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Let’s talk Medicare insolvency

Presented by PhRMA: Delivered daily by 10 a.m., Pulse examines the latest news in health care politics and policy.
Apr 29, 2022 View in browser
 
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By Sarah Owermohle and Krista Mahr

Presented by

PhRMA

With help from Tucker Doherty and David Lim

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QUICK FIX

Lawmakers set up a fight on Medicare's funding.

FDA's menthol-ban proposal renews over policing fears among Black advocates.

— Colorado reports its first human case of a new bird flu spreading among livestock.

WELCOME TO FRIDAY PULSE Yes, your co-author tweeted this while spelling that word for an item below. Send news, tips and your worst spelling bee word to sowermohle@politico.com and kmahr@politico.com.

 

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New data show that 35% of insured Americans spent more on out-of-pocket costs than they could afford in the past month. Read more about how insurance is leaving patients exposed to deepening inequities.

 
Driving The Day

chart: medicare insolvency forecast

MEDICARE'S PERSISTENT FUNDING CLIFFThere are four years left in the fund to cover hospital care through Medicare. This cycle has happened before.

Republicans on the House Ways and Means Committee grilled Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra on Thursday about President Joe Biden's plan — or lack of one — to keep the program covering more than 60 million Americans from running out of cash by 2026.

That's the current insolvency projection for Medicare Part A, in large part because enrollment and usage have swelled in recent years, outrunning funds from payroll taxes and Social Security benefits. Other unknowns loom: For example, Medicare trustees haven't yet quantified the impact of the coronavirus pandemic.

"Extending the life of the Medicare Trust Fund involves either additional revenues or savings," said Tricia Neuman, Kaiser Family Foundation's executive director on Medicare policy. "Spend less or put more money into the system."

Right about now, at four-or-so years until the fund is exhausted, is generally when lawmakers start to amp up concern, said Paul Ginsburg, a University of Southern California professor of health policy who has chaired the Medicare Payment Advisory Commission. It's what they come up with that gets tricky.

Who is supposed to fix it? Basically everyone, and that's part of the problem. Republicans on Thursday pressed the Biden administration for a proposal, but it's Congress that battles over cutting spending, shifting costs and finding new revenue.

"Historically, it's taken both the President and Congress working together to get challenging legislation over the line, like the [1997] Balanced Budget Act," said Bush-era CMS Administrator Mark McClellan. "Recent presidents haven't proposed legislative strategies on addressing Trust Fund insolvency."

What would a fix look like? Biden officials, Republicans and policymakers alike point to shifting from fee-based services to value-based care, a virtual restructuring of costs and payments that could take years to hammer out and then implement with industry groups.

A go-to shortcut is transferring inpatient services in Medicare Part A to another segment of the program, Part B (funded mostly by premiums and other taxes), which has swelled to cover a range of services along with provider-administered drugs, growing significantly faster than Part A spending.

That's a "gimmick" fix, says Ginsburg. "It could delay exhausting the trust fund but wouldn't really make a difference as far as the deficit."

FDA's MENTHOL BAN REIGNITES DIVIDES — The FDA's long-expected proposal to ban menthol cigarettes and flavored cigars landed Thursday, sparking a fresh round of concerns that the regulation would further fuel overpolicing of Black communities.

While the FDA insists that this rule would save thousands of lives and curb rates of chronic disease, it has divided public figures in the Black community — some of whom are pressuring Congress to intervene and stop the regulation from taking effect, our Katherine Ellen Foley and Eugene Daniels write. Black smokers disproportionately use menthol cigarettes and flavored cigars after decades of target marketing and sales tactics from tobacco companies.

But The Rev. Al Sharpton, civil rights attorney Ben Crump and relatives of George Floyd, a Black man killed by a white police officer in Minneapolis in 2020, have argued that the rules, should they take effect, would give law enforcement another reason to target Black people — potentially endangering Black lives.

Black leaders are divided, but an aide to the Congressional Black Caucus said the push from civil rights leaders over recent weeks has "caused members to give greater thought to what could be potential unintended consequences."

Just a few years ago, CBC leaders said most of the caucus supported banning menthol cigarettes, pointing to tobacco companies' targeted marketing and the devastating impact tobacco use has had on Black communities.

That concern persists among many: "I've seen in my own family and through my own life experience the consequences of the tobacco industry specifically targeting the Black community in America," Rep. Lisa Blunt Rochester (D-Del.) said in a statement. "It's time for these highly addictive menthol cigarettes to be banned."

