as a backbencher? Cue the Cabinet shuffle speculation. — The challenger: The Tories are putting up a police officer and political rookie, RON CHHINZER, who's been knocking doors for the past month. The Tories smell opportunity in a riding they nabbed when STEPHEN HARPER won his only majority. STELLA AMBLER served a term before losing to SVEN SPENGEMANN in 2015. But it's a tight result each time. Spengemann's margin was six percentage points in 2021. That's why Chhinzer joined PIERRE POILIEVRE on a recent swing through town . Calgary MP TOM KMIEC joined a recent canvass alongside former Markham MP BOB SAROYA. GARNETT GENUIS, whose riding includes an Edmonton suburb, was in the area over the weekend. So were rural Ontario MPs SCOTT AITCHISON and ERIC MELILLO . — Polls and projections: A Mainstreet Research survey in late October pegged the Liberal lead in the riding at a mere 2 points: 40 percent to 38 for the Tories. That's a statistical tie within the poll's margin of error. 338Canada's PHILIPPE J. FOURNIER currently rates Mississauga–Lakeshore as a "leaning gain" for the Conservatives . The challengers win in 70 per cent of simulations, though Fournier projects a tight race within a few points. | | PAPER TRAIL | |
SPECIAL INTELLIGENCE — The National Security and Intelligence Committee of Parliamentarians released a meaty special report on Friday, offering a glimpse of the inner workings of Global Affairs Canada.
Here's the CBC's MURRAY BREWSTER on the report: Global Affairs needs to get a grip on its most sensitive intelligence activities, committee says — Paper trail allergy: Among other things, the committee flagged concerns about GAC's aversion to keeping records. "The Department noted that officials commonly provide oral briefings to the Minister and their staff," the report notes. The committee concluded these are "clear gaps" that reveal "concerning lapses" in the department's information management practices that significantly impact the department's accountability. | | TODAY'S HIGHLIGHTS | |
— PM Trudeau is in Montreal.
— Deputy PM Freeland is in Milton, Ont. 3:30 a.m. NDP leader JAGMEET SINGH is in Berlin. He meets with ANETTE KRAMME, Germany's parliamentary state secretary for labor and social affairs. 8:30 a.m. Singh meets with WOLFGANG SCHMIDT, head of the German Chancellery and minister for special affairs. 10 a.m. Justice Minister DAVID LAMETTI is in Montreal to announce funding "to raise awareness about" new conversion therapy Criminal Code offences. 10:15 a.m. Singh takes part in a discussion on populism, political movements and challenges for democracy in Canada at the John F. Kennedy Institute for North American Studies. 10:15 a.m. Freeland tours a Canadian facility that manufactures sustainable building materials. 10:50 a.m. Trudeau will visit the future site of a vaccine manufacturing facility. Industry Minister FRANÇOIS-PHILIPPE CHAMPAGNE will join him. 11:15 a.m. Trudeau will deliver remarks and hold a media availability. Champagne will tag along for that event, too. 11:30 a.m. Freeland will tour a Canadian transportation and logistics company. She'll also meet with workers and hold a media availability. 2:15 p.m. Trudeau will hold a roundtable discussion with Manufacturiers et Exportateurs du Québec to discuss the Fall Economic Statement. Champagne and Quebec Economic Development Minister PASCALE ST-ONGE are in the entourage. 2:15 p.m. (3:15 p.m. AT) Intergovernmental Affairs Minister DOMINIC LEBLANC holds a media availability to take questions following a meeting of federal, provincial and territorial infrastructure ministers. He'll be joined by New Brunswick Transportation and Infrastructure Minister JEFF CARR. 4:30 p.m. (1:30 p.m. PT) Provincial and territorial health ministers hold a media availability following a day of meetings — the first for that group since 2018. (A federal-provincial meeting is set for tomorrow.) 6 p.m. Trudeau headlines a Liberal fundraiser in Montreal. Price of admission: C$100–C$1,600. 6:30 p.m. Defense Minister ANITA ANAND headlines a Liberal fundraiser in her Oakville riding. Price of admission: C$500–C$1,675. | | MEDIA ROOM | |
— From ABBAS RANA and the Hill Times this morning: Poilievre shakes up senior ranks of Conservative Party.
— Foreign Affairs Minister MÉLANIE JOLY appears poised to reveal Canada's China strategy. For a sneak peek, look to Washington, the CBC's ALEX PANETTA advises. — POLITICO's senior climate correspondent KARL MATHIESEN considers how climate became the new culture war front line . — RAHIM MOHAMED has advice for PIERRE POILIEVRE on the topic of leadership rival PATRICK BROWN: "Keep your friends close, and your enemies closer." — CTV News chronicles the increased desperation of refugees who are eager to start a new life in Canada — but feel forgotten by the federal government . — Writing from Brussels and quoting unnamed officials , the NYT says that in the jockeying over who should replace NATO chief JENS STOLTENBERG next fall, one candidate has surfaced in Washington: CHRYSTIA FREELAND. — NIIGAAN SINCLAIR writes in the Winnipeg Free Press: Ottawa hearings reveal harsh truths for Canada . — In an excerpt from her new book, JODY WILSON-RAYBOULD outlines three core practices of true reconciliation: "learn, understand and act." Wednesday at 7, former Cabinet minister JANE PHILPOTT will be interviewing her friend and former colleague at the Ottawa International Writers Festival . — THE NEW YORK TIMES demonstrates how Republicans fed a misinformation loop about the Pelosi attack: "The flood of falsehoods showed how ingrained misinformation has become inside the G.O.P." | | | | A message from the Canadian Chamber of Commerce, Our Trading Future campaign: It is important that we address the elephant (and donkey) in the room. As we have seen this midterm season, protectionism remains a challenge on both sides of the political aisle in the United States. This is economically harmful to ordinary citizens and businesses from both countries and is also strategically short sighted.
