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The rise of the anti-anti Israel coalition

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Jul 09, 2024 View in browser
 
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By Calder McHugh with Victor Goury-Laffont

U.K. Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer talks to journalists as he travels onboard a plane.

U.K. Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer talks to journalists as he travels onboard a plane to Washington DC to attend a NATO summit today. | Pool photo by Stefan Rousseau

CENTER-LEFT VS. LEFT — In France last week, a center to left coalition succeeded in turning the far-right away from power. In England, a resurgent Labour party won a huge victory over the conservative Tories. And in the United States, the Democratic party is trying desperately to find its own way to hang on to power.

All three countries are dealing with tremendously different political situations. But they all have at least one thing in common: center-left parties that are directly attacking the further left on Israel.

Call it the anti-anti Israel coalition. It’s a double negative that doubles as a warning for members: Use more measured rhetoric regarding Israel, avoid trafficking in antisemitism, or risk your place in the party.

Since incoming U.K. Prime Minister Keir Starmer took over the reins of the British Labour Party in April 2020, he has led a campaign of relentless moderation, much of it under the banner of rooting out antisemitism (notably different from a solely and directly anti-Israel stance) in the party.

In July 2021, the National Executive Committee of the Labour Party voted to ban four far-left groups that had supported former Labour leader Jeremy Corbyn’s leadership. By 2019, some 87 percent of British Jews believed that Corbyn himself was an antisemite, and in 2020 he was suspended by the Labour Party.

Since the Oct. 7 Hamas attack on Israel, though, the Labour Party has taken an even harder line on concerns about both antisemitic and anti-Israel statements. The party suspended Member of Parliament Kate Osamor after she said Israel’s actions in Gaza should be remembered as a genocide, and withdrew support for MP candidate Azhar Ali after he said Israel had “allowed” the Oct. 7 massacre “that gives them the green light to do whatever they bloody want.” The party also suspended former Labour MP Graham Jones, who was seeking re-election, after he said in leaked private comments, “I’m sure when [world leaders] go home, like me, pardon my French [they say] ‘f**king Israel’ again.”

Starmer himself hasn’t been an unqualified supporter of Israel. He urged Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to halt attacks on the Gazan city of Rafah, and he has called for a “ceasefire that lasts.” But Starmer has insisted on militant message discipline with regard to the issue, especially as the party continues to get a moderate makeover under his leadership.

In 2022, Starmer told Labour’s annual conference that he had to “rip antisemitism out [of the party] by its roots.” He doesn’t want to lose that hard work over the issue, and he’s thus been proactive in punishing members of his party who have colored outside of the lines on the issue. And his strategy has been electorally successful; Labour won 412 of the 650 seats in parliament, decimating their rivals.

Across the English Channel in France, the war in Gaza has further exposed fault lines between the far-left and the center-left. But after the first round of France’s own snap parliamentary elections showed a surging far-right, everyone to their left — the center-right, center-left and far-left — agreed to ban together to stop Marine Le Pen’s National Rally party from taking control of government.

Still, that hasn’t stopped the center-right and center-left in particular from hitting the far-left hard on Israel.

Over the past six months, the mudslinging on the left became increasingly vicious. The parliamentary coalition between the two main leftist parties — the radical France Unbowed and center-left Socialist Party — collapsed over France Unbowed’s refusal to brand Hamas a “terrorist” organization. Opponents of far-left firebrand Jean-Luc Mélenchon of the France Unbowed party have consistently accused him of using antisemitic dogwhistles.

Despite this rupture, both parties managed to put these differences aside to play their role in a broader leftwing coalition within a few days of President Emmanuel Macron’s shock decision to call snap elections.

“To prevent the far right from coming to power, there comes a time when we have to look beyond our differences,” said former center-left President François Hollande, now running under the banner of a united left.

But now, some French leaders are calling for a moderate government that excludes Mélenchon. French President Emmanual Macron himself is hoping that the center-left and far-left coalition won’t hold, partly because of his distaste for Mélenchon’s views on Israel and Jews.

During a press conference earlier this month, Macron said social-democrats should not follow the Socialists into a partnership with the “extreme-left,” which, he said, “is guilty of antisemitism.”

In the United States, meanwhile, party leadership is more diffuse and less able to mold their coalition in their image. With only two major parties, Democrats and interest groups have turned their attention inwards to the further left elements of their own party.