 

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Chickens

U.S. farmers have culled thousands of chickens in an effort to stall a new avian flu strain. | Charlie Neibergall/AP Photo

CDC: HUMAN AVIAN INFLUENZA CASE REPORTED IN COLORADO — A farmworker culling poultry with presumptive H5N1 bird flu has tested positive for avian influenza A(H5), the Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention announced Thursday.

The virus was detected by a single nasal specimen tested earlier this week and then confirmed by the CDC on Wednesday.

"Repeat testing on the person was negative for influenza," the Colorado Department of Public Health and Environment said in a press release. "Because the person was in close contact with infected poultry, the virus may have been present in the person's nose without causing infection."

The individual experienced fatigue and has since recovered, according to the CDC. They are being isolated and treated with oseltamivir, an influenza antiviral drug.

"This case does not change the human risk assessment for the general public, which CDC considers to be low," the CDC said in a press release. "Spread of earlier H5N1 viruses from one infected person to a close contact in the past have happened very rarely and have not led to sustained person-to-person spread."

 

STEP INSIDE THE WEST WING: What's really happening in West Wing offices? Find out who's up, who's down, and who really has the president's ear in our West Wing Playbook newsletter, the insider's guide to the Biden White House and Cabinet. For buzzy nuggets and details that you won't find anywhere else, subscribe today.

 
 
In Congress

COVID PANEL BLASTS TRUMP'S EARLY RESPONSE — New documents released by the House Select Subcommittee on the Coronavirus Crisis underscore the Trump administration's early action to downplay the pandemic through Centers for Disease Control and Prevention language.

In May 2020, the administration weakened CDC recommendations for gatherings of faith communities, removing a suggestion that people gather virtually, according to documents released ahead of a hearing today.

Newly released testimony from then-CDC Director Robert Redfield also exposes the battle over pandemic guidance. Redfield told the committee "one of [his] great disappointments" was "that HHS basically took over total clearance of briefings by CDC" during the pandemic's critical early months.

"None of our briefings were approved" by the Trump administration, he said, causing him "PTSD for probably six months."

 

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Public Health

124 GUN DEATHS A DAY IN 2020 — Gun violence deaths in America reached a record high in 2020, averaging 124 deaths a day, according to a report based on 2020 CDC data.

The report, released by the Johns Hopkins Center for Gun Violence Solutions, shows that overall firearm-related deaths increased by 15 percent in 2020 to 45,222, the highest number recorded by the CDC since it began tracking firearm deaths in 1968. At the same time, homicides rose 35 percent, with nearly 5,000 more homicides compared to 2019.

Some key takeaways:

— Males were five times more likely than females to die by gun homicide.

— The number of gun homicides among Black females rose 49 percent from the year before.

— More than half of all Black teens ages 15 to 19 who died in 2020 were killed by gun violence, and Black males ages 15 to 34 were more than 20 times more likely to die by gun homicide than white males the same age.

— Rural states in the South and West had the highest gun death rates. States with the lowest gun death rates have stronger gun laws, researchers noted.

The year's uptick in gun sales fueled violence; nearly twice as many new guns showed up at crime scenes in 2020 than in 2019.

Around the Agencies

WHISTLEBLOWER FLAGGED FORMULA PROBLEMS MONTHS AGO — A former employee at Abbott Nutrition's infant formula plant in Michigan flagged concerns about food-safety violations with senior FDA officials in October — months before two infants died and another was hospitalized for a bacterial infection after ingesting formula made at the plant, according to a document reviewed by POLITICO's Helena Bottemiller Evich.

The concerns: The whistleblower outlined allegations of lax cleaning practices, purposely falsified records and efforts by plant officials to keep FDA from learning about serious issues related to the plant's own system for checking for bacteria in formula, among other things.

Asked to comment, the FDA didn't acknowledge the whistleblower disclosure nor offer an explanation about why the allegations didn't spark more immediate action.

"We know there have been questions about the timeline related to the Abbott Nutrition infant formula recall," an agency spokesperson said. "However, this remains an open investigation with many moving parts."

What We're Reading

Climate change is exponentially increasing the risk that new infectious diseases could jump from animals to humans, according to a Nature study covered by AP News' Drew Costley.

The Denver Post's Elise Schmelzer takes us inside one family's loss from the opioid crisis amid hundreds of deaths this year in Colorado.

 

A message from PhRMA:

According to data just released, insurance isn't working for too many patients. Despite paying premiums each month, Americans continue to face insurmountable affordability and access issues:

  • Roughly half (49%) of insured patients who take prescription medicines report facing insurance barriers like prior authorization and "fail first" when trying to access their medicines.
  • More than a third (35%) of insured Americans report spending more in out-of-pocket costs in the last 30 days than they could afford.
Americans need better coverage that puts patients first. Read more in PhRMA's latest Patient Experience Survey.

 
 

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