FOLLOW HOUSING MONEY: Gov. Kathy Hochul’s support from big real estate players may be waning after a housing deal and congestion pricing cancellation soured some developers on the governor. An analysis this morning by our colleague Bill Mahoney on POLITICO Pro found contributions from Manhattan developers to the governor have decreased by more than 80 percent in the half first of 2024 compared to the same time last year, and fewer big name real estate donors are contributing. “There's been a deterioration of enthusiasm,” one person in the real estate industry told Playbook, who requested anonymity to speak frankly about the situation. “The housing deal left people with a bad taste in their mouth and the abrupt change on congestion pricing did not go over well,” the person said. It’s not as if Hochul is hurting for cash, though. The first female governor of New York has broken fundraising records heading into her reelection in 2026. She’s raised more than $5.9 million this year already, the most impressive haul ever reported by a governor at this point in the cycle. Still, the real estate industry — which has historically served as the lifeblood of every high-dollar campaign in New York state — has slowed their roll. In the first half of 2023, 33 contributors who are REBNY members or executives at the top of Manhattan development firms donated $10,000 or more. Combined, they gave $631,000. But in the first half of 2024, only seven real estate bigwigs donated to Hochul, a combined haul of $102,000. The drop corresponds with the industry’s disappointment with this year’s budget, which included a historic housing deal that provided a tax incentive for new housing construction, called 485x. The arrangement did not sit well with developers who were upset over some of the particulars. “There's gonna be a decrease in income for developers and an increase in expense,” said Brett Gottlieb, a partner at the Herrick law firm’s Real Estate department, when asked to compare the program with 421-a, the old tax break plan. (Tenant advocates were also left unhappy with the housing deal, which “is generally a good sign of consensus,” one lawmaker said.) Others in the industry said the 2026 election is too far away to decisively say that fundraising habits or attitudes of the real estate industry have shifted. “Generally, any industry supports the incumbent until they have a reason not to,” Jay Martin, executive director of the Community Housing Improvement Program, told Playbook. “It’s really difficult to speculate where the support is when there's no alternative right now.” But the source who spoke with Playbook anonymously said there have been fundraising meetings in the last few months where donors in the real estate industry directly expressed their concern to Hochul. “Honest conversations were had where people expressed their disappointment,” the source recalled. Hochul’s campaign declined to comment on this story. — Jason Beeferman |
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