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5 questions for UC Berkeley’s Jennifer Chayes

How the next wave of technology is upending the global economy and its power structures
Jun 09, 2023 View in browser
 
POLITICO's Digital Future Daily newsletter logo

By Rebecca Kern

With help from Derek Robertson

Jennifer Chayes

Jennifer Tour Chayes. | Microsoft

Happy Friday, and welcome to the latest edition of our Future In Five Questions feature. It’s Rebecca Kern stepping in and I spoke with Jennifer Chayes, dean of the newly established College of Computing, Data Science and Society at the University of California, Berkeley. (They became an official college in May and the campus’s first new college in more than 50 years.) Chayes spent 23 years at Microsoft researching graph algorithms and machine learning. As one of the inventors of graphons – which are used in the machine learning of large-scale networks – she’s interested in using large language models like ChatGPT to process new datasets to solve pressing problems like climate change. And she’s also committed to expanding racial and gender diversity in STEM. This conversation has been edited and condensed for clarity:

What’s one underrated big idea?

One thing I’m not hearing enough about is AI for science. We're hearing about AI in very data-rich areas, like language and images. But AI for science — for which we’re developing new techniques for areas with relatively sparse data — is going to transform biomedicine and health. It's going to transform climate and sustainability. It’s going to transform the platforms on which we allocate resources in public health, in welfare and in other areas. So AI for science is really going to do that. I see that as being huge.

Our College of Computing, Data Science and Society is training the people who come in with a commitment to public health or a commitment to climate and sustainability, or a commitment to human welfare and social justice, who are going to help to create these platforms that will enable us to really start to make progress in all of those domains for the good of society.

What’s a technology you think is overhyped?

I do think large language models (LLMs — like ChatGPT) are going to transform the world, but I think they’re overhyped. They have this uncanny ability to do things that we believe only human beings could do. And I think it's both overestimated and underestimated.

I think it's very different from human intelligence. It’s very bad at planning. It tends to make egregious mistakes, although there are ways being developed to improve that.

But on the other hand, I think it's underestimated in other areas, like the advances that it will have in health care in patient interaction. With therapy using LLM – there are startups out there that are doing that — we're going to be able to teach people better with LLMs conversing with them. So I think it's going to personalize a lot of things that we just don't have the resources to do.

What book most shaped your conception of the future?

I’m a multi-disciplined kind of person. I've done mathematics. I've done physics. I’ve done economics. I've done biology. I’ve done computer science. And in the same way, I am not a single-book kind of person nor a single-genre person. I very much believe in bringing diverse perspectives together, including both fiction and nonfiction. Kazuo Ishiguro — anything he writes, I would be devouring immediately — “Never Let Me Go,” “Klara and the Sun.” His work shows human beings being distorted by not only technology but bizarre incentives. Then as a nonfiction writer — Yuval Harari. “Sapiens” and “21 Lessons for the 21st Century” and “Homo Deus.” I love his books, I don’t agree with everything, but I find him very, very thought-provoking.

What could the government be doing regarding tech that it isn’t?

Health intervention. We need larger datasets than we have, and I’d love to see the government require that there must be sharing of data for health care government funding, and a lot of health care is government funded. Because then we're going to be able to make many more choices, and the choices we make are also going to be tailored to different groups.

On the other hand, I believe that the government should impose tremendous penalties for the misuse of data. So I think make the data more accessible, but create penalties for misuse.

In terms of AI regulation, I think we have to be very careful. Horizontal regulation of technologies is going to be very difficult. There's also a question of whether we want to do vertical regulation of the uses of technology in different industries. I think that may be a more reasonable way to do it as we're understanding it best in that case.

What has surprised you most this year?

Two things — one is technical and one is societal. One is ChatGPT. I knew that something like that was going to happen eventually, but I was surprised by how quickly it happened. I would have predicted five or ten years from now.

Then I'm also surprised by the reaction: How strong, how rapid the reaction has been and how it's been extrapolated that people attribute to it powers that it does not have. And how some of the reactions I think are not necessarily scientifically based. The nice part about the reaction though is the feeling that now a lot of the world's gonna come together with the experts in computing and AI to make sure that these powers are used for the good of society and not to harm it.

 

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china challenge

A Chinese warship breaks through an image of a U.S. flag.

Illustrations by Brian Stauffer for POLITICO

The brand of industrial-focused techno-politics that’s slowly coalesced in Washington in recent years is now having its key concerns echoed by the Pentagon.

Michael Hersh reports in POLITICO Magazine this morning on the widespread belief within the Pentagon that the U.S. simply isn’t ready for a potential all-out war with China over Taiwan, largely because we’re lagging in both industrial capacity and technological development.

“We can’t put any more Band-Aids on a defense industrial base that has reacted to government signals for the past three decades and is now purely a peacetime industrial base,” one defense analyst told Michael — with the U.S. lagging when it comes to shipbuilding, and missile and airplane manufacturing, a key concern of DC’s new-school technocrats.

Then there’s the technology angle. In 2021, former Google CEO Eric Schmidt called out the process by which the Pentagon acquires new technology, calling it an “outdated, industrial-age budgeting process” that “creates a valley of death for new technology … preventing the flexible investment needed in prototypes, concepts, and experimentation of new concepts and technologies like AI.” To hear Pentagon-watchers tell it, the CHIPS and Science Act’s $52.7 billion investment in semiconductor manufacturing was a good start, but nowhere close to bringing us near readiness for conflict. — Derek Robertson

help us help you

Ouch: The Internet Archive, that bastion of preservation for all things otherwise digitally ephemeral, is getting absolutely slammed by AI models training on its data.

The archive’s founder, Brewster Kahle, wrote in a recent blog post that “Tens of thousands of requests per second for our public domain OCR files were launched from 64 virtual hosts on amazon’s AWS services,” helpfully explaining that “Even by web standards,10’s of thousands of requests per second is a lot.”

Like any good librarian, Kahle isn’t opposed to the archive’s knowledge being raided — he just wants to help do it right. “Those wanting to use our materials in bulk should start slowly, and ramp up,” he wrote, offering the archive’s assistance with large projects. “If you find yourself blocked, please don’t just start again, reach out… please use the Internet Archive, but don’t bring us down in the process.” — Derek Robertson

Tweet of the Day

ChatGPT, interrupted.

the future in 5 links

Stay in touch with the whole team: Ben Schreckinger (bschreckinger@politico.com); Derek Robertson (drobertson@politico.com); Mohar Chatterjee (mchatterjee@politico.com); and Steve Heuser (sheuser@politico.com). Follow us @DigitalFuture on Twitter.

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