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The year of Web3 social media — maybe

How the next wave of technology is upending the global economy and its power structures
Jan 03, 2023 View in browser
 
POLITICO's Digital Future Daily newsletter logo

By Ben Schreckinger

With help from Derek Robertson

Sen. Cynthia Lummis (R-Wyo.).

Sen. Cynthia Lummis (R-Wyo.) | Francis Chung/E&E News

On Christmas Day, while most of the capital unplugged, one of Washington's most-online senators was tinkering with a new kind of social media.

With a tweet verifying her identity on the decentralized protocol Nostr, Wyoming Republican Cynthia Lummis joined a holiday season surge in interest in the Web3 social network that has also drawn the likes of former Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey and Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin.

Alternative social media designs have been percolating for years, with little sign of mass adoption. But over the past year, as interest in crypto has grown and concerns have mounted about Elon Musk's chaotic Twitter takeover, an opening has emerged for new kinds of decentralized social networks, and they're arguably entering 2023 with the wind at their backs.

The goals of these networks might include making censorship harder, or making content moderation more nimble, or generally curtailing the power of giant social media companies to shape and track what people talk about online.

As with the proliferation of new platforms, choices about alternative network designs tend to be tinged with political considerations.

Trump-era upstarts like Getr, Parler, Gab and Truth Social all catered to slices of the right by advertising themselves as free-speech alternatives to Twitter. In other words, they still operated as centralized platforms, but they offered different policies.

Another crop of alternatives offer different plumbing.

The most well-known is Mastodon, an open-source network founded in 2016 that allows anyone to set up a server. The design is often described as "federated," and may or may not fall within the blurry lines of "Web3," depending on how you define that term. It allows users to join curated communities with customized content moderation rules, and it has become a haven in recent weeks for liberal journalists and academics repelled by Twitter's rightward tack under Musk.

Nostr, which got off the ground in 2020, is a decentralized protocol that allows users to own their identities and verify their posts with digital signatures that use public key-private key cryptography. The posts then propagate out to a network of interconnected servers. The protocol does not use blockchains, which have been found in early experiments to be too slow for social networking. But there are structural similarities, and Nostr has found an early niche among the crypto crowd (Lummis is Washington's biggest Bitcoin advocate) with its libertarian, open-source ethos.

Because Nostr users control their own identities, no external authority can revoke their access to the protocol. And because it is designed to rely on many independent servers, it should, in theory, be practically impossible to ban messages or users from the entire network, even if some servers censor them.

Recently, Nostr's biggest booster has been Dorsey , who created Twitter's non-profit Bluesky initiative to develop a decentralized social media protocol before leaving to work fulltime on a vision of the internet he has dubbed "Web 5."

Last month, Dorsey donated about 14 Bitcoin — roughly a quarter million dollars — to promote its development, and he has tweeted a screenshot of his phone showing that he uses a social networking app built on Nostr called… Damus (Get it?).

Influential endorsements aside, Web3 social projects — which also include the likes of Farcaster and Lens — aren't poised to replace the giant platforms any time soon. They're still much smaller: while Twitter claims hundreds of millions of active users and Facebook claims billions, Mastodon claimed just 2.5 million users this fall, and Nostr counts only about 220,000 unique user identities.

But replacement isn't the goal — at least not yet. Because it's a protocol rather than a platform, Nostr itself is not a direct competitor to Twitter, says Koty Auditore, the pseudonymous booster of the project who goaded Dorsey on Twitter into donating to it. And many of the projects face usability hurdles that are likely to slow mass adoption. Rather than receiving easy-to-remember usernames, Nostr users publish long, clunky public keys to establish their identities.

Technologist Chris Messina, a founding member of the Open Web Foundation and a connoisseur of alternative social networks, said Mastodon has reached a point where it is "ready for public consumption," while Nostr remains more of an "experiment."

As Web3 social projects proliferate and public conversation splinters across different apps and protocols, there could be political consequences.

