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RFK Jr.’s third-party odyssey

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Apr 30, 2024 View in browser
 
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By Brittany Gibson

Campaign buttons are displayed for Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at a Cesar Chavez Day event at Union Station on March 30 in Los Angeles, Calif.

Campaign buttons are displayed for Independent presidential candidate Robert F. Kennedy Jr. at a Cesar Chavez Day event at Union Station on March 30 in Los Angeles, Calif. | Mario Tama/Getty Images

PARTY FAVORS — Roughly a year ago, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. launched a long shot bid for the White House as a Democrat. Six months later, he dropped his Democratic primary challenge and announced he’d run as an independent. Since then, Kennedy’s played footsie with the Libertarian Party, secured a spot on Michigan’s ballot as the nominee of the Natural Law Party and, on Monday, announced he would be on the California presidential ballot on the American Independent Party line.

His ramble through the third-party swamps of American politics is enabled by his farrago of ideological views — ranging from pure conspiracy theory to wellness culture dogma — but it’s also born out of strategic necessity.

Democratic-aligned groups have been fighting Kennedy’s candidacy, not only in messaging but in legal challenges to disqualify him from the ballot. Both parties fear Kennedy’s presence on the ballot, particularly in the swing states where he could serve as a spoiler candidate.

As a nominally independent candidate — as opposed to a major-party candidate — Kennedy has to collect thousands of signatures in every state to earn a spot on the November ballot alongside Joe Biden and Donald Trump. It can be an expensive, time-consuming and grueling process — unless, of course, Kennedy takes advantage of loopholes designed to ease the process, such as joining pre-existing parties that already have a line on the ballot.

That’s exactly what Kennedy did in Michigan and California. While Kennedy ended his flirtations with the Libertarian Party some time ago, in Michigan he joined forces with the Natural Law Party, which is something of a zombie party without much of an active presence in state politics.

Founded in the 1990s on theories of transcendental meditation, the party once had a small national presence. But it has withered in recent decades. The Michigan chapter of the Natural Law Party has succeeded in outliving the national party — which folded in 2004 — and its main goal is simply to get enough votes each election to qualify for a ballot line in the next one.

“Why Bother With Signatures?” the Natural Law Party asks on its website. “We Can Put You On The Ballot!”

Indeed, the party saved Kennedy the time and expense of collecting 12,000 signatures, enabling his campaign to focus on ballot access battles elsewhere.

California is a similar story, even if the party vessel Kennedy is utilizing there has a longer — and considerably more checkered — history than the Natural Law Party.

Founded in 1967, the American Independent Party has a history of nominating segregationists and hard-right populist conservatives. It helped former Alabama Gov. George Wallace get on the ballot in the 1968 presidential election when he ran as a populist, pro-segregation candidate. In 1972, the AIP nominee was California Congressman John Schmitz, a John Birch Society member; in 1976, it was former segregationist Georgia Gov. Lester Maddox.

In 2016, AIP also nominated Donald Trump on its California ballot line — despite the fact that Trump didn’t seek the nomination and his campaign distanced itself from the AIP nomination.

Recognizing the AIP’s radioactive history, in a nearly six-minute video announcing the move, Kennedy called Wallace “a bigoted, segregationist supporter, who was antithetical to everything my father believed in.”

But the statement belied a more complicated personal history with — and assessment of — Wallace.

Wallace regularly challenged the candidate’s father, Robert F. Kennedy Sr., when he served as attorney general, and Alabama was a hot spot for police violence against civil rights demonstrators and opposition to public school integration.

But after being shot on the campaign trail in 1972, Wallace publicly reversed his racist stances and sought forgiveness from many civil rights leaders. Kennedy Jr. interviewed the former governor several times for a college thesis that became a book in 1978.

In an article about the book deal, Kennedy said, “I found Governor Wallace very pleasant personally … He has several admirable qualities. He is seriously concerned about states’ rights, not racism.”

The book — a biography of Judge Frank M. Johnson, a Wallace opponent and famed federal court judge whose landmark rulings helped end segregation and enforce voting rights across the South— included defenses of Wallace’s actions.

According to a 2015 biography of Kennedy Jr., Kennedy also wrestled with the question of Boston’s support for Wallace during the 1972 and 1976 Democratic primaries, noting that “good Irish citizens of South Boston” backed Wallace’s campaign in surprising numbers, noting that they were “our people … at least my family always considered them thus.”

As late as 2001, in a diary entry that was leaked to the New York Post years later, Kennedy wrote, “Al Sharpton has done more damage to the black cause than George Wallace.”

In his video announcement Monday announcing the AIP nomination, Kennedy said the party had gone through a “rebirth” and had a new charter, one that “can use its independent ballot line for good.”

