WILL HE OR WON'T HE — Sen. Tim Kaine (D-Va.) is expected to announce today at an event in Richmond whether he'll run for a third Senate term. The Virginia Democrat, who was the 2016 Democratic vice presidential nominee and former governor of Virginia, has kept his plans close to the vest. While it's been more than a decade since Virginia sent a Republican to the Senate, a Kaine retirement would create an open Senate seat in a state with a GOP governor, during what's expected to be a tough 2024 cycle for Democrats. "I'm doing everything that a good candidate does: I have a great team, raising a lot of money," Kaine, who won his 2018 reelection by 16 points, told POLITICO in November, after the midterms. "I'll make the final decision over the holidays."Marianne and Burgess have more (and Marianne is in Richmond today, so stay tuned.) CLEARED FOR TAKEOFF — Rep. Greg Stanton's (D-Ariz.) Thursday decision to forgo a Senate bid opens a clear runway for Rep. Ruben Gallego (D-Ariz.) to launch his own upper-chamber campaign in the coming days. Stanton said plainly on Thursday that "now is not the right time for me to run." That means that Gallego, a young, progressive veteran, would have the left flank all to himself to take it to Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (I-Ariz.) – if she runs for reelection. If Gallego and Sinema both end up running against a TBD Republican (Kari Lake, Blake Masters...Doug Ducey?), it would create quite the chaotic three-way race for the DSCC to navigate. A TIKTOK TICK TOCK — An analysis by Ariana Figueroa at States Newsroom reveals that at least 32 lawmakers across both houses of Congress — all Democrats and one independent — have TikTok accounts. At least half of those are either currently on or have previously served on committees that handle national security issues. Meanwhile, some of their colleagues, including Sen. Marco Rubio (R-Fla.) and Rep. Mike Gallagher (R-Wis.), have called for a nationwide ban on the app. 2024 RUMBLES TO LIFE — The Senate has been a snooze the last few weeks, unless you've been paying attention to action off of Capitol Hill, where jockeying for 2024 is well underway. And there are advantages for candidates who jump into the fray early when those open seats become clear (or before they become clear, as was the case with Rep. Katie Porter's (D-Calif.) move to announce her run before incumbent Sen. Dianne Feinstein (D-Calif.) announces her reelection or retirement plans.) Democrats will be on the defensive, trying to protect incumbents in five states where President Joe Biden won narrowly: Nevada, Wisconsin, Arizona, Michigan and Pennsylvania. Plus, there are the three most vulnerable Dems in the field: Ohio Sen. Sherrod Brown, Montana Sen. Jon Tester and West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin. Of those three, only Brown has committed to running again. Burgess breaks down who's in, who's out, who's waiting in the wings and who we're waiting to hear from. QUICK LINKS Ruben Gallego Set to Launch Senate Campaign Against Kyrsten Sinema, from Adrian Carrasquillo at Newsweek After Roe, Republicans Wrestle With What It Means to Be 'Pro-Life', from Lisa Lerer and Katie Glueck at The New York Times Months Before a Potential Crisis, Both Parties Kick Off a Fiscal Blame Game, from Carl Hulse at The New York Times TRANSITIONS Marian Currinder is joining Freedom House as the new director for U.S. democracy. She was most recently a professional staff member on the Select Committee on the Modernization of Congress. Michael Holloman is joining BerlinRosen as an account director in the strategic campaigns practice. He most recently was comms director for Stacey Abrams' Georgia gubernatorial campaign. Mike Hamilton is now senior director on the federal government affairs team at the American Chemistry Council. He previously was chief of staff for Rep. David McKinley (R-W.Va.). Lawrence Bell will join Cornerstone Government Affairs. He currently is deputy chief of staff and senior adviser to Sen. Raphael Warnock (D-Ga.). Nick Wyatt is joining the Senate Budget Committee as a professional staff member, working as the budget analyst for transportation, community and regional development, and general government. He previously was an investigator for the Senate Judiciary GOP. Mark Hamilton is now executive scheduler for Rep. Emilia Sykes (D-Ohio). He most recently was congressional constituent liaison for former House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (D-Md.).
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