Messina is a longtime advocate of decentralizing social media — but even so, he says he is worried that fragmentation will further strain public discourse that has been marked in recent years by mutual hostility and misunderstanding.

To mitigate this trend towards balkanization, he'd like to see Web3 designers prioritize interoperability — agreeing on common technical standards that will allow information to flow easily between different platforms, including perhaps those like Twitter that are currently dominant.

Otherwise, "you've kind of exacerbated the filter bubble problem," Messina told DFD. "I think there will be a decoherence that we're not quite prepared for."

elon's ambition

An illustration featuring Elon Musk's head opening to reveal a brain, several smartphones, tiny Twitter logos and the letter X

POLITICO illustration/Photos by Getty Images, iStock

As if dealing with Twitter in its current form wasn't enough: Elon Musk's hope to transform the platform into an all-in-one, WeChat-style "everything app" are well-documented, and POLITICO's reporters have today a closer look at what regulatory hurdles that might face.

Two particular functions of the proposed "X" app, as Musk calls it, have especially mind-boggling implications. One is the notion that, like in China, the app could be used as a tool to track one's personal health and medical care — something about which regulators have long been skeptical in light of the stringent privacy protections in place under the Health Insurance Portability and Accountability Act, or HIPAA. But, crucially: The kind of "brain data" collected by proposed brain-computer interfaces like Musk's Neuralink is not necessarily protected under HIPAA, opening the door to a potential app down the road that could, literally, read your mind.

Second is the app's potential crossover with Musk's Starlink, his worldwide network of internet-providing satellites. Michael Sayman, a developer who helped create Instagram Stories, told POLITICO's team of reporters that "Using Starlink internet, Musk would be able to streamline faster and more efficient access to the X App services — and potentially throttle access to competing mega-apps," clashing with California's net neutrality rules.

It's a formidable set of challenges, and an equally formidable network of interlocking regulations that Musk faces in his next push to "disrupt" American tech. — Derek Robertson

meta presses on

Mark Zuckerberg testifies.

Mark Zuckerberg took the stand last month to argue his case. At issue is whether Meta bought Within rather than compete by developing its own virtual reality fitness product. | Alex Brandon/AP Photo

Meta is still defending itself in court against an FTC lawsuit that accuses the company of making an anti-competitive acquisition, but that isn't stopping the company from continuing to buy up its juniors.

Just before the new year Meta confirmed to TechCrunch that it was purchasing Luxexcel, a Dutch smart eyewear company. Meta expects the acquisition to boost its development of augmented reality technology, or so-called "smart glasses" like its Ray-Ban Stories (as opposed to the more totalizing Quest virtual reality headset).

Whether or not this acquisition sparks the same accusations that faced that of Within (the fitness app company that the FTC sued over), Meta's continued push for metaverse spending even amid a down year isn't surprising to watchers of the company. In a blog post last month, Meta's CTO Andrew Bosworth wrote of the company's vision for 2023 that despite regulatory rough sledding and a chorus of metaverse critics, "what won't change… is our vision and the long-term research effort we're undertaking to get there." — Derek Robertson

tweet of the day

the future in 5 links
  • How are FTX employees dealing with the company's baggage on their job hunts?
  • The U.S.' big investment in chip manufacturing still faces some major challenges.
  • Big Tech is having a rough go of it, but AI could power a comeback.
  • Meanwhile, China is trying to develop its own path-breaking AI applications.
  • Autonomous vehicles could help clear the clogged supply chain in 2023.

Stay in touch with the whole team: Ben Schreckinger (bschreckinger@politico.com); Derek Robertson (drobertson@politico.com); Steve Heuser (sheuser@politico.com); and Benton Ives (bives@politico.com). Follow us @DigitalFuture on Twitter.

Ben Schreckinger covers tech, finance and politics for POLITICO; he is an investor in cryptocurrency.

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