WHY RULE VOTE FAILURES COULD ONLY GET WORSE FOR JOHNSON Failing to pass a rule. It’s typically a process that leadership gives little thought, a minor bump on the path to passage. This Congress, it’s another bullet point in the incredibly dysfunctional House. But let’s talk about why this is a particularly bad item on Speaker Mike Johnson’s long list of problems. First, as most of our readers probably know: A rule is a procedural vote that sets the parameters for debate before a bill comes up for passage. The minority party does not vote for rules, the majority passes them on its own — and if they fail, it blocks the legislation. In most Congresses, that’s not a problem, since members of the majority will approve a rule vote even when they don’t necessarily support passage. Enter the 118th Congress. Conservatives, especially, have started tanking rules if they don’t support the underlying legislation. Or, sometimes, just to stick it to leadership when they’re unhappy about an unrelated matter. The latest instance: On Wednesday, the rule vote for legislation to expand the federal deduction for state and local taxes (SALT) was tanked by 18 Republicans, mostly conservatives. That broke a record. This House is the first one in modern history to have six rule votes — three under former Speaker Kevin McCarthy and three under Speaker Mike Johnson — tanked in one Congress. Before last year, a rule vote hadn’t failed in two decades. “It’s unfortunate,” House Rules Committee Chair Tom Cole (R-Okla.) told us. “Look, rules not passing weakens the majority. The rule is designed to maximize the chance of passing something on the floor that the majority wants to do, not to be used as a weapon by one group against another group.” And the latest failure had a bright red warning sign for Johnson. There were a few non-conservatives who voted against the rule because they didn’t support the underlying legislation. That means the rebellious behavior of the existing rabble-rousers is spreading, at least in part because Johnson and McCarthy rewarded the behavior they wanted to exterminate. One of those members was Rep. David Kustoff (R-Tenn.). “I’ve never voted against the rule in the majority. (But) I felt strongly about this issue,” he said Thursday. Johnson’s already bypassed the rules process on a couple critical bills, bringing up votes under a two-thirds threshold that requires him to heavily lean on Democrats. But that, too, will get him into trouble: Hardline Republicans see cooperation with Democrats as a kiss of death. A couple have already floated ousting Johnson if he does it on future bills. Zoom out: Past House leaders have been open to imposing consequences on members who voted against rules. You’re not seeing that with current leadership. “When I came in, Pete Sessions was the chairman of Rules. He says: ‘Vote against the rules, I'll kick your ass.’ And that’s the way it should be. If you don't like the bill, vote no on the actual bill,” Rep. Don Bacon (R-Neb.) told us. “I wish there were consequences for that kind of behavior.” History lesson: The last time a rule fell before the 118th Congress was on Nov. 14, 2002, when Dennis Hastert was speaker. The 105th Congress under former Speaker Newt Gingrich approached this term’s number of failures, with the majority losing five rule votes. Gingrich lost a total of six rule votes during his two terms as speaker. “It’s a different conference, a different time and we're working on trying to make sure that it doesn’t continue to happen,” Cole said. But it’s not clear how the House GOP digs itself out of that hole. — Daniella Diaz and Katherine Tully-McManus, with an assist from Benjamin Guggenheim
|
Comments
Post a Comment