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The coming fight over AI

A daily look inside Canadian politics and power.
Sep 14, 2023 View in browser
 
Ottawa Playbook

By Kyle Duggan, Zi-Ann Lum and Nick Taylor-Vaisey

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Thanks for reading Ottawa Playbook. Let's get into it.

In today's edition:

→ This fall, Parliament might just have to grapple with how AI could kill us all.

→ Liberals tout housing accelerator success following grumbles from caucus

→ JUSTIN TRUDEAU says he plans to stick around.

DRIVING THE DAY

Logos of OpenAI and ChatGPT

Logos of OpenAI and ChatGPT. | Lionel Bonaventure/AFP/Getty Images

KIND OF A BIG DEAL — For one of the hottest legislative issues Parliament will grapple with once it returns, the stakes couldn’t be higher.

Researchers wrote in to warn MPs that an advanced artificial intelligence could one day go Skynet rogue and “pursue arbitrary control over the world’s resources” if Canada and other countries don’t come up with the right laws to regulate it.

“On our current trajectory, once artificial agents become sufficiently advanced, if they are designed in the wrong way, they will present a large risk of causing human extinction,” write MICHAEL COHEN and MICHAEL OSBORNE, engineering science researchers at University of Oxford who sent the industry committee their own “proof-of-concept” legislation.

— Not quite there yet: Existential-doom hype aside, AI is a fast-moving issue that has drawn the attention and concerns of a wide range of society groups that could be affected, be it individual jobs or the disruption of whole industries. Get ready to hear a lot about this.

The warning came in one of several briefs posted by the House industry committee that have trickled in over the summer months since the contentious Bill C-27 — sprawling privacy and AI legislation which Playbook has already detailed — passed second reading in the spring.

— More voices chiming in: The Professional Institute of the Public Service of Canada wrote to the committee in August that it’s concerned about a lack of transparency in how AI will be used in workplace evaluation, surveillance and hiring practices — and is seeking a one-year heads up on any AI-generated layoffs.

“We were informed in discussions with the Treasury Board that there would be layoffs as a result of AI,” it noted among its slew of proposals.

Academics also warned over the summer of the need to pick the right legal definitions, since generative AI may “inconsistently provide inaccurate or problematic medical advice.”

Concerns range, but one frequent criticism lodged is that the AI section leaves a lot of key details for bureaucrats to figure out down the road.

— Top agenda: With a nod to the urgency of the coming pharmacare bill, NDP MP BRIAN MASSE suggests this could become the “dominant piece of legislation in the House of Commons,” which the industry committee will pick up once it wraps up business with Bill C-34 that modernizes the Investment Canada Act.

“The AI component will actually merge into many other government departments and legislation in the future,” he tells Playbook.

— Inundated: Masse said the phones have been ringing off the hook on the issue and his office “just can't keep up with the amount of interest.”

— Not sold yet: Masse said he has yet to be convinced on a few issues, like whether a proposed privacy tribunal would avoid legislation or potentially create more — and he doesn’t want to witness the creation of “another dumping ground for political patronage.”

— Lots to dig into: Conservative MP RYAN WILLIAMS, who noted in the Commons the last time privacy legislation was updated the world was using simple CD Walkmans, tells Playbook the AI component is “a big one, certainly we’re going to spend a lot of time on it.”

His biggest concern is that the bill does not state Canadians have a fundamental right to privacy, putting it out of sync with other nations’ privacy regimes and Europe’s GDPR data rules.

— Changing at breakneck speed: “Just over the summer I’ve been reading about new instances, and I'm sure by the fall, we're going to see even more instances where this technology is creeping into Canadians’ everyday lives,” Williams said.

Conservative MP MICHELLE REMPEL GARNER also notes it was drafted before the world was captivated by large language model AIs, like ChatGPT.

“This is like a bill that regulates the scribes four months before the printing press was released,” she said. “It’s out of date.”

She heads a cross-party parliamentary caucus on emerging technologies like AI, which over the summer heard from a range of stakeholders on this issue.

— Watch for: A summary report, which should be coming out in the near future, in time to help MPs quickly get up to speed.

— Personal conclusions: “What I've gathered from listening to stakeholders over the last three, four months is that there's a lot left to be desired with that part of Bill C-27,” she tells Playbook.

— Expect amendments: All signs point to a flurry of proposals to revamp the bill, something signaled by opposition MPs in spring.

— Open to changes: Innovation Minister FRANÇOIS-PHILIPPE CHAMPAGNE, who has touted the bill as a modernization of Canada’s privacy laws that will help protect children in the digital age, has hinted the government is open to amendments, although it’s not clear how far that extends.

Champagne has been doing a pulse-check with key stakeholders and experts over the summer in private one-on-one talks, while his department has held round tables with academics.

