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What It Takes, 2024 edition

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Feb 12, 2024 View in browser
 
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By Charlie Mahtesian

Republican presidential candidate Marco Rubio (R-FL) appears with South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley at an event February 17, 2016 in Chapin, South Carolina. Haley endorsed Rubio in the state's upcoming primary.

Republican presidential candidate Marco Rubio (R-FL) appears with South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley at an event February 17, 2016 in Chapin, South Carolina. | Aaron P. Bernstein | Getty

THANK YOU FOR YOUR SERVICE — More than 30 years ago, the author Richard Ben Cramer delivered a masterpiece of political reporting that remains relevant to this day. Titled What It Takes, the book featured deeply reported character studies of a handful of White House hopefuls; it continues to color the work of a generation of political reporters. One of the candidates he chronicled, Joe Biden, is now president.

Boiled down to its essence, Cramer’s thousand-page tome posed a timeless question: what makes these people tick? And what was the personal cost of their pursuit of the presidency?

This weekend, we may have caught a glimpse. It began with Donald Trump’s attack on Republican rival Nikki Haley’s family Saturday, when the former president ridiculed the whereabouts of her husband, Maj. Michael Haley, a National Guard officer now deployed overseas.

In a speech at Coastal Carolina University in South Carolina, Trump suggested his absence from the campaign trail might have motivations other than service to his country. “Where’s her husband? Oh, he’s away. He’s away. What happened to her husband?” Trump said as he campaigned in the state in advance of the Feb. 24 primary.

Trump’s slash-and-burn style is by now so familiar that the remark hardly came as a shock. What was surprising, however, was the relative silence that greeted it, perhaps most notably the shrugged-shoulders approach of GOP Sen. Marco Rubio, a former presidential candidate himself. He declined an opportunity Sunday to condemn the comments, or call them out in any way.

“I think they’re part of the increasing nastiness of this campaign and every campaign in American politics,” he said on CNN’s “State of the Union.”

“It’s just part of these campaign cycles,” he added, noting that he refused to respond to every comment Trump makes. It’s a common frustration among GOP officeholders, who don’t feel they should be held accountable for — or be forced to comment on — Trump’s regular provocations.

In this case, however, there is a backstory tying Rubio and Haley together that makes the incident all the more remarkable. And it raises the kinds of questions Cramer sought to answer in his book.

Back in 2016, as South Carolina governor, Haley delivered a crucial endorsement to Rubio before her state’s primary — a coup for the Florida senator at the time. Haley was effusive in her praise of Rubio; as a piece of political theater, it was a hit. The endorsement event lacked a transactional feel. The pair seemed to project warmth and genuine high regard for each other.

“I’m a military wife of a combat veteran. I want a president who is going to have the backs of military veterans and those on active duty,” Haley said at the rally. “I want a president who understands they have to go back to Washington, D.C., and bring a conscience back to our Republicans.”

Haley, Rubio said after receiving her endorsement, “embodies for me everything that I want the Republican Party and the conservative movement to be about.”

He later told reporters that Haley “exemplifies what I want the Republican Party to be known for in the 21st century — vibrant, reform-oriented, optimistic, upwardly mobile.”

Haley and her husband weren’t just abstract political characters. Michael Haley himself was present at the endorsement event. The then-governor later posted a photo on Facebook of herself, her husband and their two children with Rubio in front of a Rubio campaign sign.

“Michael and I ask you to vote Marco Rubio for President,” Haley wrote on Facebook on primary election day.

Eight years later, however, Rubio endorsed Trump over Haley, despite once describing Trump as “a con artist” who “has spent his entire career sticking it to the little guy.” And Rubio did so the day before the first votes were cast in the Iowa caucuses.

Now he’s declined to draw a line and call out the attack on Haley’s family.