Kennedy’s third-party odyssey has made for an unusual campaign — the storied Democratic family’s name on the American Independent or Natural Law Party line seems out of place.

Kennedy doesn’t seem to care though. His family has already disavowed his campaign. He’s running a non-traditional campaign marked by unconventional stances. Against that backdrop, the AIP nomination shouldn’t come as a surprise.

Welcome to POLITICO Nightly. Reach out with news, tips and ideas at nightly@politico.com. Or contact tonight’s author at bgibson@politico.com or on X (formerly known as Twitter) at @brittanyagibson.

 

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TRUMP ON TRIAL

CRIMINAL CONTEMPT — Donald Trump was held in criminal contempt by Justice Juan Merchan this morning for seven social media posts and two statements on Trump’s campaign website that violated a gag order imposed in his Manhattan criminal case.

The judge ordered Trump to pay a $9,000 fine — $1,000 for each violation. And he warned Trump that additional violations could land him in jail.

“Defendant is hereby warned that the Court will not tolerate willful violations of its lawful orders and that if necessary and appropriate under the circumstances, it will impose an incarceratory punishment,” the judge wrote in an eight-page decision.

Before the hush money trial began in mid-April, the judge issued a gag order that bars Trump from publicly commenting about likely witnesses, jurors and other people involved in the case.

Prosecutors accused Trump of repeatedly violating the gag in the days leading up to the trial and during the trial itself. Trump posted social media messages attacking people including Michael Cohen and Stormy Daniels, who are expected to be key witnesses for the prosecution.

CUTTING THE CHECKS — When Stormy Daniels’ lawyer struck a $130,000 hush money deal in the fall of 2016 for Daniels to keep quiet about her claim of a sexual encounter with Donald Trump, Daniels’ lawyer believed the ultimate source of the money would be Donald Trump — even though Trump’s fixer, Michael Cohen, told him he would “do it myself.”

Keith Davidson, the attorney who represented Daniels as she sought payment for her story, testified that he never thought Cohen would be on the hook for the $130,000.

When asked who he thought would actually put up the funds, Davidson responded: “From Donald Trump or some corporate affiliation thereof.”

TRANSFER SEASON — Prosecutors showed jurors several pieces of evidence today revealing how Michael Cohen executed a wire transfer from a newly created bank account to Stormy Daniels’ attorney in the days before the 2016 presidential election.

Prosecutor Rebecca Mangold walked jurors through emails and bank statements that showed the paper trail of the transfer from a First Republic Bank account controlled by Cohen to Daniels’ attorney Keith Davidson.

On Oct. 27, 2016, First Republic cleared a transfer of $130,000 from an account Cohen set up under an LLC called “Essential Consultants.” The money was wired to an attorney-client trust account controlled by Davidson, according to the records.

Cohen listed “retainer” as a reason for the wire transfer.

Cohen’s former attorney, Gary Farro, said Cohen described the transfer as a real estate deal. He never mentioned the transfer would be paid to benefit a political candidate or to buy a story that could be published in the media.

ANON PLS — Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton was spotted walking into the courtroom behind Donald Trump. Paxton is sitting in the front of the gallery, a few seats down from Eric Trump.

What'd I Miss?

— Biden administration to weaken weed restrictions, a seismic shift from decades of harsh policies: The Department of Justice will significantly loosen federal cannabis restrictions, marking the biggest shift in drug laws in more than half a century. The change follows a decade of seismic changes in cannabis policies across the country, with 24 states legalizing possession for adults — representing more than half of the U.S. population — and 38 states establishing medical marijuana programs.

— Columbia students occupying building ‘face expulsion’: Columbia University is threatening to expel pro-Palestinian students who charged a campus building early this morning and continued to occupy it throughout the day. The announcement comes about 13 hours after dozens of protesters stormed Hamilton Hall, an academic building housing several humanities classrooms as well as the offices of undergraduate admissions and of the dean of Columbia College. Demonstrators barricaded the doors with furniture and vowed to stay put until the university meets their demands as hundreds more formed a human chain in front of the building.

— House Dem leaders announce they will block effort to oust Johnson: House Democratic leaders announced today that they’d block a looming effort to boot Speaker Mike Johnson, an unprecedented development they attributed to the GOP leader’s help to pass foreign aid. “We will vote to table Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene’s Motion to Vacate the Chair. If she invokes the motion, it will not succeed,” House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, Minority Whip Katherine Clark (D-Mass.) and Democratic Caucus Chair Pete Aguilar (D-Calif.) said in a statement.