— Keep an eye on … The All In conference in Montreal, which runs Sept. 27-28 and boasts a speaker lineup of AI startup CEOs and top experts like YOSHUA BENGIO, lands right around the time debate could really be taking off in the Commons.

 

GO INSIDE THE WORLD’S BIGGEST DIPLOMATIC PLATFORM WITH UNGA PLAYBOOK: The 78th Session of the United Nations General Assembly will jam some of the world's most influential leaders into four city blocks in Manhattan. POLITICO's special edition UNGA Playbook will take you inside this important gathering starting Sept. 17 — revealing newsy nuggets throughout the week and insights into the most pressing issues facing global decision-makers today. Sign up for UNGA Playbook.

 
 
TODAY'S HIGHLIGHTS

— Prime Minister JUSTIN TRUDEAU attends the Liberal caucus retreat starting at 9 a.m., then delivers closing remarks at 4:30 p.m.

— Deputy PM CHRYSTIA FREELAND attends the Liberal caucus retreat.

10:30 a.m. Bloc Québécois Leader YVES-FRANÇOIS BLANCHET holds a press conference to conclude his party’s pre-sessional caucus meeting in Sherbrooke, Que.

12 p.m. (9 a.m. PST) Conservative Leader PIERRE POILIEVRE holds a press conference in Vancouver, B.C. ahead of rallies in Smithers and Terrace.

5:30 p.m. Treasury Board President ANITA ANAND headlines a party fundraiser at the DoubleTree hotel in Kitchener. Donors will beef up the warchest of Kitchener South–Hespeler MP VALERIE BRADFORD's riding association.

For your radar

Housing Minister Sean Fraser at the University of British Columbia on Aug. 16.

Minister of Housing, Infrastructure and Communities Sean Fraser in Vancouver in August. | Darryl Dyck/The Canadian Press

HYPE AND GRIPE — Housing Minister SEAN FRASER pumped up Wednesday’s media avail with Prime Minister JUSTIN TRUDEAU and London Mayor JOSH MORGAN as something “never” announced in Canada before (astute Playbook readers already knew about the initiative).

Fraser and the PM touted the government’s agreement with the city to fast track the creation of 2,000 more homes under the housing accelerator fund that has the city cutting red tape on zoning — a strings-attached approach the Liberals seek to replicate across Canada.

Trudeau even issued a call out to mayors for proposals.

Canada remains in the depths of a crisis that will span multiple election cycles and is far away from the target needed for housing to return prices to normal.

The Liberals notched the (re)announceable on the key file at a time when more people are paying attention after summer — but also as more are paying attention to their opponents’ dazzling poll numbers.

— Raucous caucus: On the heels of a bright and shiny Conservative convention, and down in approval ratings, the Liberals headed into their caucus huddle in London amid a storm of griping and negative stories in both English and French media. Reports of MPs getting “blowback” at the door from voters.

Liberal strategist JEREMY GHIO summed up the situation succinctly to La Presse: Bad polls loosen tongues.

— Mulling the unthinkable: Radio-Canada’s LAURENCE MARTINcited a few unnamed Liberal MPs speaking openly about change at the top.

If things don’t change in the next six months, the PM should “rethink” if he is the right person to lead the party, one said, while another openly mused that either the message or the messenger needs to change.

Speaking with reporters, Trudeau acknowledged both the grumbling and the turmoil Canadians find themselves in.

— On the defense: Asked what he will tell his disgruntled colleagues while heading into a caucus meeting Wednesday afternoon, he said in French that he will spend a lot of time listening to their concerns and what they’re hearing from constituents.

“In my conversations across the country, Canadians are telling me they need assistance. They need us to secure the promise that Canada holds for them,” he said in French.

— E-day hint: Pressed again by reporters on remaining at the helm, he shrugged it off and said “we're two years out” from the next election.

“There's a lot of important work that needs to be done to deliver for Canadians during this tough time, and I remain enthusiastic to do that work.”

— Ticktock, ticktock: Four days until Parliament returns.

 

Enter the “room where it happens”, where global power players shape policy and politics, with Power Play. POLITICO’s brand-new podcast will host conversations with the leaders and power players shaping the biggest ideas and driving the global conversations, moderated by award-winning journalist Anne McElvoy. Sign up today to be notified of the first episodes in September – click here.

 
 
MEDIA ROOM

— Leger polling finds most Canadians worry about climate change and link it to extreme weather, CP’s MIA RABSON reports. But few list it as a top issue and many are hesitant to change their behavior.

— VALÉRIE GAMACHE reports for Rad-Can that Bloc-Conservative relations are blowing up. Leader YVES-FRANÇOIS BLANCHET bristled over Conservatives referring to the “Trudeau-Blanchet” carbon tax: “They are behaving like thugs.”

