Extreme heat is eclipsing U.S. climate gain

Your guide to the political forces shaping the energy transformation

Jul 07, 2023 View in browser   By Arianna Skibell Smoke rises from a coal-powered steel plant at Hehal village, near Ranchi, in the eastern state of Jharkhand, India, on Sept. 26, 2021. | Altaf Qadri/AP Photo All-time temperature records toppled this week. Hurricane forecasts are becoming more dire. And the acrid smell of Canadian wildfire smoke has barely left the nostrils of people in D.C. So you may be ready for some good climate news: For the first time since Joe Biden became president, the United States’ planet-warming carbon emissions have dropped this year. That’s not saving anyone from the record-breaking heat gripping the planet, though. And some analysts say the decline in climate pollution probably has more to do with milder winters — which triggered a decline in home heating — than Biden’s carbon-cutting policies, writes Benjamin Storrow. Even the good news has a downside Steep declines in greenhouse gas emissions in the United States and Europe were offset by rising production in China and India, leading to a flatlining of global atmospheric pollution through the first five months of 2023. That trend, identified by the academic emissions tracker Carbon Monitor, conforms to experts’ prediction that the world is entering a period of plateauing emissions — not the sharp declines needed to stave off disaster. The problem is that even as wind, solar and other clean energy production rises, it’s being offset by increasing energy consumption across the world. Because carbon pollution builds up and lingers in the atmosphere, fluctuations in yearly emissions are so far bearing very little on recent weather trends. And those trends are alarming even the most seasoned climate scientists. Hear that? It’s global heat records shattering. On Monday, the planet experienced its hottest day in at least 125,000 years, The Washington Post reported based on an analysis of federal data. Then came Tuesday, which was even hotter. Thursday spiked up again, for a new peak just over 63 degrees Fahrenheit.   Forecasters recently predicted that the world is entering a five-year period of soaring temperatures driven by continued emissions of heat-trapping pollution and the return of the naturally occurring El Niño climate pattern. The combination so far has been striking. June was the warmest ever recorded, with heat waves spreading across the south and southwestern U.S., Mexico and beyond. Oceans have warmed to new levels, Antarctica is experiencing a record drop in sea ice, and surface temperatures have climbed by a strikingly wide margin. Not to mention, humans have used so much groundwater that it’s shifting Earth’s tilt, which can’t be a good thing.   Thank goodness it's Friday — thank you for tuning in to POLITICO's Power Switch. I'm your host, Arianna Skibell. Power Switch is brought to you by the journalists behind E&E News and POLITICO Energy. Send your tips, comments, questions to askibell@eenews.net. Listen to today’s POLITICO Energy podcast Today in POLITICO Energy’s podcast: James Bikales breaks down the Biden administration’s ambitious strategy to build a national network of electric vehicle chargers and the challenges it faces. Power Centers POLITICO illustration/Photos by iStock Who defines 'green' hydrogen? The European Union’s definition of “green” hydrogen is emerging as a potential model for the U.S., which would have global repercussions for climate emissions, trans-Atlantic trade and production of the fuel, writes David Iaconangelo. Europe’s plan is also shaking up a debate over how to ensure that hydrogen is actually a low-carbon fuel ahead of key tax guidance from the U.S. Treasury Department. Not so quiet quitting The European Union on Friday moved to pull the plug on the bloc's membership in the Energy Charter Treaty, a pact seen as hurting efforts to curb climate change, writes Federica Di Sario. The EU tried reforming the treaty but ultimately chose to abandon it after Denmark, France, Germany, Luxembourg, the Netherlands, Poland, Slovenia and Spain all threatened to quit. In Other News Heating up: The United Nations says climate change is "out of control" after this week emerged as likely the hottest on record. As seen on TV: Climate change is our reality — and it's starting to be appear on reality TV?   LISTEN TO POLITICO'S ENERGY PODCAST: Check out our daily five-minute brief on the latest energy and environmental politics and policy news. Don't miss out on the must-know stories, candid insights, and analysis from POLITICO's energy team. Listen today.     Subscriber Zone A showcase of some of our best subscriber content. A rig and supply vessel in the Gulf of Mexico in 2011. | Gerald Herbert/AP Photo The Biden administration may allow offshore oil companies to convert their leases into carbon dioxide storage, potentially speeding up the capture of millions of tons of greenhouse gases. EPA moved Thursday to close the gap between methane emissions reported by petroleum companies and levels of the potent greenhouse gas measured by researchers. Months after an unprecedented string of grid attacks, operators and policymakers are still working out how to protect the nation’s expansive electricity system. That's it for today, folks. Thanks for reading, and have a great weekend!   STEP INSIDE THE WEST WING: What's really happening in West Wing offices? Find out who's up, who's down, and who really has the president’s ear in our West Wing Playbook newsletter, the insider's guide to the Biden White House and Cabinet. For buzzy nuggets and details that you won't find anywhere else, subscribe today.       Follow us on Twitter Arianna Skibell @ariannaskibell   Follow us

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