Nightly Road to 2024

THE TIME MAGAZINE INTERVIEW — “What emerged in two interviews with Trump, and conversations with more than a dozen of his closest advisers and confidants, were the outlines of an imperial presidency that would reshape America and its role in the world. To carry out a deportation operation designed to remove more than 11 million people from the country, Trump told me, he would be willing to build migrant detention camps and deploy the U.S. military, both at the border and inland. He would let red states monitor women’s pregnancies and prosecute those who violate abortion bans. He would, at his personal discretion, withhold funds appropriated by Congress, according to top advisers.

He would be willing to fire a U.S. Attorney who doesn’t carry out his order to prosecute someone, breaking with a tradition of independent law enforcement that dates from America’s founding. He is weighing pardons for every one of his supporters accused of attacking the U.S. Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021, more than 800 of whom have pleaded guilty or been convicted by a jury. He might not come to the aid of an attacked ally in Europe or Asia if he felt that country wasn’t paying enough for its own defense. He would gut the U.S. civil service, deploy the National Guard to American cities as he sees fit, close the White House pandemic-preparedness office, and staff his Administration with acolytes who back his false assertion that the 2020 election was stolen.”

BLAST RADIUS — The Biden campaign is mounting a concerted push to attack former President Donald J. Trump over statements he made to Time magazine in a wide-ranging interview published this morning, particularly on abortion. In the interview, writes the New York Times, Trump refused to commit to vetoing a national abortion ban and said he would allow states to monitor women’s pregnancies and prosecute those who violated abortion restrictions.

“This is reprehensible,” President Biden wrote on X. “Donald Trump doesn’t trust women. I do.”

AROUND THE WORLD

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu attends a press conference.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu attends a press conference in Tel Aviv. | Pool photo by Abir Sultan

DRAMATIC ESCALATION — Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu announced today that Israel will invade Rafah in the southern Gaza Strip, even if Hamas agrees to the latest Israeli proposal for a cease-fire.

“The idea that we will halt the war before achieving all of its goals is out of the question,” Netanyahu said, at a meeting with representatives of families of people taken hostage by the Palestinian militant group.

“We will enter Rafah and we will eliminate the Hamas battalions there — with or without a deal, in order to achieve the total victory,” he added.

The families urged Netanyahu to “withstand the international pressure” to halt the war in Gaza, the statement published by the Prime Minister’s Office said. President Joe Biden has said an invasion of Rafah would be a “red line,” though Netanyahu vowed to defy that.

Israel has carried out regular airstrikes on the city since the start of the war and has threatened to send in troops, calling Rafah the last Hamas stronghold. Overnight Monday, Israeli airstrikes killed at least 22 people, including six women and five children, Palestinian health officials said.

 

POLITICO IS BACK AT THE 2024 MILKEN INSTITUTE GLOBAL CONFERENCE: POLITICO will again be your eyes and ears at the 27th Annual Milken Institute Global Conference in Los Angeles from May 5-8 with exclusive, daily, reporting in our Global Playbook newsletter. Suzanne Lynch will be on the ground covering the biggest moments, behind-the-scenes buzz and on-stage insights from global leaders in health, finance, tech, philanthropy and beyond. Get a front-row seat to where the most interesting minds and top global leaders confront the world’s most pressing and complex challenges — subscribe today.

 
 
Nightly Number

4

The number of months in prison that former Binance CEO Changpeng Zhao was sentenced to by a federal judge today. The judge delivered the ruling after Zhao and Binance pleaded guilty last year to a sweeping slate of charges levied by the U.S. government alleging that the crypto company long prioritized its growth over compliance with the law.

RADAR SWEEP

GOING VERTICAL — Remember Quibi, the short-form video app that promised the appearance of A-list talent in short videos and then dramatically crashed and burned? It turns out, the idea — or at least part of the idea — has a growing afterlife. There are now many apps available that are explicitly geared towards streaming feature-length films broken down into 90-second clips to be consumed on your phone. Gone, though, are the A-listers. What’s replaced the kind of big budget projects that Quibi promised to distribute are movies that have been created for the express purpose of being broken down into shorter clips and distributed on these apps. That’s resulted in projects like Forbidden Desires: Alpha’s Love, which is about a college professor who is also a werewolf who is also a millionaire who also falls in love with his student who is his stepdaughter. Yeesh. But despite the cringe-inducing premise, movies like these are increasingly in production in Hollywood. Is this the future of the industry? Ej Dickson reports for Rolling Stone.

Parting Image

On this date in 1975: South Vietnamese civilians try to scale the high U.S. Embassy wall in desperate attempts to get aboard the evacuation flights in Saigon. The city fell to the North Vietnamese army, effectively putting an end to the Vietnam War.

On this date in 1975: South Vietnamese civilians try to scale the high U.S. Embassy wall in desperate attempts to get aboard the evacuation flights in Saigon. The city fell to the North Vietnamese army, effectively putting an end to the Vietnam War. | Neal Ulevich/AP

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