Politics is a tough business. Alliances shift. Unpleasant compromises must be made. There is no obligation to return the favor of an endorsement. In that context, backing a former rival is politically defensible, even if it came at an inopportune time for Haley. For Rubio to maintain his viability within a Trump-dominated party now and beyond, concessions need to be made.

Refusing to take a stand on the attack on Haley and her husband, however, is a concession of a different kind. It’s an episode that Cramer, who obsessively sought to understand the motivations of those who sought high office, would have made into high art.

As it turns out, the author may have foreshadowed it in the forward to What It Takes. “What happened to their idea of themselves?” he wrote. “What did we do to them, on the way to the White House?”

Welcome to POLITICO Nightly. Reach out with news, tips and ideas at nightly@politico.com. Or contact tonight’s author at cmahtesian@politico.com or on X (formerly known as Twitter) at @PoliticoCharlie.

 

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What'd I Miss?

— Trump asks Supreme Court to block ‘immunity’ ruling: Former President Donald Trump asked the Supreme Court on Monday to block a lower court’s ruling that he is not immune from criminal charges stemming from his bid to subvert the 2020 election. The 39-page motion puts the fate of his criminal case in Washington, D.C. squarely in the hands of the nine justices, three of whom he nominated.

— Trump attends closed-door hearing in Florida classified doc case: Former President Donald Trump was in federal court Monday to meet face-to-face with U.S District Judge Aileen Cannon for the first time. Trump arrived at the courthouse with his motorcade at about 9 a.m. and was in the building for just over five hours. He left as supporters blasted his campaign song “God Bless the USA” over loudspeakers. Trump didn’t speak to the media or his supporters gathered at the courthouse. Cannon held two separate closed-door court sessions Monday as part of the process involving classified evidence related to Trump’s federal classified documents case in Florida.

— Austin cancels trip to Brussels for Ukraine meeting due to hospitalization: Defense Secretary Lloyd Austin on Monday canceled a planned trip to Brussels for a meeting on Ukraine aid this week after being admitted to the critical care unit at Walter Reed National National Military Medical Center over the weekend, the Pentagon announced Monday. Wednesday’s planned Ukraine Defense Contact Group meeting, a gathering of international defense leaders to discuss support for Kyiv, will now be held virtually, Pentagon spokesperson Maj. Gen. Pat Ryder told reporters on Monday.

— Forecast worsens on eve of key New York special election: A significant snowstorm is colliding with the high-stakes special election for Congress in New York on Tuesday, potentially making voting difficult in the race to replace expelled former Rep. George Santos.

Nightly Road to 2024

PLAN B — So far, Democrats have vigorously avoided any discussion of a Plan B for their presidential nominee. But special counsel Robert Hur’s report may have forced their hand. Hur’s stinging characterization of President Joe Biden as a “well-meaning, elderly man with a poor memory” and “diminished faculties” has thrust the president’s age and mental fitness into the debate. Coupled with the widespread perception that Biden is too old for another term and the fact that he frequently trails former president Donald Trump in swing state polling matchups, it’s raised serious questions about whether Biden is positioned to lead the party in November — and whether Democrats need a contingency plan.

Because of procedural and political hurdles, it would not be easy to simply swap him out. The likeliest outcome is that Biden stays on the ticket. But it is also possible to envision different scenarios where the party does indeed nominate someone other than Biden at its August convention or even picks an alternative afterward to compete in a historic general election. Here’s how it would work.

THE POLITICS OF TIKTOK — President Joe Biden’s reelection campaign has joined TikTok, despite sources saying earlier that the campaign wouldn’t formally use the social-media platform. Numbers from last month’s NBC News poll may help explain the Biden reversal, writes NBC News, because they show the president struggling with young TikTok users. Eleven percent of all voters in the most recent NBC poll are ages 18-34 and say they use TikTok at least once a day. They disproportionately identify as being Democrats over Republicans, and they overwhelmingly prefer Democrats over Republicans in terms of control of Congress. Yet in a hypothetical general-election matchup, these Democratic-leaning young voters narrowly break for Donald Trump over Biden.