— U.K. Labour Leader KEIR STARMER is Montreal-bound this weekend for a meeting of “center-left leaders and politicians” that include Trudeau, The Financial Times reports.

— TERRY GLAVIN in Postmedia’s pages with “Trudeau ducks on China problem; Michael Chong spells it out.”

— Retired civil servant RICHARD DESJARDINS in the South China Morning Post on foreign interference: “If the terms of the inquiry so far are any indication, the unsavory role and questionable practices of the Canadian intelligence service in bringing about this crisis will largely go unexamined.”

— Angus Reid takes the pulse on premiers: “Saskatchewan Premier Scott Moe’s approval drops seven points; Tim Houston’s falls in Nova Scotia.”

— EVAN SCRIMSHAWSubstacks that “if the LPC lose the next election, it’ll be solely on their shoulders.”

— Part one of a series by GEOFF RUSSfor the Hub: “Is Canada’s real estate-driven economy dragging down growth?”

PROZONE

If you’re a subscriber, don’t miss our latest policy newsletter by ZI-ANN LUM: Trudeau shakes off internal grumblings

In other Pro headlines:

— House Republicans urge ‘time-tested tool' over Biden China investment rule

— It’s time to regulate AI like cars and drugs, top Microsoft exec says

— EU risks trade war with China over electric vehicles

— CEOs expect employment to cool as economic growth slows

— Court decisions could upend Biden's electric vehicle agenda

PLAYBOOKERS

HBD: McMillan Vantage consultant PALMER FRITSCHY and former Alberta energy minister MARG MCCUAIG-BOYD.

Send birthdays to ottawaplaybook@politico.com.

Spotted: Former Liberal MP DEB SCHULTE with her 42-year-old camping tent and 67-year-old partner, celebrating that her lymphoma is in remission: “Life is good!”

Conservative MP MICHAEL CHONG getting coverage in Japan for his Washington testimony by Kyodo News wire service (spot his name in the piece: マイケル・チョン).

FLAVIO VOLPE challenging PBO’s findings on the EV deal

B.C. United MLA BRUCE BANMAN crossing the floor in what looks to be a big deal for the provincial Conservatives.

Westjet CEO ALEXIS VON HOENSBROECH responding to criticisms about PIERRE POILIEVRE making an in-flight announcement on a plane packed full of convention delegates: “This was not a political endorsement” … Air Canada blaming a pilot shortage for ending service to Penticton.

The newest beats in journalism: TAYLOR SWIFT and BEYONCÉ KNOWLES-CARTER.

Movers and shakers: U.S. ambo DAVID COHEN feted a pair of new embassy staff at a Tuesday night Lornado reception. The new deputy chief of mission is MARYBETH TURNER, who most recently served as minister counselor for economic affairs in the U.S. Embassy in Beijing. Cohen's new chief of staff is IRAN CAMPANA, director of White House operations until June … Cohen using a fork to get into Golden Palace’s legendary egg rolls.

Per some recent Orders in Council, the government appointed LINDA HUGHES and ROBERT COX as members of the Independent Advisory Board on Eligibility for Journalism Tax Measures.

Enterprise senior consultant JESSE SHEA is repping JFE Shoji Power Canada, an electrical steel component manufacturer that wants to tap into the federal Strategic Innovation Fund for "investment in increased manufacturing capabilities."

J.D. Irving posted an Aug. 8 meeting with Housing Minister SEAN FRASER. The Maritime giant is meeting with federal officials about "potential funding for rural housing." Irving also met separately with Innovation Minister FRANÇOIS-PHILIPPE CHAMPAGNE and Energy Minister JONATHAN WILKINSON on Aug. 21.

Canada EU Trade and Investment Association President MARK CAMILLERI is joining the Business Council of Canada as a special adviser for all things European Union.

TRIVIA

Wednesday’s answer: Four prime ministers have paid rent to live at 24 Sussex Drive: LOUIS ST-LAURENT, JOHN DIEFENBAKER, LESTER PEARSON and PIERRE ELLIOTT TRUDEAU. The policy lasted from 1951 until 1971.

Props to BOB GORDON, GEORGE SCHOENHOFER, KEVIN BOSCH, PAUL QUINTILIAN, SARA MAY and KATHERINE FEENAN.

Today’s question: Which MP tried to table a cardboard cutout of Justin Trudeau in the House of Commons in 2017?

Send your answer to ottawaplaybook@politico.com

Want to grab the attention of movers and shakers on Parliament Hill? Want your brand in front of a key audience of Ottawa influencers? Playbook can help. Contact Jesse Shapiro to find out how: jshapiro@politico.com

Playbook wouldn’t happen without: POLITICO Canada editor Sue Allan, Luiza Ch. Savage and Emma Anderson.

 

Follow us on Twitter

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