Rep. Jamaal Bowman (D-N.Y.) lost a primary challenge that largely turned into a referendum on his views on Israel, in large part thanks to outside spending that made it the most expensive House primary race ever.

Prominent national Democrats took somewhat of a hands-off approach to Bowman’s race, with House Democratic Leader Hakeem Jeffries (D-N.Y.) endorsing the incumbent Bowman but doing only a cursory amount to help his campaign.

Jeffries’ spokesperson took a shot at the Justice Democrats, an organization that’s c alled on the DNC to condemn Israeli occupation of Palestine — and who first recruited Bowman to run in 2020 and backed him through the primary — telling The New York Times, “They have failed miserably in every way. Is anyone surprised?”

And even though the pro-Israel wing of the Democratic Party isn’t exactly able to expel members they don’t like, pro-Israel sentiment at the top of the party is more decisive than ever.

“[Israel] is the one place where Biden has moved to the right of the Obama era’s policies,” Daniel Schlozman, a professor of political science at Johns Hopkins University and the co-author of a book about how American political parties have trouble performing basic functions, says. “Biden has tried very hard in a lot of domestic politics to appeal to elements of the [Bernie] Sanders and [Elizabeth] Warren left. Since Oct. 7, he has tried very little of that with regard to Israel.”

Biden’s personal proclivities haven’t stopped Republicans from attacking him on the issue — during the June 27 debate, former President Donald Trump said Biden has “become like a Palestinian — but they don’t like him because he’s a very bad Palestinian, he’s a weak one,” while insisting Biden doesn’t want to “finish the job” against Hamas.

Should Biden lose in November, according to Schlozman, the issue of Israel will play into a cycle of recriminations as well.

Welcome to POLITICO Nightly. Reach out with news, tips and ideas at nightly@politico.com. Or contact tonight’s authors at cmchugh@politico.com and vgourylaffont@politico.eu or on X (formerly known as Twitter) at @calder_mchugh and @Victorglaf.

 

Understand 2024’s big impacts with Pro’s extensive Campaign Races Dashboard, exclusive insights, and key coverage of federal- and state-level debates. Focus on policy. Learn more.

 
 
What'd I Miss?

— ‘It’s time to hold him responsible,’ prosecutors say in closing statements against Menendez: New Jersey Democratic Sen. Bob Menendez’s defense the last two months has been to blame everyone but himself during his corruption trial, but prosecutors urged jurors to make him accountable for a yearslong series of alleged schemes to sell his office. “It’s time to hold him responsible,” federal prosecutor Paul Monteleoni told jurors during closing statements today. Monteleoni spent much of his five-hour closing argument undercutting the key argument made by the senator’s defense team: That his wife Nadine Menendez went behind his back to collect bribes.

— House Freedom Caucus braces for an internal brawl: The leadership-bucking House Freedom Caucus is facing a watershed moment, as several internal clashes risk ripping the group apart. The intense flare-up centers around the Monday night ouster of Rep. Warren Davidson (R-Ohio), led by allies of Chair Bob Good (R-Va.), who is on the precipice of losing his own reelection bid. Davidson had endorsed Good’s primary challenger, John McGuire. The 16-13 decision to remove Davidson has members predicting that others will resign over the matter. One lawmaker already announced directly after the vote that they would: Rep. Troy Nehls (R-Texas).

— Justice Sotomayor’s security detail shoots armed carjacker near her home: A member of Justice Sonia Sotomayor’s protective detail fended off and shot an armed attempted carjacker in the early morning of July 5, according to a charging document recently unsealed in federal court in Washington, D.C. U.S. marshals wearing shirts that identified the agency were sitting in an unmarked car near Sotomayor’s residence when a silver van pulled up and an individual — later identified as Kentrell Flowers — exited, pointing a gun into the window of the marshals’ vehicle.

Nightly Road to 2024

VENTING SESSION — House Democrats spent the morning privately venting to each other about President Joe Biden’s future, reports POLITICO. It left them no closer to resolving the split that has consumed their party. In a closed-door caucus meeting hosted at Democrats’ campaign headquarters, increasingly distressed Democrats spoke candidly to each other for the first time since Biden’s unnerving debate performance. Several lawmakers who have already called for Biden to step aside made their case, provoking a larger block of the caucus that believes Democrats need to stay united behind the president, according to about a half-dozen members in the room.