AROUND THE WORLD

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz arrives for the cabinet meeting at the chancellery in Berlin on Nov. 22, 2023.

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz called any “relativization” of NATO’s mutual defense obligations “irresponsible and dangerous.” | Markus Schreiber/AP

PROTECTION PROMISE — German Chancellor Olaf Scholz shot back at Donald Trump without mentioning the former U.S. president by name on Monday, calling any “relativization” of NATO’s mutual defense obligations “irresponsible and dangerous.”

The alliance’s “promise of protection applies unreservedly — all for one, one for all,” said Scholz, standing at the chancellery in Berlin beside Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk, who invoked the same phrase in comments made earlier in the day. “And let me be clear about the current situation,” Scholz continued. “Any relativization of NATO's guarantee of mutual assistance is irresponsible and dangerous and is solely in the interests of Russia. Nobody can be allowed to gamble with Europe's security.”

Trump triggered uproar across Europe after telling a crowd during a weekend campaign stop in South Carolina that he would “encourage” Russia to invade NATO allies who are “delinquent,” saying: “You gotta pay. You gotta pay your bills.” Tusk, who arrived in Berlin to meet Scholz after seeing French President Emmanuel Macron in Paris earlier in the day, said that “regardless” of what Trump says, “it is really in our common European interest that all NATO member states directly and clearly increase the funding of defense” capabilities.

ARMS CONTROL — EU foreign affairs chief Josep Borrell on Monday called on the international community, and particularly the U.S., to stop providing arms to Israel in light of the growing number of civilians being killed in Gaza. “Everybody goes to Tel Aviv begging please protect civilians, don’t kill so many. How many is too many?” Borrell said during a meeting of EU ministers.

If the international community is worried about the death toll, “maybe they have to think about the provision of arms,” he said. Borrell, the EU's top diplomat, also cited a Monday Dutch court ruling ordering the Netherlands government to halt shipments of components to Israel for F-35 fighter jets.

His comments come after U.S. President Joe Biden said last week that Israel’s response to Hamas in the Gaza Strip has been “over the top." The death toll from Israel's retaliatory bombings after the October 7 attacks by Hamas has now surpassed 28,000 people, according to Gaza's health authorities.

Borrell noted the U.S. had taken a similar decision on arms supplies to Israel in its 2006 conflict with Lebanon “because Israel didn't want to stop the war; exactly the same thing that happens today.”

Nightly Number

$7 million

The cost of a national ad aired Sunday by The American Values 2024, a super PAC supporting third party presidential candidate Robert Kennedy Jr..

RADAR SWEEP

SUPER BOWL REVIEW — The winners and losers of Sunday’s Super Bowl LVIII are relatively straightforward, right? Patrick Mahomes, Andy Reid and Travis Kelce of the victorious Kansas City Chiefs are among the winners. San Francisco 49ers coach Kyle Shanahan, on the other hand, is among the losers. But this piece from the Ringer goes a little deeper. It declares Dora the Explorer one of the day’s winners. And actor Michael Cera. You can read more here.

Parting Words

Senator Albert Gore (D-Tenn.), puts out his arms as the Democratic presidential candidates are introduced before their debate in Goffstown, N.H., on Feb. 12, 1988. From left are Senator Paul Simon (D-Ill.), Mass. Gov. Michael Dukakis, Gary Hart, Jesse Jackson, Rep. Richard Gephardt (D-Mo.), Bruce Babbitt, and Gore.

On this date in 1988: Democratic presidential hopefuls participate in a debate sponsored by the League of Women Voters in Goffstown, N.H. From left are Sen. Paul Simon (D-Ill.), Mass. Gov. Michael Dukakis, Gary Hart, Jesse Jackson, Rep. Richard Gephardt (D-Mo.), Bruce Babbitt and Senator Al Gore (D-Tenn.). | David Tennenbaum/AP

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