| Here are some of the items and trends that will affect the news over the next week: - Further progress in negotiations for a ceasefire in Gaza is expected next week
- Trump's convincing win over Nikki Haley in the South Carolina Primary
- The release of Russian dissident Alexei Navalny's body to his family
- And, continued escalation in the Red Sea between Houthi militants and U.S. and U.K. military forces
Thanks for reading! Adrian Ryan
p/adrian-ryan | |
| 1 | | After significant progress in ceasefire talks was made in Paris over the weekend, negotiations will advance as a new delegation will be sent to Qatar next week. The Israeli War Cabinet, which heads the united government that has been running the country since just after the October 7 attacks, concluded its weekly meeting by agreeing to send negotiators to Qatar. More: - The negotiations in Paris were attended by David Barnea, Israel's intelligence chief, and representatives from several nations, including Egypt, the U.S., and Qatar. Hamas was not represented at the meetings and will be required to agree to the framework of the ceasefire deal for it to take effect.
- There are somewhat conflicting narratives coming out of the negotiations. The Times of Israel reports one Israeli official stating "There's significant progress and a solid basis for discussions," but quotes another saying that negotiators were "still far from a deal."
- Axios, meanwhile, quotes a U.S. source saying, "Some progress made in the hostage talks in Paris on Friday, but more ways to go to get a deal."
- The U.S., Egypt, and Qatar are all pushing for the conclusion of an agreement before the Israeli military launches a planned ground invasion of Rafah, the southernmost city in Gaza, where 1.5 million civilians have been sheltering throughout the war.
Zoom Out: - A large demonstration in Tel Aviv on Saturday night calling for the resignation of the current Israeli government, led by Benjamin Netanyahu, involved clashes between protestors and police as well as multiple arrests.
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| 3 | | On Saturday, South Carolina Republicans handed a convincing win to former President Donald Trump in the state's Presidential primary. Expect continuing reactions to Trump's defeat of Nikki Haley, a former South Carolina governor, by a margin of 60% to 40% over the next week. More: - Trump also won 44 out of the 47 delegates that South Carolina awards, with Haley capturing 3 as a result of winning one of the state's congressional districts.
- "I just want to say that I have never seen the Republican party so unified as it is right now," said Trump during his victory speech.
- Haley reiterated her promise to stay in the race during a speech following the close of voting, saying "I said earlier this week that no matter what happens in South Carolina, I would continue to run for president. I'm a woman of my word."
Zoom Out: - A member of the Republican National Committee is advancing a resolution that would hold off nominating Trump as the party's candidate for as long as possible. The internecine disputes within the RNC should also continue to evolve in the coming week.
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| 4 | | Russian authorities released Alexei Navalny's body to his mother on Saturday, ending over a week of uncertainty about when and whether his body would leave state control. Expect the announcement of funeral plans and more details about the cause of his death in the coming week. More: - Over the past week, prison authorities had tried to pressure Navalny's mother, Lyudmila Navalny, to agree to hold a secret burial for her son.
- In a video released earlier on Saturday, Yulia Navalnaya, Navalny's widow, said "You tortured him alive, and now you keep torturing him dead. You mock the remains of the dead."
- According to Navalny's spokesperson, Lyudmila refused to agree to any conditions for the release of the body and funeral plans have not yet been set.
- Navalny's supporters have offered a monetary reward, as well as help leaving the country, to any prison security officers who could offer details about his death.
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| 5 | | After a notable uptick in attacks on shipping by Houthi militants over the past week, the U.S. and U.K. conducted airstrikes on 18 sites across Yemen. The Houthi leadership has denounced the strikes and pledged to continue their campaign of disrupting shipping in the Red Sea as a show of solidarity with Palestine. Expect the higher level of conflict to persist into the coming week. More: - Since the start of strikes against commercial shipping in the Red Sea on November 19 of last year, a vital international trade route, the Houthis have conducted attacks on 57 ships, according to the Associated Press.
- "We've certainly seen in the past 48, 72 hours an increase in attacks from the Houthis," said a spokesperson from the Pentagon on Thursday.
- The Houthi leadership released a statement on Sunday that said "The Yemeni Armed Forces affirm that they will confront the U.S.-British escalation with more qualitative military operations against all hostile targets in the Red and Arabian Seas in defense of our country, our people and our nation."
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| 6 | | The official campaign period for Portugal's upcoming March 10 election begins this Sunday, with politicians set to announce policies and debate over the next two weeks. The election is being closely watched because of expectations that far-right parties could perform well in a potential bellwether for the larger EU elections later this year. More: - Former Prime Minister António Costa, a member of the Socialist Party, resigned in November of last year following a corruption probe into his administration, with the snap election called later that month. Costa has not been charged with a crime since then.
- According to the most recent polling, the Socialist Party and the center-right Social Democratic Party are tied at 29% of the vote each, with a newer and less-established populist party, Chega (meaning "Enough"), in third place at 18%.
- Corruption is expected to be a massive issue in the election, in addition to local concerns like housing and health services.
- The AP reports "Hot-button topics that have driven political debate and encouraged populist parties elsewhere in Europe, such as climate change, migration, and religious differences, have largely been absent in Portugal's campaign."
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- An Illinois judge has been removed from the bench after an oversight committee found he had engaged in misconduct when reversing a man's conviction for rape in 2022.
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 | Writer | | Adrian Pecotic is a Canadian writer and journalist. He has an MA in Philosophy from Georgia State University, and has written for outlets including NBC News, Foriegn Policy, and Psychology Today. | | This newsletter was edited by Megan LaBruna | |
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