ELECTABILITY LIMBO — Senate Democrats, like their House counterparts before them, left a caucus meeting today trapped in Joe Biden-electability limbo, reports POLITICO. Senators went into the meeting, their first since the president’s shaky debate, saying they needed to have a broader conversation before offering their assessment of Biden’s standing atop the ticket. By the end, it seemed all Democrats agreed on is that they need to beat former President Donald Trump in November.

MAYBE YOU DIDN’T HEAR US THE FIRST TIME — The New York Times editorial board doubled down on its post-debate call for President Joe Biden to bow out of the presidential race. “For voters who held out hope that President Biden’s failure to communicate during last month’s debate was an aberration, the intervening days have offered little comfort,” the Times writes.

BENDING THE KNEE — Former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley released all of her delegates today and encouraged them to support Donald Trump as the Republican nominee for president at next week’s Republican National Convention in Milwaukee, reports POLITICO. However, Haley, the only woman to seek the Republican presidential nomination, was not invited to attend the convention. The last viable alternative to Trump, Haley secured 97 delegates from 12 states during the 2024 Republican primaries.

AROUND THE WORLD

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán is pictured.

Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán in Stuttgart, Germany, on June 19. | Silas Stein/AFP via Getty Images

MISCHIEF MAKER — Since Budapest took over the rotating EU presidency last week, Hungarian leader Viktor Orbán has been zooming around like a cat on meth, writes POLITICO Europe. From Kyiv to meet his bête noire Volodymyr Zelenskyy, to Moscow for a chinwag with Russian leader Vladimir Putin, to Beijing to press flesh with Chairman Xi Jinping, the Hungarian prime minister has carried out a dizzying program of global diplomacy which, he says, is designed to bring peace to Ukraine.

But Orbán’s hyperactive hopscotching has left Europe’s real presidents rolling their eyes, with European Commission chief Ursula von der Leyen and European Council boss Charles Michel both slamming the Hungarian leader as he steals their thunder and stirs the pot in Brussels.

FAR RIGHT BLOCK — Jordan Bardella is jumping from one cordon sanitaire to another. After seeing his far-right National Rally blocked from power in France, Bardella is now watching rivals in the European Parliament trying to stop his new Patriots of Europe faction from chairing two parliamentary committees. When the groups in the Parliament met on Monday evening to decide who will chair the powerful committees, the Patriots chose to lead the transport and culture committees, as first reported by POLITICO. But when those committees meet for the first time on July 23 to formally choose their leadership, other groups are expected to put up candidates to block the Patriots.

 

SUBSCRIBE TO GLOBAL PLAYBOOK: Don’t miss out on POLITICO’s Global Playbook, our newsletter taking you inside pivotal discussions at the most influential gatherings in the world. Suzanne Lynch delivers the world's elite and influential moments directly to you. Stay in the global loop. SUBSCRIBE NOW.

 
 
Nightly Number

$58 million

The amount that the Congressional Leadership Fund, a top House Republican super PAC and its sister group, American Action Network, raised over the past three months. The two GOP groups beat their Democratic counterparts last quarter. House Majority PAC and its allied House Majority Forward raised $51 million.

RADAR SWEEP

‘PLAY BALL, BRITISH STYLE’ — As Major League Baseball attempts to expand its footprint into London, it has brought many of its customs with it. For Londoner Imogen West-Knights, who attended a game this year in the U.K. and wrote about it for The Dial, it’s fascinating to watch American customs transposed onto a British stage. While sitting through the game, she considers the ancillary entertainment, why people are willing to line (or queue) up for so long for merchandise, the thrill of potentially catching a shirt from the giant t-shirt cannon and the relative value of various mascots.

Parting Image

On this date in 2011: Southern Sudanese celebrate independence at midnight in Juba. South Sudan became the world's newest nation, officially breaking away from Sudan after two civil wars over five decades that cost the lives of millions.

On this date in 2011: Southern Sudanese celebrate independence at midnight in Juba. South Sudan became the world's newest nation, officially breaking away from Sudan after two civil wars over five decades that cost the lives of millions. | Pete Muller/AP

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