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Crypto likes the government now, sort of

Presented by Connect The Future: How the next wave of technology is upending the global economy and its power structures
Dec 05, 2023 View in browser
 
POLITICO's Digital Future Daily newsletter logo

By Ben Schreckinger

Presented by Connect The Future

With help from Derek Robertson

A photo shows bitcoin tokens.

Bitcoin tokens are shown in Sandy, Utah, April 3, 2013. | Rick Bowmer/AP Photo

For years, the crypto industry has been wrestling with regulators and the Wall Street establishment over the future of money and finance — a restless upstart pushing against the forces it was created to displace.

But for the moment, that wrestling is starting to look more like hugging.

The price of Bitcoin has returned to levels not seen since last April’s crypto crash, and crypto boosters have been feeling some of their old bubble-era euphoria. One feature of the pre-crash era that has not fully returned: the crypto vs. establishment hostility.

Instead, market observers are pointing to the role of institutions like the SEC and asset manager Blackrock, which crypto backers had long treated as antagonists, in fueling the euphoria.

Those shifting dynamics are a sign that in fights over the future of financial tech, the battle lines remain in flux.

Less than two years ago, crypto booster Peter Thiel projected Blackrock CEO Larry Fink’s face on a screen at a glitzy Bitcoin conference as part of his Bitcoin “enemies list” — voicing his suspicion that the head of the world’s largest asset manager wanted to crush the cryptocurrency on behalf of the financial establishment and its allies in government.

Yesterday, crypto news outlet Coindesk ran a profile headlined “Larry Fink: Wall Street’s Biggest Bitcoin Believer.”

So what changed? In June, the asset manager filed for permission to sell Bitcoin on stock exchanges. That put gigantic Blackrock on the same side of a key debate as crypto startups.

Then a federal court struck down the SEC’s rejection of a similar application to launch a Bitcoin exchange traded fund -- fueling hope among crypto investors that the SEC will soon begin approving Bitcoin ETFs. The prospect of federal approval for new Bitcoin investments is the most commonly cited driver of the current rally. Suddenly, the government looks like a potential friend of the crypto movement, or at least an enabler.

Today, the Financial Times detailed the French government’s long-running efforts to woo Binance to invest in the country. This, despite the exchange’s founder, Changpeng Zhao, pleading guilty to federal money laundering charges in the U.S. last month.

France’s crypto embrace includes another blast from crypto’s pre-crash past: State subsidies for blockchain training courses with diplomas issued in the form of NFTs.

Not that the politics of crypto have been turned completely upside down: an SEC approval in those circumstances would be only a begrudging concession to the federal judiciary, not a true embrace by the establishment. And industry backers remain at loggerheads with the agency over several issues, like what sort of digital tokens qualify as securities.

Crypto critics in government, like Sen. Elizabeth Warren, continue to view the technology as as a vehicle for money laundering and fraud with little legitimate utility.

And governments around the world continue to pursue their own digital currencies — a trend opposed by crypto’s libertarian boosters, who consider the separation of money from government authority to be most of the point of the technology.

Earlier today, the central banks of Italy and Korea unveiled a memorandum of understanding to formalize cooperation on their digital currency projects.

And it wouldn't be crypto without a good conspiracy theory: True believers in crypto’s anti-establishment ethos view the interest of Blackrock and other institutional investors as something of a Trojan Horse: a way for big financial institutions (and regulators) to wrangle control over unruly blockchain networks.

So as governments figure out how to regulate existing networks, cypherpunk activists keep cooking up new crypto technologies to stymie oversight — and the wrestling match continues.

 

A message from Connect The Future:

Unfair pole costs jeopardize efforts to connect 100% of Americans to broadband. Replaced poles deliver benefits to pole owners for decades – that’s why in Canada they share at least 50% of the investment. With similar cost-sharing, the FCC could speed deployment and make programs like BEAD more effective. Learn more.

 
cash still king

A massive scandal in Europe revealed how one of the continent’s leading crypto boosters dealt with her money in a… decidedly non-crypto way.

POLITICO’s Eddy Wax, Elisa Braun and Gian Volpicelli reported on the saga of Eva Kaili, the European Parliament’s former vice president who’s charged with accepting cash from the Qatari government to influence the European Union on its behalf.

Kaili’s associates “lost” the cash on a train; threw it in a dumpster; and stuffed it into brown paper bags and suitcases. (She denies all the charges and is challenging the case in court.)

But most notable, and ironic for one of Europe’s biggest champions of apocalypse-proof, untraceable currency, was the one bag of cold, hard cash that she allegedly kept, containing somewhere between €30,000 to €40,000: Set aside, she said in leaked documents obtained by POLITICO, “in case of a nuclear attack.” — Derek Robertson

 

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california conflict

California’s legislature is looking to take the same role in AI regulations as it did on data privacy: Acting where Congress can’t, or won’t.

POLITICO’s Jeremy B. White reported on the skepticism in Sacramento among lawmakers toward the AI boom. Even the state’s Gov. Gavin Newsom, an outspoken guardian of California’s position at the vanguard of tech, is considering how to keep the reins on AI’s development.

“Generative AI is a potentially world-changing technology for unimaginable benefit, but also incalculable cost and harm,” Newsom’s point person on artificial intelligence, Jason Elliott, told Jeremy. “I don’t know that anyone in the world — not Google, not (OpenAI founder) Sam Altman, certainly not Gavin Newsom — knows what the full trajectory of this technology is.”

California lawmakers have unveiled a slew of bills on topics including AI-generated likenesses and potential bias in housing, health care, and other industries. — Derek Robertson

 

GET A BACKSTAGE PASS TO COP28 WITH GLOBAL PLAYBOOK: Get insider access to the conference that sets the tone of the global climate agenda with POLITICO's Global Playbook newsletter. Authored by Suzanne Lynch, Global Playbook delivers exclusive, daily insights and comprehensive coverage that will keep you informed about the most crucial climate summit of the year. Dive deep into the critical discussions and developments at COP28 from Nov. 30 to Dec. 12. SUBSCRIBE NOW.

 
 
Tweet of the Day

In 2021 OpenAI released a GSM8K dataset of grade school math word problems. Here's one of the problems, and I think the provided answer is just wrong? If you borrow an average of 40 books a day from Monday to Friday, then you're borrowing 200 books a week by definition.

THE FUTURE IN 5 LINKS

Stay in touch with the whole team: Ben Schreckinger (bschreckinger@politico.com); Derek Robertson (drobertson@politico.com); Mohar Chatterjee (mchatterjee@politico.com); Steve Heuser (sheuser@politico.com); Nate Robson (nrobson@politico.com) and Daniella Cheslow (dcheslow@politico.com).

Ben Schreckinger covers tech, finance and politics for POLITICO; he is an investor in cryptocurrency.

If you’ve had this newsletter forwarded to you, you can sign up and read our mission statement at the links provided.

 

A message from Connect The Future:

Unfair pole replacement costs jeopardize efforts to connect 100% of Americans to broadband. When pole owners don’t pay their fair share for investments in their own infrastructure, unserved families and small businesses pay the price. The FCC has the opportunity to fix the pole replacement cost issue and expedite broadband expansion programs like BEAD. Learn More.

 
 

JOIN WOMEN RULE ON 12/12: For centuries, women were left out of the rooms that shaped policy, built companies and led countries. Now, society needs the creativity and entrepreneurship of women more than ever. How can we make sure that women are given the space and opportunity to shape the world’s future for the better? Join POLITICO's Women Rule on Dec. 12 for Leading with Purpose: How Women Are Reinventing the World to explore this and more. REGISTER HERE.

 
 
 

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