Canada and the United States together are facing a time of great uncertainty, but also opportunity. As neighbours and allies, a renewed focus on building trade security and resiliency is of vital interest for Canadians and Americans alike in the current precarious moment.
This is a critical year to strengthen the foundations of the Canada-U.S. relationship by seizing opportunities to deepen our partnerships in areas such as energy security, continental defence, regulatory cooperation, and border management. Visit Our Trading Future to learn more about how we can achieve these shared goals. | | | | | PROZONE | | | 
Trouble at Twitter headquarters? | Jeff Chiu/AP Photo |
For POLITICO Pro subscribers, catch up to our latest policy newsletter: Frustrations high over low-risk travelers.
In headlines for POLITICO Pro subscribers:
— U.S. lawmakers urge Ottawa counterparts to help solve NEXUS backlog.
— Elon Musk plunges Twitter into chaos ahead of midterms.
— U.S., Taiwan to proceed with trade talks over objections of Beijing.
— Watchdog rebukes EPA, DOE over small refiner biofuel exemptions.
— Vaccine makers await approval for human trials as Ebola outbreak's toll grows. | | PLAYBOOKERS | |
Birthdays: HBD to former Liberal Cabmin MARYAM MONSEF and former Conservative-turned-Liberal MP EVE ADAMS.
Send birthdays to ottawaplaybook@politico.com . Hitched: CBC's HILLARY JOHNSTONE and CTV's KEVIN GALLAGHER. Spotted at the nuptials: HANNAH THIBEDEAU, TOM PARRY, OLIVIA CHANDLER, JOYCE NAPIER and MIKE LE COUTEUR. Movers and shakers: Former CRTC chair JEAN-PIERRE BLAIS, appointed by the Ontario government as a full-time member of the Ontario Land Tribunal : "Retirement was fun, but five months was enough." NICHOLAS CHESTERLEY joins Finance Canada as senior director, special projects. He'll focus on "exploring the future of money and banking, from cryptocurrencies to decentralized finance." MACKENZIE WEST joins Tory MP JOHN BARLOW's office as legislative assistant … KATARINA STIPANOVIC is the newest member's assistant on Tory MP TRACY GRAY's team. At Canadian Manufacturers & Exporters: GOZDE KAZAZOGLU is the new policy director for ESG, VERONIQUE PROULX becomes SVP, public affairs and national policy, and MATT POIRIER has been named senior director, national policy and government relations. Spotted: PAUL BURNS (managing director of Canadian operations), CAM GORDON (head of communications for Canada) and MICHELE AUSTIN (director of public policy for the U.S. and Canada), among the cuts at Twitter . A federal tender seeking accommodations for Ukrainian nationals in Vancouver . — Business Council CEO GOLDY HYDER, pointing his LinkedIn followers to PIERRE POILIEVRE's Empire Club speech: "At a time when we face so many economic challenges, Canadians are well served when we have serious debates focused on solutions," he wrote. Among the post's "likes": TAUSHA MICHAUD, McMillan Vantage VP and former ERIN O'TOOLE chief of staff; IAN TODD , Poilievre's chief of staff; Nepean MPP LISA MACLEOD; RICK ROTH, VP at Global Public Affairs and Harper-era Hill staffer; DIMITRI PANTAZOPOULOS, a longtime Conservative pollster; BROOKE PIGOTT, a market research specialist in Harper's PMO; and TAVIS NEMBHARD, former digital comms director to DOUG FORD. CTV's JEREMIE CHARRON celebrating the arrival of JOSIE. GERRY BUTTS, catching up to The Overstory . … KEN BOESSENKOOL, on the slopes at Sunshine . | | On the Hill | |
The House and Senate are not sitting this week.
9:30 a.m. The Public Order Emergency Commission continues hearings in Ottawa. | | TRIVIA | |
Friday's answer: "We know the challenges that tomorrow will bring are the greatest of our lifetime …" That was BARACK OBAMA.
Props to JOHN ECKER, WALTER ROBINSON, JOANNA PLATER, KEVIN BOSCH, DOUG RICE, GREG MACEACHERN, ROBERT MCDOUGALL, LAURA JARVIS, MICHAEL MACDONALD, DAVID SHORT, RYAN HAMILTON, STEVE KAROL, ROB LEFORTE, KATE DAGLEISH and ROY DERRICK. Today's question: ELIZABETH MAY served on the delegation of what country when she attended COP19? Send your answers to ottawaplaybook@politico.com Playbook wouldn't happen without: Luiza Ch. Savage and Sue Allan. Want to grab the attention of movers and shakers on Parliament Hill? Want your brand in front of a key audience of Ottawa influencers? Playbook can help. Contact Jesse Shapiro to find out how: jshapiro@politico.com . | | | | Follow us on Twitter | | | | Subscribe to the POLITICO Playbook family Playbook | Playbook PM | California Playbook | Florida Playbook | Illinois Playbook | Massachusetts Playbook | New Jersey Playbook | New York Playbook | Ottawa Playbook | Brussels Playbook | London Playbook View all our political and policy newsletters | | Follow us | | | | |
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